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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 07:00 Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 · 26 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Shimizu S-pulse
#13 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Taishi Matsumoto (ast. Daiki Suga) 41'
Takuma Asano (ast. Daiki Suga) 50'
Akito Suzuki (ast. Taishi Matsumoto) 69'
Sodai Hasukawa 75' (og)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 57% win probability (draw 26%, Shimizu S-pulse 16%). The final result was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Shimizu S-pulse. In 2 previous meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shimizu S-pulse.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
2
2.11
Actual xG
0.59
2
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
23
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Takumu Kawamura / Hayao Kawabe
17'
27'
Kei Koizumi / Masaki Yumiba ↕
⚽Taishi Matsumoto · ast. Daiki Suga
41'
↕ Mutsuki Kato / Takuma Asano
45'
45'
Tomoya Fujii / Capixaba ↕
49'
Oh Se-hun / Kosuke Kinoshita ↕
49'
Kazuki Kozuka / Taiki Hirato ↕
⚽Takuma Asano · ast. Daiki Suga
50'
62'
Ryo Germain
⚽Akito Suzuki · ast. Taishi Matsumoto
69'
↕ Akito Suzuki / Kusini Yengi
70'
↕ Daiki Suga / Shunki Higashi
70'
⚽Sodai Hasukawa (og)
75'
↕ Shun Ayukawa / Shimon Kobayashi
82'
87'
Rinsei Ohata / Yudai Shimamoto ↕
Hayato Araki
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
57.78%
Sanfrecce ←
26.04%
X
16.17%
Shimizu
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 57.78% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sanfrecce
1.44
2.11
+0.67
Shimizu
0.41
0.59
+0.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
1 K. Osako K. Osako G 6.54
37 Kim Ju-Sung Kim Ju-Sung D 7.57
4 H. Araki H. Araki D 7.75
15 S. Nakano S. Nakano D 7.06
18 D. Suga D. Suga 2 👟 70' M 8.29
8 T. Kawamura T. Kawamura 17' M 6.60
14 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
5 N. Arai N. Arai M 6.21
10 A. Suzuki A. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 70' M 8.20
11 M. Kato M. Kato 46' M 6.91
23 S. Ayukawa S. Ayukawa 82' F 6.33
Bench
6 H. Kawabe H. Kawabe 73' M 7.16
99 I. Ouchi I. Ouchi G 0.00
9 K. Yengi K. Yengi 20' F 6.38
46 R. Noguchi R. Noguchi M 0.00
7 S. Higashi S. Higashi 20' M 6.72
45 S. Kobayashi S. Kobayashi 8' M 6.87
32 S. Koshimichi S. Koshimichi M 0.00
29 T. Asano T. Asano 1 ⚽ 44' F 7.73
35 Y. Nakajima Y. Nakajima M 0.00
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3
16 T. Umeda T. Umeda G 5.51
25 Mateus Brunetti Mateus Brunetti D 6.63
4 S. Hasukawa S. Hasukawa 1 ⚽ D 4.88
14 Park Seung-Wook Park Seung-Wook D 5.73
24 H. Sugai H. Sugai D 5.53
18 T. Hirato T. Hirato 49' M 5.35
17 M. Yumiba M. Yumiba 27' M 6.28
47 Y. Shimamoto Y. Shimamoto 87' M 5.92
7 Capixaba Capixaba 46' F 5.80
19 K. Kinoshita K. Kinoshita 49' F 6.40
13 R. Germain R. Germain F 4.89
Bench
41 Keigo Suzuki Keigo Suzuki M 0.00
37 K. Koizumi K. Koizumi 63' M 6.23
81 K. Kozuka K. Kozuka 41' M 6.83
9 Oh Se-Hun Oh Se-Hun 41' F 6.17
97 R. Ohata R. Ohata 3' M 5.78
50 T. Fujii T. Fujii 44' M 5.88
1 Y. Oki Y. Oki G 0.00
28 Y. Yoshida Y. Yoshida D 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Matsumoto
T. Matsumoto
M · Sanfrecce
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 65 pass
D. Suga
D. Suga
M · Sanfrecce
8.29
2 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
A. Suzuki
A. Suzuki
M · Sanfrecce
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
H. Araki
H. Araki
D · Sanfrecce
7.75
1 shots · 62 pass
T. Asano
T. Asano
F · Sanfrecce
7.73
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Kim Ju-Sung
Kim Ju-Sung
D · Sanfrecce
7.57
2 shots · 60 pass
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Osako G 90 6.54 — — 0 31 22% 0 — —
Kim Ju-Sung D 90 7.57 — — 2 60 50% 2 — —
H. Araki D 90 7.75 — — 1 62 54% 4 1 —
S. Nakano D 90 7.06 — — 1 60 49% 2 — —
D. Suga M 70 8.29 — 2 2 34 23% 2 — —
T. Kawamura M 17 6.60 — — 0 3 1% 1 — —
T. Matsumoto M 90 9.00 1 1 1 65 60% 1 — —
N. Arai M 90 6.21 — — 3 55 38% 4 — —
A. Suzuki M 70 8.20 1 — 2 25 21% 0 — —
M. Kato M 46 6.91 — — 1 9 7% 2 — —
S. Ayukawa F 82 6.33 — — 2 32 23% 1 — —
H. Kawabe M 73 7.16 — — 0 33 30% 4 — —
K. Yengi F 20 6.38 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
S. Higashi M 20 6.72 — — 0 15 10% 0 — —
S. Kobayashi M 8 6.87 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
T. Asano F 44 7.73 1 — 1 23 21% 0 — —
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Umeda G 90 5.51 — — 0 30 20% 0 — —
Mateus Brunetti D 90 6.63 — — 0 48 39% 4 — —
S. Hasukawa D 90 4.88 1 — 0 46 37% 1 — —
Park Seung-Wook D 90 5.73 — — 0 41 33% 1 — —
H. Sugai D 90 5.53 — — 0 32 20% 1 — —
T. Hirato M 49 5.35 — — 1 15 13% 0 — —
M. Yumiba M 27 6.28 — — 0 11 6% 0 — —
Y. Shimamoto M 87 5.92 — — 0 19 15% 0 — —
Capixaba F 46 5.80 — — 1 5 2% 2 — —
K. Kinoshita F 49 6.40 — — 2 8 6% 0 — —
R. Germain F 90 4.89 — — 4 20 12% 1 1 —
K. Koizumi M 63 6.23 — — 0 22 20% 2 — —
K. Kozuka M 41 6.83 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
Oh Se-Hun F 41 6.17 — — 0 14 10% 1 — —
R. Ohata M 3 5.78 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
T. Fujii M 44 5.88 — — 1 20 16% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The final score was Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Shimizu S-pulse.
What did the model predict before Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, 26% to a draw, and 16% to an Shimizu S-pulse win.