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San Martin S.J. - Chacarita Juniors

Primera Nacional July 05, 2026 21:00
San Martin S.J.
#7 · 23 pts
vs
Chacarita Juniors
#16 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
67.83%
Win
San Martin S.J.
20.24%
Draw
11.93%
Win
Chacarita Juniors
1.8
Expected xG
0.47
Most likely result 1–0 (18.7%)
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
40%
Model prediction
San Martin S.J.
67.83%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 9 predictions (3 months)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives San Martin S.J. a 67% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Chacarita Juniors. Expected goals are 1.8 for San Martin S.J. and 0.5 for Chacarita Juniors (total 2.3), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, San Martin S.J. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chacarita Juniors.

Season Stats

San Martin S.J.
5W 4D 6L
Chacarita Juniors
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.6
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
53%
40%
O 2.5
13%
60%
BTTS
13%
27%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 1.5
32%
O 2.5
7%
O 3.5
51%
BTTS
San Martin S.J.
4W 3D 1L · at home
Chacarita Juniors
0W 2D 6L · away
1.2
gls/g
0.5
0.8
Conceded
1.6
50%
Win %
0%
88%
Win or Draw
25%
75%
O 1.5
75%
38%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
13%
63%
BTTS
38%
38%
Clean Sht
13%
13%
Failed to Score
63%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ San Martin S.J. Chacarita Juniors →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% — —
1 18.7% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% — —
2 16.8% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% — —
3 10.1% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% — —
4 4.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
W Agropecuario 2–0
L Gimnasia Jujuy 2–1
L Temperley 2–1
W Deportivo Maipu 2–1
W Almagro 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
D Tristan Suarez 0–0
L Nueva Chicago 2–0
L Temperley 0–1
L Deportivo Maipu 3–2
W Almagro 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
Attack
32
Defence
72
Form
58
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
Attack
15
Defence
74
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
San Martin S.J.
1
Draw
0
Chacarita Juniors
15 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 1–1

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 18 36
2 Atlanta Atlanta 18 33
3 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 18 30
4 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 18 27
5 Temperley Temperley 18 27
6 Midland Midland 18 26
7 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 17 23
8 Colegiales Colegiales 18 23
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 18 23
10 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 18 22
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 17 22
12 Almagro Almagro 18 22
13 Quilmes Quilmes 18 21
14 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 21
15 Patronato Patronato 18 21
16 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 18 19
17 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 18 19
18 Agropecuario Agropecuario 18 18

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

San Martin S.J. Chacarita Juniors
Current #7 #16
→ San Martin S.J. #7 #16
→ Draw #7 #16
→ Chacarita Juniors #7 #13

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model gives San Martin S.J. a 67% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 11% for an Chacarita Juniors win.
How many goals are expected in San Martin S.J. vs Chacarita Juniors?
Expected goals: San Martin S.J. 1.8, Chacarita Juniors 0.5 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in San Martin S.J. vs Chacarita Juniors?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.7%.