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Sanjoanense - Nacional

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
Sanjoanense
vs
Nacional
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.89%
Win
Sanjoanense
26.11%
Draw
26.0%
Win
Nacional
4.31
Expected xG
0.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.9%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 26%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 52%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 60%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sanjoanense a 47% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Nacional. Expected goals are 4.3 for Sanjoanense and 0.9 for Nacional (total 5.2), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.9% probability.

Season Stats

Sanjoanense
2W 0D 1L
Nacional
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
2.5
1.7
Conceded
2.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
33%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Sanjoanense
1W 0D 1L · at home
Nacional
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.5
2.0
Conceded
2.5
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sanjoanense Nacional →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
1 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
2 4.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% —
3 7.1% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% —
4 7.6% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
5 6.6% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% —

Recent form

Sanjoanense Sanjoanense
W Ançã 1–4
W Pacos de Brandao 3–0
L Felgueiras 1932 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Nacional Nacional
L SC Braga 4–2
W Rebordelo 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Sanjoanense Sanjoanense
Attack
47
Defence
69
Form
60
Nacional Nacional
Attack
23
Defence
41
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
The model gives Sanjoanense a 47% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an Nacional win.
How many goals are expected in Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
Expected goals: Sanjoanense 4.3, Nacional 0.9 (total 5.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.