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J1 League · Regular Season - 18 May 23, 2026 07:00 Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 · 30 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Nagoya Grampus
#13 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sanfrecce Hiroshima
S. Nakamura (ast. H. Kawabe) 33'
H. Kawabe (ast. S. Nakano) 45'+4
S. Nakano (ast. S. Higashi) 46'
A. Suzuki (ast. S. Higashi) 56'
45'+2 (ast. T. Takamine) Y. Yamagishi
67' T. Morishima
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 22%). The final result was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus. In 2 previous meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nagoya Grampus.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
6
17
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽S. Nakamura · ast. H. Kawabe
33'
H. Kawabe
42'
45'+2
ast. T. Takamine · Y. Yamagishi⚽
⚽H. Kawabe · ast. S. Nakano
45'+4
⚽S. Nakano · ast. S. Higashi
46'
↕ T. Shiotani / T. Matsumoto
55'
↕ M. Kato / R. Germain
55'
⚽A. Suzuki · ast. S. Higashi
56'
59'
H. Koda / R. Izumi ↕
59'
T. Morishima / T. Uchida ↕
67'
T. Morishima⚽
↕ A. Suzuki / K. Kinoshita
74'
↕ H. Kawabe / Y. Chajima
81'
↕ S. Nakamura / N. Maeda
81'
Pre-match prediction
55.04%
Sanfrecce ←
22.07%
X
22.89%
Nagoya
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 55.04% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sanfrecce
1.85
—
—
Nagoya
1.08
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 14 33
2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 14 31
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14 30
4 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 29
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 14 27
6 Kashima Kashima 14 23
7 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 14 22
8 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 14 22
9 Urawa Urawa 14 22
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 14 17
11 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 14 17
12 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 14 16
13 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 14 14
14 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 14 14
15 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 14 14
16 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 14 13
17 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 14 13
18 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 14 12
19 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 14 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 14 8
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
99 I. Ouchi I. Ouchi G 6.90
19 S. Sasaki S. Sasaki D 6.90
3 Taichi Yamasaki Taichi Yamasaki D 6.30
33 T. Shiotani T. Shiotani 55' D 6.90
24 S. Higashi S. Higashi 2 👟 M 7.30
13 N. Arai N. Arai M 7.20
6 H. Kawabe H. Kawabe 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' M 8.50
15 S. Nakano S. Nakano 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
39 S. Nakamura S. Nakamura 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.60
11 M. Kato M. Kato 55' F 6.30
10 A. Suzuki A. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.90
Bench
25 Chajima Yusuke Chajima Yusuke 14' M 6.70
17 K. Kinoshita K. Kinoshita 21' F 6.50
40 Motoki Ohara Motoki Ohara M
41 N. Maeda N. Maeda 14' F 6.50
9 R. Germain R. Germain 40' F 6.70
14 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 40' M 6.90
16 T. Shichi T. Shichi D
35 Y. Nakajima Y. Nakajima M
21 Y. Tanaka Y. Tanaka G
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
1 D. Schmidt D. Schmidt G 6.00
55 S. Tokumoto S. Tokumoto D 6.20
13 H. Fujii H. Fujii D 6.30
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami D 6.00
27 K. Nakayama K. Nakayama M 6.90
31 T. Takamine T. Takamine 1 👟 M 8.50
17 T. Uchida T. Uchida 59' M 6.20
9 Y. Asano Y. Asano M 5.70
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura F 5.90
7 R. Izumi R. Izumi 59' F 6.20
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
35 A. Pisano A. Pisano G
19 H. Koda H. Koda 36' M 6.90
20 K. Mikuni K. Mikuni D
18 K. Nagai K. Nagai F
41 M. Ono M. Ono M
30 Shungo Sugiura Shungo Sugiura F
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi M
14 T. Morishima T. Morishima 1 ⚽ 36' M 7.90
3 Y. Sato Y. Sato D
Best on the pitch
H. Kawabe
H. Kawabe
M · Sanfrecce
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
T. Takamine
T. Takamine
M · Nagoya
8.50
1 👟
· 87 pass
S. Nakano
S. Nakano
M · Sanfrecce
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 18 pass
T. Morishima
T. Morishima
M · Nagoya
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
A. Suzuki
A. Suzuki
F · Sanfrecce
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
S. Nakamura
S. Nakamura
F · Sanfrecce
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Ouchi G 95 6.90 — — — 29 17% — — —
S. Sasaki D 95 6.90 — — 1 40 34% 1 — —
Taichi Yamasaki D 95 6.30 — — — 22 15% — — —
T. Shiotani D 55 6.90 — — — 17 13% — — —
S. Higashi M 95 7.30 — 2 — 31 25% — — —
N. Arai M 95 7.20 — — — 44 38% 3 — —
H. Kawabe M 81 8.50 1 1 2 34 29% 5 1 —
S. Nakano M 95 8.20 1 1 3 18 14% 2 — —
S. Nakamura F 81 7.60 1 — 2 28 20% 2 — —
M. Kato F 55 6.30 — — — 18 11% 1 — —
A. Suzuki F 74 7.90 1 — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Chajima Yusuke M 14 6.70 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
K. Kinoshita F 21 6.50 — — — 7 4% — — —
N. Maeda F 14 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
R. Germain F 40 6.70 — — — 12 7% — — —
T. Matsumoto M 40 6.90 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Schmidt G 95 6.00 — — — 51 45% — — —
S. Tokumoto D 95 6.20 — — — 66 57% 1 — —
H. Fujii D 95 6.30 — — 1 63 50% 1 — —
Y. Nogami D 95 6.00 — — — 42 36% — — —
K. Nakayama M 95 6.90 — — — 41 31% 2 — —
T. Takamine M 95 8.50 — 1 — 87 77% 1 — —
T. Uchida M 59 6.20 — — — 36 34% 2 — —
Y. Asano M 95 5.70 — — 2 26 19% — — —
Y. Kimura F 95 5.90 — — 1 27 19% — — —
R. Izumi F 59 6.20 — — — 13 9% — — —
Y. Yamagishi F 95 7.00 1 — 4 24 12% — — —
H. Koda M 36 6.90 — — — 9 7% 2 — —
T. Morishima M 36 7.90 1 — 1 48 45% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
The final score was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus.
What did the model predict before Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Nagoya Grampus win.