Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
32'
(pen.)
62'
(ast. Gianluca Prestianni)
Vangelis Pavlidis
68'
Gianluca Prestianni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Santa Clara 25%). The final result was Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica. In 2 previous meetings, Santa Clara have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Benfica.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
3
1.60
Actual xG
1.83
2
Saves
5
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
3
19
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
8'
Alexander Bah
10'
Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva
⚽Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
(pen.)
32'
Emanuel Moreira
36'
Pedro Pacheco
40'
45'
Andreas Schjelderup
/
Heorhii Sudakov
45'
Dodi Lukebakio
/
Rafa Silva
59'
Vangelis Pavlidis
62'
ast. Gianluca Prestianni ·
Vangelis Pavlidis⚽
Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos
/ Welinton Torrão
67'
68'
Gianluca Prestianni⚽
74'
Fredrik Aursnes
Dani Borges
/ Joao Vasconcelos
75'
82'
Alessandro Circati
/
Tomás Araújo
82'
Jhon Durán
/
Vangelis Pavlidis
Lucas Soares
/ Léo Jacó
85'
Pedro Ferreira
/ Vitor Hugo Amorim de Assis
85'
88'
Samuel Dahl
89'
Jhon Durán
90'+2
Manuel Silva
/
Gianluca Prestianni
Joao Vasconcelos
90'+3
90'+6
Jhon Durán
Guilherme Romão
90'
Pre-match prediction
25.02%
Santa
26.71%
X
48.28%
Benfica ←
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
48.28%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.89
1.60
+0.71
1.81
1.83
+0.02
xG dominance was balanced (1.60 – 1.83).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas França
G
Lucas França
G
5
Guilherme Romão
D
Guilherme Romão
D
21
Emanuel Fernandes
D
Emanuel Fernandes
D
4
Pedro Pacheco
D
Pedro Pacheco
D
42
Lucas Soares
85'
D
Lucas Soares
85'
D
41
Daniel Borges
75'
M
Daniel Borges
75'
M
6
Pedro Ferreira
85'
M
Pedro Ferreira
85'
M
10
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
67'
M
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
67'
M
20
Tiago Ribeiro
M
Tiago Ribeiro
M
70
Vinícius Lopes
M
Vinícius Lopes
M
7
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
1 ⚽
F
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
A. Duarte
F
A. Duarte
F
25
F. Medeiros
M
F. Medeiros
M
3
Henrique Silva
D
Henrique Silva
D
17
João Vasconcelos
15'
M
João Vasconcelos
15'
M
73
Léo Jacó
5'
F
Léo Jacó
5'
F
12
Neneca
G
Neneca
G
81
Seydou Fofana
M
Seydou Fofana
M
99
Sorriso
F
Sorriso
F
22
Vitinho
5'
M
Vitinho
5'
M
11
Welinton Torrão
23'
F
Welinton Torrão
23'
F
24
Samuel Soares
G
Samuel Soares
G
26
S. Dahl
D
S. Dahl
D
2
C. Lenglet
D
C. Lenglet
D
44
Tomás Araújo
82'
D
Tomás Araújo
82'
D
6
A. Bah
D
A. Bah
D
36
João Palhinha
M
João Palhinha
M
8
F. Aursnes
M
F. Aursnes
M
25
G. Prestianni
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
G. Prestianni
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
10
H. Sudakov
45'
M
H. Sudakov
45'
M
27
Rafa
45'
M
Rafa
45'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
82'
F
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
72
A. Cabral
F
A. Cabral
F
3
A. Circati
8'
D
A. Circati
8'
D
21
A. Schjelderup
45'
F
A. Schjelderup
45'
F
1
A. Trubin
G
A. Trubin
G
30
C. Echeverri
M
C. Echeverri
M
11
D. Lukebakio
45'
F
D. Lukebakio
45'
F
33
Gabriel Indio
D
Gabriel Indio
D
22
J. Durán
14'
F
J. Durán
14'
F
62
J. Neto
D
J. Neto
D
16
Manu
1'
M
Manu
1'
M
34
S. El Karouani
D
S. El Karouani
D
Best on the pitch
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
8.24
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 35 pass
V. Pavlidis
F · Benfica
7.63
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
F · Santa
7.39
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Samuel Soares
G · Benfica
7.35
· 27 pass
A. Schjelderup
F · Benfica
7.20
2 shots
· 11 pass
Lucas Soares
D · Santa
6.80
2 shots
· 29 pass
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França | G | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 90 | 5.34 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Emanuel Fernandes | D | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 85 | 6.80 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | M | 75 | 5.30 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 85 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos | M | 67 | 6.07 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Ribeiro | M | 90 | 5.74 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira | F | 90 | 7.39 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| João Vasconcelos | M | 15 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Léo Jacó | F | 5 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 5 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Welinton Torrão | F | 23 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Soares | G | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 39% | 5 | 1 | — |
| C. Lenglet | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 87 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 82 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 59% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bah | D | 90 | 5.64 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 46% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Prestianni | M | 89 | 8.24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | 45 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafa | M | 45 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 82 | 7.63 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Circati | D | 8 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 45 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Durán | F | 14 | 6.40 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Manu | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Benfica?
The final score was Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Santa Clara vs Benfica?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Santa Clara win, 26% to a draw, and 48% to an Benfica win.