Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 02:30
J. Romana
(ast. M. Reali)
62'
N. Tripichio
(ast. M. Reali)
72'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Lorenzo a 38% win probability (draw 38%, Deportivo Cuenca 23%). The final result was San Lorenzo 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca. In 1 previous meetings, San Lorenzo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Cuenca.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
1
1.63
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
1
17
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Hernandez
/ F. Gulli
46'
G. Abrego
/ R. Auzmendi
46'
53'
S. Postel
M. De Ritis
/ A. Ladstatter
58'
N. Barrios
/ M. Reali
58'
⚽J. Romana
· ast. M. Reali
62'
64'
G. Rivero
/
M. Diaz
64'
J. Ordonez
/
N. Leguizamon
⚽N. Tripichio
· ast. M. Reali
72'
74'
B. Garcia
/
A. Lopez
74'
M. Klimowicz
/
E. Vega
84'
J. Mejia
/
D. Gonzalez
A. Cuello
/ G. Corujo
86'
90'+1
M. Klimowicz
J. Romana
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.62%
San ←
38.21%
X
23.17%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (San Lorenzo)
38.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
1.63
+0.81
0.43
0.45
+0.02
San Lorenzo dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
Jhohan Romaña
1 ⚽
D
Jhohan Romaña
1 ⚽
D
32
Ezequiel Herrera
D
Ezequiel Herrera
D
6
Mathias de Ritis
58'
M
Mathias de Ritis
58'
M
8
Manuel Insaurralde
M
Manuel Insaurralde
M
26
Gonzalo Abrego
45'
M
Gonzalo Abrego
45'
M
24
Nicolás Tripichio
1 ⚽
M
Nicolás Tripichio
1 ⚽
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
58'
F
Nahuel Barrios
58'
F
44
Matías Hernández
45'
F
Matías Hernández
45'
F
9
A. Cuello
86'
F
A. Cuello
86'
F
Bench
14
Agustin Ladstatter
32'
D
Agustin Ladstatter
32'
D
10
Facundo Gulli
45'
M
17
Gregorio Rodriguez
F
Gregorio Rodriguez
F
19
Luciano Vietto
F
11
M. Reali
2 👟
32'
F
M. Reali
2 👟
32'
F
29
Rodrigo Auzmendi
45'
F
Rodrigo Auzmendi
45'
F
3
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
D
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
D
1
Facundo Ferrero
G
Facundo Ferrero
G
37
D
6
Santiago Postel
D
Santiago Postel
D
28
P. Boolsen
D
P. Boolsen
D
25
A. Lopez
74'
D
30
Mateo Maccari
M
Mateo Maccari
M
8
Edison Vega
74'
M
Edison Vega
74'
M
7
L. Mancinelli
M
49
David González
84'
M
David González
84'
M
19
Melvin Diaz
64'
M
Melvin Diaz
64'
M
9
Nicolás Leguizamón
64'
F
Nicolás Leguizamón
64'
F
Bench
20
Bryan García
16'
M
Bryan García
16'
M
23
Eddie Guevara
D
Eddie Guevara
D
11
G. Rivero
26'
F
G. Rivero
26'
F
14
Jeremy Chacon
M
Jeremy Chacon
M
43
J. Ordoñez
26'
F
J. Ordoñez
26'
F
18
Mateo Piedra
D
29
M. Klimowicz
16'
F
M. Klimowicz
16'
F
10
Romario Ibarra
M
21
Stalin Morocho
D
Stalin Morocho
D
Best on the pitch
Nicolás Tripichio
M · San
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 34 pass
Jhohan Romaña
D · San
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Ezequiel Herrera
D · San
7.50
· 37 pass
Lautaro Montenegro
D · San
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
Mathias de Ritis
M · San
7.20
1 shots
· 14 pass
Manuel Insaurralde
M · San
7.20
· 61 pass
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhohan Romaña | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Ezequiel Herrera | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| Mathias de Ritis | M | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Insaurralde | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 6 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Abrego | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Tripichio | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Hernández | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Cuello | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Agustin Ladstatter | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reali | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Auzmendi | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Cuenca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Ferrero | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — | |
| Santiago Postel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Boolsen | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Lopez | D | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Maccari | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Edison Vega | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Mancinelli | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| David González | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Melvin Diaz | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Leguizamón | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Bryan García | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Rivero | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Ordoñez | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Klimowicz | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The final score was San Lorenzo 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca.
What did the model predict before San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model assigned 38% probability to a San Lorenzo win, 38% to a draw, and 23% to an Deportivo Cuenca win.