Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 19:00 Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

Santa Clara

#4 · 11 pts

1 – 0

Final score

GIL Vicente

#8 · 7 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Clara a 40% win probability (draw 24%, GIL Vicente 34%). The final result was Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Clara have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for GIL Vicente.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

0

0.30

Actual xG

0.79

54%

Possession

46%

6

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

40.39%

Santa ←

24.91%

X

34.7%

GIL

we assigned to the actual result (Santa Clara) 40.39% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Santa

1.53

0.30

-1.23

GIL

1.31

0.79

-0.52

GIL Vicente dominated by xG (0.79 vs 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	6	18
2	Benfica	5	13
3	Sporting CP	5	13
4	Santa Clara	5	11
5	Arouca	5	10
6	Estrela	5	9
7	Academico Viseu	6	8
8	GIL Vicente	4	7
9	SC Braga	4	7
10	Maritimo	5	7
11	Alverca	6	5
12	Vitória SC	6	4
13	Nacional	6	4
14	Moreirense	5	4
15	Famalicao	5	3
16	Rio Ave	5	3
17	Estoril	5	2
18	Casa Pia	6	1