Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 7
May 03, 2026 17:00
S. Mathisen
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sandefjord a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Aalesund 26%). The final result was Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
0.73
3
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
2
10
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
25'
E. Engqvist
N. Moller
29'
46'
U. Syversen
/
E. Engqvist
46'
D. Johannsson
/
I. Djantou
58'
H. Hammer
/
H. Melland
59'
M. Andresen
/
U. Charles
72'
U. Syversen
B. Berntsen
/ E. Pettersen
72'
M. Melchior
/ R. Dzabic
72'
N. Moller
/ S. Mathisen
72'
79'
M. Andresen
83'
E. Myrlid
/
K. Lonebu
⚽S. Mathisen
88'
V. Egeli
/ S. Kristiansen
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
45.11%
Sandefjord ←
28.24%
X
26.65%
Aalesund
we assigned to the actual result (Sandefjord)
45.11%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
2.52
+0.8
0.80
0.73
-0.07
Sandefjord dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
44
D
6
Sander Risan Mörk
D
Sander Risan Mörk
D
2
D
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
M
Vetle Walle Egeli
M
10
Ruben Alte
M
Ruben Alte
M
20
Marcus Melchior
71'
M
Marcus Melchior
71'
M
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
M
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
M
19
Bendik Berntsen
71'
F
Bendik Berntsen
71'
F
11
N. Möller
72'
F
N. Möller
72'
F
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
F
Evangelos Patoulidis
F
Bench
14
Edvard Pettersen
25'
M
Edvard Pettersen
25'
M
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
1 ⚽
24'
F
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
1 ⚽
24'
F
1
G
16
D
3
O. Gudmundsson
D
5
Aleksander Kjelsen
D
22
E. Engqvist
45'
D
14
Uba Charles
58'
D
8
Henrik Melland
58'
M
18
M
21
Mathias Christensen
M
39
K. Lonebu
83'
F
20
I. Djantou
45'
F
Bench
11
D. Jóhannsson
51'
M
D. Jóhannsson
51'
M
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
M
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
38'
M
2
M. Andresen
38'
D
4
S. Haram
D
25
Ulrik Syversen
51'
D
Best on the pitch
Bendik Berntsen
F · Sandefjord
7.90
1 shots
· 27 pass
Evangelos Patoulidis
F · Sandefjord
7.70
4 shots
· 34 pass
Sander Risan Mörk
D · Sandefjord
7.50
1 shots
· 75 pass
D · Sandefjord
7.30
· 72 pass
Ruben Alte
M · Sandefjord
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
O. Gudmundsson
D · Aalesund
7.30
· 19 pass
Sandefjord — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | — | — | — | |
| Sander Risan Mörk | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 62% | — | — | — | |
| Vetle Walle Egeli | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Ruben Alte | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Melchior | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Fredrik Carson Pedersen | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Bendik Berntsen | F | 71 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Möller | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Evangelos Patoulidis | F | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Edvard Pettersen | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Holm Mathisen | F | 24 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Aalesund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — | |
| O. Gudmundsson | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Aleksander Kjelsen | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Engqvist | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Uba Charles | D | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrik Melland | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Mathias Christensen | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lonebu | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| I. Djantou | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Jóhannsson | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Hakon Butli Hammer | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Andresen | D | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Ulrik Syversen | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Aalesund?
The final score was Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund.
What did the model predict before Sandefjord vs Aalesund?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Sandefjord win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Aalesund win.