Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 1
August 10, 2026 21:15
G. Paciencia
19'
G. Paciencia
(ast. Diogo Calila)
21'
(pen.)
36'
Liziero
45'
M. Baeza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Clara a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Nacional 30%). The final result was Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional. In 2 previous meetings, Santa Clara have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
4
1.43
Actual xG
1.23
2
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
4
13
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Paciencia
19'
⚽G. Paciencia
· ast. Diogo Calila
21'
Vinicius Lopes
24'
36'
(pen.)
Liziero⚽
Daniel Borges
39'
40'
Wesley Gasolina
45'
M. Baeza⚽
61'
F. Soares
/
J. Silva
Vinicius Lopes
/ Welinton Torrao
68'
J. Tavares
/ T. Ribeiro
68'
70'
F. Soares
72'
S. Gavriel
/
M. Baeza
73'
D. I. de la Cruz
/
Wesley Gasolina
Daniel Borges
/ Rildo
79'
Sorriso
/ Fernando
80'
80'
Deivison
/
Daniel Junior
80'
Mateus Iseppe
/
M. Jensen
Diogo Calila
/ Lucas Soares
85'
Pre-match prediction
36.87%
Santa
32.32%
X ←
30.81%
Nacional
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.82
1.43
-0.39
1.16
1.23
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.43 – 1.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Lucas França
G
Lucas França
G
5
Guilherme Romão
D
Guilherme Romão
D
4
Pedro Pacheco
D
Pedro Pacheco
D
23
Sidney Lima
D
Sidney Lima
D
2
Diogo Calila
1 👟
85'
D
Diogo Calila
1 👟
85'
D
41
Daniel Borges
79'
M
Daniel Borges
79'
M
6
Pedro Ferreira
M
Pedro Ferreira
M
70
Vinícius Lopes
68'
M
Vinícius Lopes
68'
M
8
José Luís Rocha Tavares
68'
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
68'
M
99
Sorriso
80'
M
Sorriso
80'
M
9
Gonçalo Paciência
2 ⚽
F
Gonçalo Paciência
2 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Emanuel Fernandes
D
Emanuel Fernandes
D
17
João Vasconcelos
M
João Vasconcelos
M
85
Kamika
D
Kamika
D
42
Lucas Soares
11'
D
Lucas Soares
11'
D
7
Luis Fernando
10'
F
Luis Fernando
10'
F
12
Neneca
G
Neneca
G
37
Rildo
11'
F
Rildo
11'
F
20
Tiago Ribeiro
22'
M
Tiago Ribeiro
22'
M
22
Vitinho
M
Vitinho
M
11
Welinton Torrão
22'
F
Welinton Torrão
22'
F
1
Renato Bellucci
G
Renato Bellucci
G
38
Zé Vitor
D
Zé Vitor
D
6
Matheus Dias
D
Matheus Dias
D
34
Léo Santos
D
Léo Santos
D
7
M. Jensen
80'
M
M. Jensen
80'
M
26
Joel da Silva
61'
M
Joel da Silva
61'
M
28
Liziero
1 ⚽
M
Liziero
1 ⚽
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
73'
M
Wesley Gasolina
73'
M
10
Daniel Júnior
80'
F
Daniel Júnior
80'
F
99
Pablo Ruan
F
Pablo Ruan
F
8
Miguel Baeza
1 ⚽
72'
F
Miguel Baeza
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
15
C. Labidi
M
C. Labidi
M
2
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
17'
D
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
17'
D
88
Deivison
10'
M
Deivison
10'
M
22
Filipe Soares
29'
M
Filipe Soares
29'
M
33
Francisco Gonçalves
D
Francisco Gonçalves
D
50
Kevyn
G
Kevyn
G
30
Martim Gustavo Watts
M
Martim Gustavo Watts
M
23
Mateus Jose Iseppe
10'
M
Mateus Jose Iseppe
10'
M
11
S. Gavriel
18'
M
S. Gavriel
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Gonçalo Paciência
F · Santa
8.20
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 13 pass
Miguel Baeza
F · Nacional
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Liziero
M · Nacional
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Zé Vitor
D · Nacional
7.20
· 59 pass
Sorriso
M · Santa
7.20
1 shots
· 14 pass
M. Jensen
M · Nacional
7.00
· 15 pass
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Sidney Lima | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Calila | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Sorriso | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 5 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Luis Fernando | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rildo | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Ribeiro | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Welinton Torrão | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel da Silva | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Liziero | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 36 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Wesley Gasolina | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Júnior | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Ruan | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | F | 72 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Deivison | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateus Jose Iseppe | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Gavriel | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Nacional?
The final score was Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Santa Clara vs Nacional?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Santa Clara win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Nacional win.