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San Martin S.J. - Nueva Chicago

Primera Nacional June 06, 2026 21:00
San Martin S.J.
#14 · 27 pts
vs
Nueva Chicago
#11 · 29 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.01%
Win
San Martin S.J.
32.99%
Draw
19.0%
Win
Nueva Chicago
1.04
Expected xG
0.48

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (22.8%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 33%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 52%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 59%
Over 2.5 22%
✓ 40.0% hit rate (10 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives San Martin S.J. a 48% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Nueva Chicago. Expected goals are 1.0 for San Martin S.J. and 0.5 for Nueva Chicago (total 1.5), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 22.8% probability.

Season Stats

San Martin S.J.
5W 5D 5L
Nueva Chicago
4W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.9
1.1
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
57%
40%
O 2.5
36%
67%
BTTS
43%
20%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
San Martin S.J.
3W 3D 1L · at home
Nueva Chicago
3W 1D 3L · away
1.1
gls/g
0.9
0.9
Conceded
0.9
43%
Win %
43%
86%
Win or Draw
57%
71%
O 1.5
57%
43%
O 2.5
29%
0%
O 3.5
0%
71%
BTTS
29%
29%
Clean Sht
43%
14%
Failed to Score
43%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.0% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% — —
1 22.8% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 11.8% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% — —
3 4.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% — — —
5 0.2% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
D Atletico DE Rafaela 1–1
L Agropecuario 2–1
W Club Atlético Güemes 0–2
L Chacarita Juniors 0–1
W Agropecuario 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
W San Martin Tucuman 2–1
L Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0
D Agropecuario 1–1
L Tristan Suarez 1–0
W Club Atlético Güemes 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
Attack
31
Defence
72
Form
48
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
Attack
22
Defence
75
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 23 41
2 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 22 39
3 Midland Midland 23 37
4 Temperley Temperley 23 37
5 Atlanta Atlanta 22 36
6 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 23 34
7 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 24 34
8 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 24 32
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 23 30
10 Colegiales Colegiales 22 29
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 22 29
12 Almagro Almagro 23 29
13 Quilmes Quilmes 23 28
14 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 21 27
15 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 23 26
16 Agropecuario Agropecuario 24 26
17 Patronato Patronato 22 23
18 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 23 19

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago
Current #14 #11
→ San Martin S.J. #10 #12
→ Draw #14 #10
→ Nueva Chicago #14 #9

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago?
The model gives San Martin S.J. a 48% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 19% for an Nueva Chicago win.
How many goals are expected in San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago?
Expected goals: San Martin S.J. 1.0, Nueva Chicago 0.5 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 22.8%.