P. Pacheco
(ast. Andrey)
27'
Elias Manoel
(ast. Fernando)
90'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Clara a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Nacional 28%). The final result was Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional. In 2 previous meetings, Santa Clara have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
1
1.37
Actual xG
0.61
1
Saves
0
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
6
22
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
G. Paciencia
/ Elias Manoel
24'
⚽P. Pacheco
· ast. Andrey
27'
29'
Paulinho Boia
46'
C. Labidi
/
Matheus Dias
46'
Gabriel Veron
/
Witi
60'
J. Aurelio
62'
A. Nunez
/
J. Aurelio
Gustavo Klismahn
/ Darlan
64'
Andrey
/ Isaac
64'
Darlan
80'
Welinton Torrao
/ Vinicius Lopes
82'
Gabriel Silva
/ Fernando
82'
82'
L. Joao
/
Daniel Junior
⚽Elias Manoel
· ast. Fernando
90'+2
90'+4
Watts
/
F. Soares
Pre-match prediction
40.52%
Santa ←
31.4%
X
28.08%
Nacional
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Clara)
40.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.37
+0.4
0.76
0.61
-0.15
Santa Clara dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
50
J. Afonso
G
J. Afonso
G
64
Paulo Victor
D
Paulo Victor
D
4
Pedro Pacheco
1 ⚽
D
Pedro Pacheco
1 ⚽
D
23
Sidney Lima
D
Sidney Lima
D
2
Diogo Calila
D
Diogo Calila
D
78
Andrey
1 👟
64'
M
65
José Luís Rocha Tavares
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
M
10
Gabriel Silva
82'
M
Gabriel Silva
82'
M
77
Gustavo Klismahn
64'
M
49
Welinton Torrão
82'
M
Welinton Torrão
82'
M
39
Gonçalo Paciência
24'
F
Gonçalo Paciência
24'
F
Bench
37
Darlan
26'
M
Darlan
26'
M
7
Elias Manoel
1 ⚽
66'
F
Elias Manoel
1 ⚽
66'
F
21
Frederico Venâncio
D
Frederico Venâncio
D
1
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
94
Henrique Silva
D
Henrique Silva
D
52
Isaac
26'
M
42
Lucas Soares
D
Lucas Soares
D
26
Luis Fernando
1 👟
8'
F
Luis Fernando
1 👟
8'
F
70
Vinícius Lopes
8'
F
Vinícius Lopes
8'
F
1
Kaique
G
Kaique
G
5
José Gomes
D
José Gomes
D
33
Francisco Gonçalves
D
Francisco Gonçalves
D
34
Léo Santos
D
Léo Santos
D
2
João Aurélio
62'
D
João Aurélio
62'
D
6
Matheus Dias
45'
M
Matheus Dias
45'
M
22
Filipe Soares
89'
M
Filipe Soares
89'
M
11
Paulinho Bóia
M
Paulinho Bóia
M
10
Daniel Júnior
82'
M
Daniel Júnior
82'
M
7
Witi
45'
M
Witi
45'
M
9
Jesús Ramírez
F
Jesús Ramírez
F
Bench
18
André Sousa
M
André Sousa
M
16
A. Núñez
28'
D
A. Núñez
28'
D
15
C. Labidi
45'
M
C. Labidi
45'
M
27
Gabriel Veron
45'
F
26
Joel da Silva
M
Joel da Silva
M
50
Kevyn
G
Kevyn
G
19
Lucas João
8'
F
Lucas João
8'
F
30
Martim Gustavo Watts
1'
M
Martim Gustavo Watts
1'
M
99
Pablo Ruan
F
Pablo Ruan
F
Best on the pitch
Pedro Pacheco
D · Santa
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
J. Afonso
G · Santa
7.90
· 21 pass
Paulo Victor
D · Santa
7.90
· 30 pass
Elias Manoel
F · Santa
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Luis Fernando
F · Santa
7.30
1 👟
· 4 pass
Diogo Calila
D · Santa
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Afonso | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Sidney Lima | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Calila | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrey | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Klismahn | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Welinton Torrão | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Darlan | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Elias Manoel | F | 66 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Isaac | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Fernando | F | 8 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| José Gomes | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 65% | — | — | — |
| João Aurélio | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Dias | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulinho Bóia | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Júnior | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Witi | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Ramírez | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Núñez | D | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Labidi | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Veron | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas João | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Martim Gustavo Watts | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Nacional?
The final score was Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Santa Clara vs Nacional?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Santa Clara win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Nacional win.