Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction San Lorenzo, result Deportivo Recoleta wins
37'
(ast. P. Rios)
A. Wlk
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Lorenzo a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Deportivo Recoleta 16%). The final result was San Lorenzo 0–1 Deportivo Recoleta. In 1 previous meetings, San Lorenzo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Recoleta.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
1.83
Actual xG
0.46
1
Saves
7
78%
Possession
22%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
R. Dominguez
30'
L. Monzon
/
D. Mosquera
31'
N. Ferreira
36'
W. Baez
37'
ast. P. Rios ·
A. Wlk⚽
42'
A. Franco
A. Cuello
45'+5
46'
J. Espinola
/
A. Gonzalez
46'
H. Lopez
/
A. Franco
J. Romana
48'
64'
C. Figueredo
/
W. Baez
E. Herrera
/ M. Reali
70'
74'
J. Nunez
/
P. Rios
80'
F. Galeano
/
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
A. Cuello
/ L. Vietto
80'
N. Barrios
/ G. Rodriguez
80'
M. De Ritis
/ D. Herazo
86'
O. Gill
90'+12
90'+13
(missed pen.)
A. Wlk⚽
Pre-match prediction
65.63%
San
17.55%
X
16.82%
Deportivo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Recoleta)
16.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
1.83
-0.44
0.91
0.46
-0.45
San Lorenzo dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
32
E. Herrera
70'
D
E. Herrera
70'
D
8
M. Insaurralde
M
M. Insaurralde
M
6
M. de Ritis
85'
M
M. de Ritis
85'
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
80'
M
Nahuel Barrios
80'
M
10
Facundo Gulli
M
Facundo Gulli
M
24
N. Tripichio
M
N. Tripichio
M
29
R. Auzmendi
F
R. Auzmendi
F
9
A. Cuello
80'
F
A. Cuello
80'
F
Bench
35
A. Cordoba
D
A. Cordoba
D
18
Diego Herazo
16'
F
Diego Herazo
16'
F
34
Fabricio López
D
Fabricio López
D
26
Gonzalo Abrego
M
Gonzalo Abrego
M
17
G. Rodríguez
21'
F
G. Rodríguez
21'
F
16
Guzmán Corujo
D
Guzmán Corujo
D
5
I. Perruzzi
M
I. Perruzzi
M
25
J. Devecchi
G
J. Devecchi
G
13
Juan Rattalino
M
Juan Rattalino
M
19
L. Vietto
21'
F
L. Vietto
21'
F
11
M. Reali
31'
F
M. Reali
31'
F
3
T. Rodríguez
D
T. Rodríguez
D
12
Nelson Ferreira
G
25
Dairon Mosquera
30'
D
Dairon Mosquera
30'
D
3
Luis Cardozo
D
Luis Cardozo
D
5
Nicolás Marotta
D
Nicolás Marotta
D
2
Facundo Echeguren
80'
D
Facundo Echeguren
80'
D
18
Pedro Rios
1 👟
74'
M
Pedro Rios
1 👟
74'
M
7
R. Domínguez
M
R. Domínguez
M
38
J. Franco
45'
M
J. Franco
45'
M
17
W. Báez
64'
M
W. Báez
64'
M
33
Aldo Gonzalez
45'
F
29
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
F
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
Andrés Marsengo
G
Andrés Marsengo
G
14
Claudio Figueredo
37'
D
Claudio Figueredo
37'
D
8
Fernando Galeano
21'
M
19
Héctor López
56'
M
6
Jose Espinola
56'
D
Jose Espinola
56'
D
23
Juan Nunez
27'
M
Juan Nunez
27'
M
11
Kevin Parzajuk
F
Kevin Parzajuk
F
32
Lucas Monzon
71'
D
Lucas Monzon
71'
D
31
Manuel Shupp
M
20
Marcelo Cañete
M
4
Marcos Pereira
D
9
Richard Ortiz
F
Best on the pitch
Nelson Ferreira
G · Deportivo
8.90
· 31 pass
Lautaro Montenegro
D · San
8.30
· 74 pass
M. Insaurralde
M · San
7.60
· 127 pass
M. de Ritis
M · San
7.60
2 shots
· 32 pass
Nahuel Barrios
M · San
7.50
· 58 pass
Facundo Gulli
M · San
7.30
1 shots
· 80 pass
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 101 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Insaurralde | M | 101 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 127 | 113% | 3 | — | — |
| M. de Ritis | M | 85 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 65% | — | — | — |
| N. Tripichio | M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 68 | 55% | — | — | — |
| R. Auzmendi | F | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cuello | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diego Herazo | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rodríguez | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Vietto | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Reali | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ferreira | G | 101 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Dairon Mosquera | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Luis Cardozo | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Marotta | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Echeguren | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Pedro Rios | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Domínguez | M | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Franco | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Báez | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Aldo Gonzalez | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 101 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudio Figueredo | D | 37 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Galeano | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Héctor López | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jose Espinola | D | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Juan Nunez | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Monzon | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The final score was San Lorenzo 0–1 Deportivo Recoleta.
What did the model predict before San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model assigned 65% probability to a San Lorenzo win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an Deportivo Recoleta win.