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Sanfrecce Hiroshima - JEF United Chiba

#14 · 0 pts
vs
#11 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 33.4°C 💨 5 km/h · Hiroshima
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.86%
Win
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
32.33%
Draw
31.81%
Win
JEF United Chiba
4.32
Expected xG
1.57

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.74%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for JEF United Chiba. Expected goals are 4.3 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.6 for JEF United Chiba (total 5.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.74% probability.

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
7W 3D 5L
JEF United Chiba
2W 2D 11L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.9
5.7
Shots OT
3.6
5.4
Corners
4.8
54%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
93%
53%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
7%
Based on the last 15 matches in J1 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5W 3D 2L · at home
JEF United Chiba
1W 2D 7L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.1
1.0
Conceded
1.8
50%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
30%
90%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sanfrecce Hiroshima JEF United Chiba →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.6% 4.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.0% 6.3% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.5% 5.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%

Recent form

W Kawasaki Frontale 0–1
W Kawasaki Frontale 2–1
W Nagoya Grampus 4–2
W Kyoto Sanga 0–4
W Gamba Osaka 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
L Avispa Fukuoka 1–2
D Avispa Fukuoka 2–2
L Kashiwa Reysol 4–2
L Kashima 0–2
L Machida Zelvia 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Attack
26
Defence
35
Form
33
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
Attack
17
Defence
23
Form
18
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United Chiba?
The model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an JEF United Chiba win.
How many goals are expected in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United Chiba?
Expected goals: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4.3, JEF United Chiba 1.6 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United Chiba?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.74%.