Sant'Angelo - Varesina
Serie D - Girone D
September 13, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.88%
Win
Sant'Angelo
31.64%
Draw
36.48%
Win
Varesina
1.37
4.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.93%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
32%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
68%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Varesina a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Sant'Angelo. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sant'Angelo and 4.5 for Varesina (total 5.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.93% probability.
Season Stats
4W
5D
6L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
3.0
1.5
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
100%
47%
O 2.5
100%
73%
BTTS
100%
13%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Sant'Angelo
Varesina →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| 4 | — | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Playing profile
Sant'Angelo
Attack
18
Defence
37
Form
25
Varesina
Attack
75
Defence
50
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Castellanzese
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Pistoiese
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Varesina
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Lentigione
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pro Patria
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
USD Casatese
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Correggese
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Città di Varese
|
1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Sant'Angelo
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Coriano
|
1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Pavia
|
1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Crema
|
1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Pro Sesto
|
1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Arconatese
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Oltrepò
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Pontedera
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Solbiatese
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sant'Angelo vs Varesina?
The model gives Sant'Angelo a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Varesina win.
How many goals are expected in Sant'Angelo vs Varesina?
Expected goals: Sant'Angelo 1.4, Varesina 4.5 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sant'Angelo vs Varesina?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.93%.