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J1 League · Regular Season - 10 October 17, 2026 07:00 Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 · 26 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Kyoto Sanga
#16 · 10 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Daiki Suga (ast. Shunki Higashi) 48'
Akito Suzuki (ast. Takuma Asano) 78'
Mutsuki Kato (ast. Akito Suzuki) 82'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 55% win probability (draw 25%, Kyoto Sanga 19%). The final result was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga. In 2 previous meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kyoto Sanga.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
2
1.94
Actual xG
0.75
2
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
9
Corners
4
10
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
31'
Kyo Sato
⚽Daiki Suga · ast. Shunki Higashi
48'
55'
Alex Souza / Ryuma Nakano ↕
55'
Temma Matsuda / Takaaki Shichi ↕
↕ Shun Ayukawa / Mutsuki Kato
63'
↕ Yotaro Nakajima / Taishi Matsumoto
63'
↕ Daiki Suga / Kim Ju-sung
64'
Sébastien Haller
67'
72'
Marco Túlio / Takumi Kato ↕
72'
João Pedro / Sung-jun Yoon ↕
↕ Sébastien Haller / Takuma Asano
73'
⚽Akito Suzuki · ast. Takuma Asano
78'
80'
Takuji Yonemoto / Hiroto Morooka ↕
⚽Mutsuki Kato · ast. Akito Suzuki
82'
↕ Akito Suzuki / Takumu Kawamura
86'
Pre-match prediction
55.1%
Sanfrecce ←
25.15%
X
19.75%
Kyoto
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 55.1% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sanfrecce
1.82
1.94
+0.13
Kyoto
0.54
0.75
+0.21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima dominated by xG (1.94 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
1 K. Osako K. Osako G 6.50
7 S. Higashi S. Higashi 1 👟 D 7.36
4 H. Araki H. Araki D 7.09
15 S. Nakano S. Nakano D 7.01
18 D. Suga D. Suga 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.00
35 Y. Nakajima Y. Nakajima 63' M 6.77
6 H. Kawabe H. Kawabe M 6.91
5 N. Arai N. Arai M 6.62
23 S. Ayukawa S. Ayukawa 63' M 6.26
10 A. Suzuki A. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' M 8.91
22 S. Haller S. Haller 73' F 6.30
Bench
99 I. Ouchi I. Ouchi G 0.00
37 Kim Ju-Sung Kim Ju-Sung 26' D 6.48
9 K. Yengi K. Yengi F 0.00
11 M. Kato M. Kato 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.43
45 S. Kobayashi S. Kobayashi M 0.00
32 S. Koshimichi S. Koshimichi M 0.00
29 T. Asano T. Asano 1 👟 17' F 7.06
8 T. Kawamura T. Kawamura 4' M 6.10
14 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 27' M 6.65
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4-3
90 Halls Halls G 6.56
15 K. Nagata K. Nagata D 6.02
40 Y. Ishida Y. Ishida D 6.28
50 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki D 5.95
62 T. Shichi T. Shichi 55' M 5.45
24 H. Morooka H. Morooka 80' M 6.01
25 Yoon Sung-Jun Yoon Sung-Jun 72' M 5.57
44 K. Sato K. Sato M 5.88
77 H. Arai H. Arai F 6.47
23 T. Kato T. Kato 72' F 6.66
48 R. Nakano R. Nakano 55' F 6.10
Bench
17 Alex Negueba Alex Negueba 35' F 6.20
1 G. Ota G. Ota G 0.00
5 H. Tawiah H. Tawiah D 0.00
6 João Pedro João Pedro 18' M 5.86
11 Marco Túlio Marco Túlio 18' F 6.18
60 R. Yamanaka R. Yamanaka M 0.00
18 T. Matsuda T. Matsuda 35' M 5.77
8 T. Yonemoto T. Yonemoto 10' M 5.78
43 Weverton Weverton D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Suzuki
A. Suzuki
M · Sanfrecce
8.91
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 26 pass
M. Kato
M. Kato
F · Sanfrecce
7.43
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
S. Higashi
S. Higashi
D · Sanfrecce
7.36
1 👟
· 50 pass
H. Araki
H. Araki
D · Sanfrecce
7.09
2 shots · 65 pass
T. Asano
T. Asano
F · Sanfrecce
7.06
1 👟
3 shots · 11 pass
S. Nakano
S. Nakano
D · Sanfrecce
7.01
1 shots · 54 pass
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Osako G 90 6.50 — — 0 37 26% 0 — —
S. Higashi D 90 7.36 — 1 0 50 45% 0 — —
H. Araki D 90 7.09 — — 2 65 53% 2 — —
S. Nakano D 90 7.01 — — 1 54 43% 3 — —
D. Suga M 64 7.00 1 — 2 25 14% 0 — —
Y. Nakajima M 63 6.77 — — 1 51 46% 0 — —
H. Kawabe M 90 6.91 — — 2 64 55% 1 — —
N. Arai M 90 6.62 — — 7 55 48% 0 — —
S. Ayukawa M 63 6.26 — — 2 10 6% 0 — —
A. Suzuki M 86 8.91 1 1 3 26 19% 3 — —
S. Haller F 73 6.30 — — 0 22 17% 0 1 —
Kim Ju-Sung D 26 6.48 — — 0 11 7% 0 — —
M. Kato F 27 7.43 1 — 1 9 6% 0 — —
T. Asano F 17 7.06 — 1 3 11 9% 1 — —
T. Kawamura M 4 6.10 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
T. Matsumoto M 27 6.65 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Halls G 90 6.56 — — 0 39 19% 0 — —
K. Nagata D 90 6.02 — — 1 39 28% 1 — —
Y. Ishida D 90 6.28 — — 1 27 21% 4 — —
Y. Suzuki D 90 5.95 — — 2 27 22% 2 — —
T. Shichi M 55 5.45 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
H. Morooka M 80 6.01 — — 0 24 20% 3 — —
Yoon Sung-Jun M 72 5.57 — — 0 26 19% 0 — —
K. Sato M 90 5.88 — — 0 20 17% 1 1 —
H. Arai F 90 6.47 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
T. Kato F 72 6.66 — — 0 16 9% 0 — —
R. Nakano F 55 6.10 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
Alex Negueba F 35 6.20 — — 0 6 2% 0 — —
João Pedro M 18 5.86 — — 0 18 15% 2 — —
Marco Túlio F 18 6.18 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
T. Matsuda M 35 5.77 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
T. Yonemoto M 10 5.78 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
The final score was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga.
What did the model predict before Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Kyoto Sanga win.