San Marino - Albania
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.79%
Win
San Marino
32.88%
Draw
19.34%
Win
Albania
1.09
0.55
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(21.19%)
1X2 Result
1
48%
X
33%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
81%
X2
52%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
73%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives San Marino a 47% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Albania. Expected goals are 1.1 for San Marino and 0.5 for Albania (total 1.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 21.19% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
1L
2W
1D
3L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.7
0.8
Conceded
1.0
3.5
Shots OT
2.5
4.0
Corners
3.0
48%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
25%
O 2.5
33%
50%
BTTS
33%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
2W
0D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
50%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ San Marino
Albania →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 21.2% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
San Marino
Attack
20
Defence
46
Form
1
Albania
Attack
8
Defence
71
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 1
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Finland
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Belarus
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 1
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #1 |
| → San Marino | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Albania | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win San Marino vs Albania?
The model gives San Marino a 47% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 19% for an Albania win.
How many goals are expected in San Marino vs Albania?
Expected goals: San Marino 1.1, Albania 0.5 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in San Marino vs Albania?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.19%.