Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 14
October 27, 2026 02:05
✓Model correct — prediction Santa Fe
F. Fagundez
31'
L. Palacios
(ast. F. Fagundez)
90'+3
80'
(ast. E. Batalla)
L. Pons
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 63% win probability (draw 21%, Bucaramanga 15%). The final result was Santa Fe 2–1 Bucaramanga. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bucaramanga.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
0.96
Actual xG
0.65
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
3
5
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽F. Fagundez
31'
47'
C. Romana
H. Rodallega
55'
63'
F. Sambueza
67'
K. Londono
/
F. Sambueza
67'
L. Flores
/
F. Charrupi
J. Obrian
/ O. Fernandez
69'
E. Rodriguez
/ L. Palacios
69'
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
73'
80'
ast. E. Batalla ·
L. Pons⚽
E. Olivera
83'
J. Torres
/ A. Zapata
85'
D. Torres
/ K. D. Toscano Bassa
85'
85'
N. Castrillon
/
E. Batalla
87'
P. Peirano
M. Puerta
/ M. Lovera
88'
89'
M. Rea
/
L. Pons
89'
A. Zarate
/
A. Gutierrez
⚽L. Palacios
· ast. F. Fagundez
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
63.27%
Santa ←
21.15%
X
15.58%
Bucaramanga
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
63.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
0.96
-0.9
0.70
0.65
-0.05
Santa Fe dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Weimar Asprilla
88'
G
Weimar Asprilla
88'
G
4
Mateo Puerta
88'
D
Mateo Puerta
88'
D
15
Ivan Scarpeta
88'
D
Ivan Scarpeta
88'
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
88'
D
Emanuel Olivera
88'
D
13
Helibelton Palacios
88'
D
Helibelton Palacios
88'
D
25
Emerson Rodríguez
69'
M
Emerson Rodríguez
69'
M
7
Jhojan Torres
85'
M
Jhojan Torres
85'
M
16
Daniel Torres
85'
M
Daniel Torres
85'
M
77
Jader Obrian
69'
M
Jader Obrian
69'
M
9
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
11
Hugo Rodallega
88'
F
Hugo Rodallega
88'
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
3'
M
Alexis Zapata
3'
M
39
Cristhian Portocarrero
M
Cristhian Portocarrero
M
21
Ewil Murillo Renteria
M
Ewil Murillo Renteria
M
43
Jean Caicedo
D
Jean Caicedo
D
31
Juan Espitia
G
Juan Espitia
G
6
Kilian Toscano
3'
F
Kilian Toscano
3'
F
14
Luis Angel Palacios
1 ⚽
19'
F
Luis Angel Palacios
1 ⚽
19'
F
17
Maximiliano Lovera
F
Maximiliano Lovera
F
8
Omar Fernández
19'
F
Omar Fernández
19'
F
25
Cristopher Fiermarín
88'
G
Cristopher Fiermarín
88'
G
4
José García
88'
D
José García
88'
D
23
Carlos Romaña
47'
D
Carlos Romaña
47'
D
24
José Ortiz
88'
D
José Ortiz
88'
D
8
Freddy Hinestroza
88'
M
Freddy Hinestroza
88'
M
22
Fabry Castro
88'
M
Fabry Castro
88'
M
21
Felix Charrupí
67'
M
Felix Charrupí
67'
M
19
Aldair Gutiérrez
88'
M
Aldair Gutiérrez
88'
M
17
Emerson Batalla
1 👟
85'
F
Emerson Batalla
1 👟
85'
F
27
Luciano Pons
1 ⚽
88'
F
Luciano Pons
1 ⚽
88'
F
10
Fabián Sambueza
67'
F
Fabián Sambueza
67'
F
Bench
5
Adrián Murillo
F
Adrián Murillo
F
20
Aldair Zárate
F
Aldair Zárate
F
9
Brandon Caicedo
F
Brandon Caicedo
F
7
Kevin Londoño
21'
M
Kevin Londoño
21'
M
28
Leonardo Flores
21'
M
Leonardo Flores
21'
M
16
Luis Matheus
G
Luis Matheus
G
3
Martín Rea
D
Martín Rea
D
6
Nilson Castrillón
3'
D
Nilson Castrillón
3'
D
80
Omar Albornoz
D
Omar Albornoz
D
Best on the pitch
Franco Fagúndez
F · Santa
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 43 pass
Luciano Pons
F · Bucaramanga
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
José García
D · Bucaramanga
7.20
· 52 pass
Luis Angel Palacios
F · Santa
7.00
1 ⚽
· 4 pass
Fabry Castro
M · Bucaramanga
7.00
· 40 pass
Emerson Rodríguez
M · Santa
7.00
1 shots
· 20 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weimar Asprilla | G | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Puerta | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivan Scarpeta | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Rodríguez | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | F | 88 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luis Angel Palacios | F | 19 | 7.00 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Omar Fernández | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
Bucaramanga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Fiermarín | G | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| José García | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Romaña | D | 47 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 0 | — | 1 |
| José Ortiz | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Freddy Hinestroza | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Fabry Castro | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Charrupí | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Aldair Gutiérrez | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Batalla | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Pons | F | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Sambueza | F | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Flores | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nilson Castrillón | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
The final score was Santa Fe 2–1 Bucaramanga.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Santa Fe win, 21% to a draw, and 15% to an Bucaramanga win.