Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 29
April 11, 2026 21:00
50'
(ast. M. Vrousai)
T. Nikitscher
(og)
61'
S. Lima
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Clara a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Rio Ave 30%). The final result was Santa Clara 0–2 Rio Ave. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Clara have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rio Ave.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
0.26
2
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
3
19
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
39'
Jakub Brabec
Welinton Torrao
/ Vinicius Lopes
46'
50'
ast. M. Vrousai ·
T. Nikitscher⚽
Fernando
/ G. Paciencia
57'
Gustavo Klismahn
/ Brenner
57'
61'
(og)
S. Lima⚽
63'
Gustavo Mancha
Lucas Soares
/ Diogo Calila
69'
70'
Tamás Nikitscher
Gabriel Silva
75'
76'
Ryan Guilherme
/
O. Pohlmann
P. Ferreira
/ J. Tavares
81'
86'
F. Petrasso
/
D. Spikic
86'
A. Papakanellos
/
T. Monteiro
Henrique Silva
87'
90'+2
G. Liavas
/
Diogo Bezerra
90'+2
J. Tome
/
M. Vrousai
Pre-match prediction
39.9%
Santa
29.51%
X
30.6%
Rio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rio Ave)
30.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
0.51
-0.57
1.07
0.26
-0.81
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.26).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
5
Guilherme Romão
D
Guilherme Romão
D
94
Henrique Silva
D
Henrique Silva
D
23
Sidney Lima
1 ⚽
D
Sidney Lima
1 ⚽
D
42
Lucas Soares
69'
D
Lucas Soares
69'
D
49
Welinton Torrao
45'
M
Welinton Torrao
45'
M
35
Serginho
M
Serginho
M
8
Pedro Ferreira
81'
M
10
Gabriel Silva
M
Gabriel Silva
M
26
Luis Fernando
57'
F
Luis Fernando
57'
F
77
Gustavo Klismahn
57'
F
Gustavo Klismahn
57'
F
Bench
11
Brenner
33'
F
2
Diogo Calila
21'
D
Diogo Calila
21'
D
21
Frederico Venâncio
D
Frederico Venâncio
D
39
Gonçalo Paciência
33'
F
Gonçalo Paciência
33'
F
65
José Tavares
9'
M
José Tavares
9'
M
70
Vinícius Lopes
45'
F
Vinícius Lopes
45'
F
99
G
6
Nelson Abbey
D
Nelson Abbey
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
32
Jakub Brabec
D
Jakub Brabec
D
17
Marios Vrousai
1 👟
89'
D
Marios Vrousai
1 👟
89'
D
5
A. Ntoi
M
A. Ntoi
M
44
Tamás Nikitscher
1 ⚽
M
Tamás Nikitscher
1 ⚽
M
18
Dario Špikić
86'
M
Dario Špikić
86'
M
80
Olinho
76'
M
Olinho
76'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
89'
M
Diogo Bezerra
89'
M
9
Tamblé Monteiro
86'
F
Tamblé Monteiro
86'
F
Bench
11
Jalen Blesa
F
Jalen Blesa
F
8
Ryan Guilherme
14'
M
Ryan Guilherme
14'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Rio
8.00
· 43 pass
Tamás Nikitscher
M · Rio
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
A. Ntoi
M · Rio
7.70
· 37 pass
Marios Vrousai
D · Rio
7.70
1 👟
· 39 pass
Gustavo Mancha
D · Rio
7.50
· 45 pass
Serginho
M · Santa
7.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrique Silva | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Sidney Lima | D | 90 | 5.20 | 1 | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Welinton Torrao | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 7 | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Fernando | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Klismahn | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Calila | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| José Tavares | M | 9 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| Nelson Abbey | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marios Vrousai | D | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ntoi | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| Tamás Nikitscher | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dario Špikić | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Olinho | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Tamblé Monteiro | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Guilherme | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
The final score was Santa Clara 0–2 Rio Ave.
What did the model predict before Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Santa Clara win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Rio Ave win.