Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction San Lorenzo, result Deportivo Recoleta wins
37'
(ast. P. Rios)
A. Wlk
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Lorenzo a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Deportivo Recoleta 16%). The final result was San Lorenzo 0–1 Deportivo Recoleta. In 1 previous meetings, San Lorenzo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Recoleta.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
1.83
Actual xG
0.46
1
Saves
7
78%
Possession
22%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
R. Dominguez
30'
L. Monzon
/
D. Mosquera
31'
N. Ferreira
36'
W. Baez
37'
ast. P. Rios ·
A. Wlk⚽
42'
A. Franco
A. Cuello
45'+5
46'
J. Espinola
/
A. Gonzalez
46'
H. Lopez
/
A. Franco
J. Romana
48'
64'
C. Figueredo
/
W. Baez
E. Herrera
/ M. Reali
70'
74'
J. Nunez
/
P. Rios
80'
F. Galeano
/
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
A. Cuello
/ L. Vietto
80'
N. Barrios
/ G. Rodriguez
80'
M. De Ritis
/ D. Herazo
86'
O. Gill
90'+12
90'+13
(missed pen.)
A. Wlk⚽
Pre-match prediction
65.63%
San
17.55%
X
16.82%
Deportivo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Recoleta)
16.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
1.83
-0.44
0.91
0.46
-0.45
San Lorenzo dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
Jhohan Romaña
D
Jhohan Romaña
D
32
Ezequiel Herrera
70'
D
Ezequiel Herrera
70'
D
8
Manuel Insaurralde
M
Manuel Insaurralde
M
6
Mathias de Ritis
85'
M
Mathias de Ritis
85'
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
80'
M
Nahuel Barrios
80'
M
10
Facundo Gulli
M
Facundo Gulli
M
24
Nicolás Tripichio
M
Nicolás Tripichio
M
29
Rodrigo Auzmendi
F
Rodrigo Auzmendi
F
9
Alexis Cuello
80'
F
Alexis Cuello
80'
F
Bench
35
Alejo Cordoba
D
Alejo Cordoba
D
18
Diego Herazo
16'
F
Diego Herazo
16'
F
34
Fabricio López
D
Fabricio López
D
26
Gonzalo Abrego
M
Gonzalo Abrego
M
17
Gregorio Rodriguez
21'
F
Gregorio Rodriguez
21'
F
16
Guzmán Corujo
D
Guzmán Corujo
D
5
Ignacio Perruzzi
M
Ignacio Perruzzi
M
25
José Devecchi
G
José Devecchi
G
13
Juan Rattalino
M
Juan Rattalino
M
19
Luciano Vietto
21'
F
Luciano Vietto
21'
F
11
Matias Reali
31'
F
Matias Reali
31'
F
3
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
D
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
D
12
Nelson Ferreira
G
Nelson Ferreira
G
25
Dairon Mosquera
30'
D
Dairon Mosquera
30'
D
3
Luis Cardozo
D
Luis Cardozo
D
5
Nicolás Marotta
D
Nicolás Marotta
D
2
Facundo Echeguren
80'
D
Facundo Echeguren
80'
D
18
Pedro Rios
1 👟
74'
M
Pedro Rios
1 👟
74'
M
7
Ronal Dominguez
M
Ronal Dominguez
M
38
J. Franco
45'
M
J. Franco
45'
M
17
W. Báez
64'
M
W. Báez
64'
M
33
A. González
45'
F
A. González
45'
F
29
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
F
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
Andrés Marsengo
G
Andrés Marsengo
G
14
Claudio Figueredo
37'
D
Claudio Figueredo
37'
D
8
Fernando Galeano
21'
M
Fernando Galeano
21'
M
19
Héctor López
56'
M
Héctor López
56'
M
6
Jose Espinola
56'
D
Jose Espinola
56'
D
23
Juan Nunez
27'
M
Juan Nunez
27'
M
11
K. Parzajuk
F
K. Parzajuk
F
32
L. Monzón
71'
D
L. Monzón
71'
D
31
Manuel Shupp
M
Manuel Shupp
M
20
Marcelo Cañete
M
Marcelo Cañete
M
4
Marcos Pereira
D
Marcos Pereira
D
9
Richard Ortiz
F
Richard Ortiz
F
Best on the pitch
Nelson Ferreira
G · Deportivo
8.90
· 31 pass
Lautaro Montenegro
D · San
8.30
· 74 pass
Manuel Insaurralde
M · San
7.60
· 127 pass
Mathias de Ritis
M · San
7.60
2 shots
· 32 pass
Nahuel Barrios
M · San
7.50
· 58 pass
Facundo Gulli
M · San
7.30
1 shots
· 80 pass
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 101 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 5 | — | — |
| Jhohan Romaña | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ezequiel Herrera | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Manuel Insaurralde | M | 101 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 127 | 113% | 3 | — | — |
| Mathias de Ritis | M | 85 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Tripichio | M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 68 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Auzmendi | F | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Cuello | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diego Herazo | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Gregorio Rodriguez | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Vietto | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Matias Reali | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ferreira | G | 101 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Dairon Mosquera | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Luis Cardozo | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Marotta | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Echeguren | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Pedro Rios | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronal Dominguez | M | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Franco | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Báez | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. González | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 101 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudio Figueredo | D | 37 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Galeano | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Héctor López | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jose Espinola | D | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Juan Nunez | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The final score was San Lorenzo 0–1 Deportivo Recoleta.
What did the model predict before San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model assigned 65% probability to a San Lorenzo win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an Deportivo Recoleta win.