57'
(ast. L. Flores)
L. Lozano
72'
(ast. L. Blanco)
Miguel Merentiel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 44% win probability (draw 26%, San Lorenzo 29%). The final result was San Lorenzo 0–2 Boca Juniors. In 1 previous meetings, San Lorenzo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Boca Juniors.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
7
0.21
Actual xG
2.15
5
Saves
1
24%
Possession
76%
2
Corners
8
16
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
M. Insaurralde
31'
34'
F. Herrera
A. Cuello
/ J. Rattalino
35'
41'
L. Lozano
46'
M. Pellegrino
/
F. Herrera
47'
L. Di Lollo
F. Farias
/ J. Alvarez
55'
R. Auzmendi
/ D. Herazo
55'
57'
ast. L. Flores ·
L. Lozano⚽
E. Herrera
/ M. Reali
67'
N. Tripichio
/ F. Gulli
68'
M. Reali
70'
72'
ast. L. Blanco ·
Miguel Merentiel⚽
73'
Carlos Palacios
/
S. Ascacibar
73'
Angel Romero
/
A. Velasco
F. Gulli
80'
83'
S. Villa
/
Miguel Merentiel
83'
T. Belmonte
/
L. Flores
Pre-match prediction
29.13%
San
26.49%
X
44.37%
Boca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
44.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
0.21
-0.86
1.43
2.15
+0.72
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
J. Devecchi
G
J. Devecchi
G
6
M. de Ritis
D
M. de Ritis
D
19
E. Amor
D
E. Amor
D
16
G. Corujo
D
G. Corujo
D
2
D. Arboleda
D
D. Arboleda
D
32
E. Herrera
67'
D
E. Herrera
67'
D
38
F. Farías
55'
M
F. Farías
55'
M
8
M. Insaurralde
31'
M
M. Insaurralde
31'
M
24
N. Tripichio
68'
M
N. Tripichio
68'
M
9
A. Cuello
35'
M
A. Cuello
35'
M
29
R. Auzmendi
55'
F
R. Auzmendi
55'
F
Bench
35
A. Cordoba
D
A. Cordoba
D
14
A. Ladstatter
F
A. Ladstatter
F
18
D. Herazo
39'
F
D. Herazo
39'
F
44
Enzo Alan Salas
F
Enzo Alan Salas
F
10
Facundo Gulli
26'
M
Facundo Gulli
26'
M
20
F. Altamirano
G
F. Altamirano
G
22
J. Álvarez
39'
M
J. Álvarez
39'
M
13
Juan Rattalino
59'
M
Juan Rattalino
59'
M
15
M. Cardillo
M
M. Cardillo
M
11
M. Reali
27'
F
M. Reali
27'
F
30
O. Arias
D
O. Arias
D
3
T. Rodríguez
D
T. Rodríguez
D
1
Á. Montero
G
Á. Montero
G
3
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
42
F. Herrera
45'
D
F. Herrera
45'
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
17
L. Lozano
1 ⚽
D
L. Lozano
1 ⚽
D
18
M. Delgado
M
M. Delgado
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
73'
M
S. Ascacíbar
73'
M
20
A. Velasco
73'
F
A. Velasco
73'
F
16
M. Merentiel
1 ⚽
83'
F
M. Merentiel
1 ⚽
83'
F
19
L. Flores
1 👟
83'
F
L. Flores
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
11
Á. Romero
21'
F
Á. Romero
21'
F
7
C. Palacios
21'
F
C. Palacios
21'
F
24
D. Gorosito
D
D. Gorosito
D
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
26
Marco Pellegrino
49'
D
Marco Pellegrino
49'
D
27
M. Braida
M
M. Braida
M
9
M. Giménez
F
M. Giménez
F
4
N. Figal
D
N. Figal
D
22
S. Villa
11'
F
S. Villa
11'
F
8
Tomás Belmonte
11'
M
Tomás Belmonte
11'
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
Best on the pitch
L. Paredes
M · Boca
8.90
1 shots
· 131 pass
J. Devecchi
G · San
8.30
· 22 pass
L. Lozano
D · Boca
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 56 pass
L. Blanco
D · Boca
7.90
1 👟
· 55 pass
L. Di Lollo
D · Boca
7.70
2 shots
· 97 pass
M. Delgado
M · Boca
7.50
1 shots
· 85 pass
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Devecchi | G | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. de Ritis | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Amor | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Corujo | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Arboleda | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Farías | M | 55 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Insaurralde | M | 31 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | 1 |
| N. Tripichio | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cuello | M | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Auzmendi | F | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Herazo | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Álvarez | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Rattalino | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reali | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Montero | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| F. Herrera | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 97 | 92% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Lozano | D | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 56 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 83% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 94 | 8.90 | — | — | 1 | 131 | 125% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Velasco | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 83 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Flores | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Á. Romero | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| C. Palacios | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pellegrino | D | 49 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| S. Villa | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Belmonte | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was San Lorenzo 0–2 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 29% probability to a San Lorenzo win, 26% to a draw, and 44% to an Boca Juniors win.