Brasileirão Série D
· Regular Season - 7
May 16, 2026 20:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Catarina a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Joinville 29%). The final result was Santa Catarina 1–0 Joinville. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Catarina have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Joinville.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
38.75%
Santa ←
31.48%
X
29.77%
Joinville
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Catarina)
38.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
—
—
0.78
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Catarina vs Joinville?
The final score was Santa Catarina 1–0 Joinville.
What did the model predict before Santa Catarina vs Joinville?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Santa Catarina win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Joinville win.