Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus — pre-match prediction — J1 League — May 23, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 18 May 23, 2026 07:00 Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

#3 · 17 pts

4 – 2

Final score

Nagoya Grampus

#17 · 6 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Sanfrecce Hiroshima

S. Nakamura (ast. H. Kawabe) 33'

H. Kawabe (ast. S. Nakano) 45'+4

S. Nakano (ast. S. Higashi) 46'

A. Suzuki (ast. S. Higashi) 56'

45'+2 (ast. T. Takamine) Y. Yamagishi

67' T. Morishima

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 22%). The final result was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus. In 2 previous meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nagoya Grampus.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

38%

Possession

62%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽S. Nakamura · ast. H. Kawabe

33'

H. Kawabe

42'

45'+2

ast. T. Takamine · Y. Yamagishi⚽

⚽H. Kawabe · ast. S. Nakano

45'+4

⚽S. Nakano · ast. S. Higashi

46'

↕ T. Shiotani / T. Matsumoto

55'

↕ M. Kato / R. Germain

55'

⚽A. Suzuki · ast. S. Higashi

56'

59'

H. Koda / R. Izumi ↕

59'

T. Morishima / T. Uchida ↕

67'

T. Morishima⚽

↕ A. Suzuki / K. Kinoshita

74'

↕ H. Kawabe / Y. Chajima

81'

↕ S. Nakamura / N. Maeda

81'

Pre-match prediction

55.04%

Sanfrecce ←

22.07%

22.89%

Nagoya

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 55.04% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sanfrecce

1.85

—

Nagoya

1.08

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	8	19
2	Kashiwa Reysol	8	18
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	8	17
4	Machida Zelvia	8	17
5	FC Tokyo	8	17
6	Yokohama F. Marinos	8	14
7	Kawasaki Frontale	8	13
8	Kashima	8	13
9	Fagiano Okayama	8	13
10	Urawa	8	12
11	Cerezo Osaka	8	11
12	Shimizu S-pulse	8	10
13	Mito Hollyhock	8	9
14	Kyoto Sanga	8	8
15	V-varen Nagasaki	8	8
16	Gamba Osaka	8	6
17	Nagoya Grampus	8	6
18	Avispa Fukuoka	8	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	8	4
20	JEF United Chiba	8	4

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1

I. Ouchi G 6.90

S. Sasaki D 6.90

Taichi Yamasaki D 6.30

T. Shiotani 55' D 6.90

S. Higashi 2 👟 M 7.30

N. Arai M 7.20

H. Kawabe 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' M 8.50

Shuto Nakano 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20

S. Nakamura 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.60

M. Kato 55' F 6.30

A. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.90

Bench

Chajima Yusuke 14' M 6.70

K. Kinoshita 21' F 6.50

Motoki Ohara M

N. Maeda 14' F 6.50

R. Germain 40' F 6.70

Takaaki Shichi D

T. Matsumoto 40' M 6.90

Y. Nakajima M

Y. Tanaka G

Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1

D. Schmidt G 6.00

S. Tokumoto D 6.20

H. Fujii D 6.30

Y. Nogami D 6.00

K. Nakayama M 6.90

T. Takamine 1 👟 M 8.50

T. Uchida 59' M 6.20

Y. Asano M 5.70

Y. Kimura F 5.90

R. Izumi 59' F 6.20

Y. Yamagishi 1 ⚽ F 7.00

Bench

A. Pisano G

H. Koda 36' M 6.90

Kennedy Egbus Mikuni D

K. Nagai F

M. Ono M

Shungo Sugiura F

T. Kikuchi M

T. Morishima 1 ⚽ 36' M 7.90

Y. Sato D

Best on the pitch

H. Kawabe

M · Sanfrecce

8.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 34 pass

T. Takamine

M · Nagoya

8.50

1 👟

· 87 pass

Shuto Nakano

M · Sanfrecce

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 18 pass

T. Morishima

M · Nagoya

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 48 pass

A. Suzuki

F · Sanfrecce

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 26 pass

S. Nakamura

F · Sanfrecce

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. Ouchi	G	95	6.90	—	—	—	29	17%	—	—	—
S. Sasaki	D	95	6.90	—	—	1	40	34%	1	—	—
Taichi Yamasaki	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	22	15%	—	—	—
T. Shiotani	D	55	6.90	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
S. Higashi	M	95	7.30	—	2	—	31	25%	—	—	—
N. Arai	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	44	38%	3	—	—
H. Kawabe	M	81	8.50	1	1	2	34	29%	5	1	—
Shuto Nakano	M	95	8.20	1	1	3	18	14%	2	—	—
S. Nakamura	F	81	7.60	1	—	2	28	20%	2	—	—
M. Kato	F	55	6.30	—	—	—	18	11%	1	—	—
A. Suzuki	F	74	7.90	1	—	1	26	21%	1	—	—
Chajima Yusuke	M	14	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	1	—	—
K. Kinoshita	F	21	6.50	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
N. Maeda	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—
R. Germain	F	40	6.70	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—
T. Matsumoto	M	40	6.90	—	—	—	10	7%	1	—	—

Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Schmidt	G	95	6.00	—	—	—	51	45%	—	—	—
S. Tokumoto	D	95	6.20	—	—	—	66	57%	1	—	—
H. Fujii	D	95	6.30	—	—	1	63	50%	1	—	—
Y. Nogami	D	95	6.00	—	—	—	42	36%	—	—	—
K. Nakayama	M	95	6.90	—	—	—	41	31%	2	—	—
T. Takamine	M	95	8.50	—	1	—	87	77%	1	—	—
T. Uchida	M	59	6.20	—	—	—	36	34%	2	—	—
Y. Asano	M	95	5.70	—	—	2	26	19%	—	—	—
Y. Kimura	F	95	5.90	—	—	1	27	19%	—	—	—
R. Izumi	F	59	6.20	—	—	—	13	9%	—	—	—
Y. Yamagishi	F	95	7.00	1	—	4	24	12%	—	—	—
H. Koda	M	36	6.90	—	—	—	9	7%	2	—	—
T. Morishima	M	36	7.90	1	—	1	48	45%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

The final score was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus.

What did the model predict before Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model assigned 55% probability to a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Nagoya Grampus win.