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Sanjoanense - Academica

Taça de Portugal November 21, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.41%
Win
Sanjoanense
32.96%
Draw
33.64%
Win
Academica
0.89
Expected xG
0.92

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.07%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sanjoanense a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Academica. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sanjoanense and 0.9 for Academica (total 1.8), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.07% probability.

Season Stats

Sanjoanense
3W 0D 1L
Academica
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.3
1.2
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
67%
75%
O 2.5
67%
25%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Sanjoanense
2W 0D 1L · at home
Academica
1W 0D 0L · away
1.3
gls/g
4.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sanjoanense Academica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.4% 15.1% 6.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

W Nacional 1–0
W Ançã 1–4
W Pacos de Brandao 3–0
L Felgueiras 1932 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
W Amarante 3–2
W Real 1–4
L Os Marialvas 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Sanjoanense Sanjoanense
Attack
42
Defence
78
Form
65
Academica Academica
Attack
61
Defence
65
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Academica?
The model gives Sanjoanense a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Academica win.
How many goals are expected in Sanjoanense vs Academica?
Expected goals: Sanjoanense 0.9, Academica 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Sanjoanense vs Academica?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.07%.