Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 02:30
J. Romana
(ast. M. Reali)
62'
N. Tripichio
(ast. M. Reali)
72'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Lorenzo a 38% win probability (draw 38%, Deportivo Cuenca 23%). The final result was San Lorenzo 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca. In 1 previous meetings, San Lorenzo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Cuenca.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
1
1.63
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
1
17
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Hernandez
/ F. Gulli
46'
G. Abrego
/ R. Auzmendi
46'
53'
S. Postel
M. De Ritis
/ A. Ladstatter
58'
N. Barrios
/ M. Reali
58'
⚽J. Romana
· ast. M. Reali
62'
64'
G. Rivero
/
M. Diaz
64'
J. Ordonez
/
N. Leguizamon
⚽N. Tripichio
· ast. M. Reali
72'
74'
B. Garcia
/
A. Lopez
74'
M. Klimowicz
/
E. Vega
84'
J. Mejia
/
D. Gonzalez
A. Cuello
/ G. Corujo
86'
90'+1
M. Klimowicz
J. Romana
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.62%
San ←
38.21%
X
23.17%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (San Lorenzo)
38.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
1.63
+0.81
0.43
0.45
+0.02
San Lorenzo dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
J. Romaña
1 ⚽
D
J. Romaña
1 ⚽
D
32
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
6
M. de Ritis
58'
M
M. de Ritis
58'
M
8
Manuel Insaurralde
M
Manuel Insaurralde
M
26
Gonzalo Abrego
45'
M
Gonzalo Abrego
45'
M
24
N. Tripichio
1 ⚽
M
N. Tripichio
1 ⚽
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
58'
F
Nahuel Barrios
58'
F
44
Matías Hernández
45'
F
Matías Hernández
45'
F
9
A. Cuello
86'
F
A. Cuello
86'
F
Bench
14
A. Ladstatter
32'
D
A. Ladstatter
32'
D
10
Facundo Gulli
45'
M
17
G. Rodríguez
F
G. Rodríguez
F
19
L. Vietto
F
L. Vietto
F
11
M. Reali
2 👟
32'
F
M. Reali
2 👟
32'
F
29
R. Auzmendi
45'
F
R. Auzmendi
45'
F
3
T. Rodríguez
D
T. Rodríguez
D
1
Facundo Ferrero
G
Facundo Ferrero
G
37
D
6
Santiago Postel
D
Santiago Postel
D
28
P. Boolsen
D
P. Boolsen
D
25
Marcos Andrés López
74'
D
Marcos Andrés López
74'
D
30
M. Maccari
M
M. Maccari
M
8
Edison Vega
74'
M
Edison Vega
74'
M
7
Lucas Eduardo Mancinelli
M
Lucas Eduardo Mancinelli
M
49
David González
84'
M
David González
84'
M
19
Melvin Diaz
64'
M
Melvin Diaz
64'
M
9
Nicolás Leguizamón
64'
F
Nicolás Leguizamón
64'
F
Bench
20
Bryan García
16'
M
Bryan García
16'
M
23
Eddie Guevara
D
Eddie Guevara
D
11
Germán Rivero
26'
F
Germán Rivero
26'
F
14
Jeremy Chacon
M
Jeremy Chacon
M
43
Jorge Ordóñez
26'
F
Jorge Ordóñez
26'
F
18
Mateo Piedra
D
Mateo Piedra
D
29
Matías Klimowicz
16'
F
Matías Klimowicz
16'
F
10
Romario Ibarra
M
Romario Ibarra
M
21
Stalin Morocho
D
Stalin Morocho
D
Best on the pitch
N. Tripichio
M · San
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 34 pass
J. Romaña
D · San
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
E. Herrera
D · San
7.50
· 37 pass
Lautaro Montenegro
D · San
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
M. de Ritis
M · San
7.20
1 shots
· 14 pass
Manuel Insaurralde
M · San
7.20
· 61 pass
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| M. de Ritis | M | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Insaurralde | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 6 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Abrego | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tripichio | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Hernández | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Cuello | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Ladstatter | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reali | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Auzmendi | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Cuenca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Ferrero | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — | |
| Santiago Postel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Boolsen | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Andrés López | D | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Maccari | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Edison Vega | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Eduardo Mancinelli | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| David González | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Melvin Diaz | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Leguizamón | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Bryan García | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Germán Rivero | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Ordóñez | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Matías Klimowicz | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The final score was San Lorenzo 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca.
What did the model predict before San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model assigned 38% probability to a San Lorenzo win, 38% to a draw, and 23% to an Deportivo Cuenca win.