Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 00:00
A. Cuello
(ast. F. Gulli)
27'
33'
(ast. B. Rollheiser)
Gabriel Barbosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Lorenzo a 42% win probability (draw 32%, Santos 25%). The final result was San Lorenzo 1–1 Santos. In 1 previous meetings, San Lorenzo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santos.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
1.08
Actual xG
0.40
2
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽A. Cuello
· ast. F. Gulli
27'
33'
ast. B. Rollheiser ·
Gabriel Barbosa⚽
46'
Joao Schmidt
/
Willian Arao
46'
Luan Peres
M. Reali
/ N. Barrios
56'
F. Gulli
/ F. Lopez
63'
70'
A. Barreal
/
B. Rollheiser
76'
G. Escobar
83'
Mateus Xavier
/
Gabriel Barbosa
83'
Igor Vinicius
/
Mayke
88'
Lucas Verissimo
90'+1
Thaciano
/
Gabriel Bontempo
R. Auzmendi
/ D. Herazo
90'+2
A. Cuello
/ G. Rodriguez
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
42.07%
San
32.82%
X ←
25.11%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.08
-0.1
0.76
0.40
-0.36
San Lorenzo dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
32
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
6
M. de Ritis
M
M. de Ritis
M
8
M. Insaurralde
M
M. Insaurralde
M
10
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
63'
M
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
63'
M
24
N. Tripichio
M
N. Tripichio
M
11
M. Reali
56'
F
M. Reali
56'
F
9
A. Cuello
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Cuello
1 ⚽
89'
F
29
R. Auzmendi
89'
F
R. Auzmendi
89'
F
Bench
14
A. Ladstatter
D
A. Ladstatter
D
26
Gonzalo Abrego
M
Gonzalo Abrego
M
17
G. Rodríguez
1'
F
G. Rodríguez
1'
F
13
Juan Rattalino
M
Juan Rattalino
M
44
M. Hernández
F
M. Hernández
F
28
Nahuel Barrios
34'
M
Nahuel Barrios
34'
M
3
T. Rodríguez
D
T. Rodríguez
D
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
12
Mayke
83'
D
Mayke
83'
D
28
Christian Oliva
M
Christian Oliva
M
15
Willian Arão
45'
M
Willian Arão
45'
M
10
Neymar
M
Neymar
M
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
1 👟
70'
M
Benjamín Rollheiser
1 👟
70'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
83'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
22
Álvaro Barreal
20'
M
Álvaro Barreal
20'
M
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
18
Igor Vinícius
14'
D
Igor Vinícius
14'
D
5
João Schmidt
45'
M
João Schmidt
45'
M
30
Miguelito
M
Miguelito
M
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
11
Rony
F
Rony
F
16
Thaciano
1'
M
Thaciano
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Christian Oliva
M · Santos
7.70
1 shots
· 39 pass
Benjamín Rollheiser
M · Santos
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 46 pass
N. Tripichio
M · San
7.30
3 shots
· 52 pass
Luan Peres
D · Santos
7.30
· 22 pass
Álvaro Barreal
M · Santos
7.20
1 shots
· 9 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| M. de Ritis | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Insaurralde | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Tripichio | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Reali | F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Cuello | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Auzmendi | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Rodríguez | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Mayke | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Neymar | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Santos?
The final score was San Lorenzo 1–1 Santos.
What did the model predict before San Lorenzo vs Santos?
The model assigned 42% probability to a San Lorenzo win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Santos win.