Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 4
August 08, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Santa Fe
H. Rodallega
(ast. F. Fagundez)
54'
J. Palma
76'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Chico 12%). The final result was Santa Fe 2–0 Chico. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chico.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
0.93
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
0
11
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Bustos
40'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ F. Fagundez
46'
N. Bustos
/ M. Lovera
46'
O. Fernandez
/ A. Zapata
46'
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. F. Fagundez
54'
J. Angulo
/ C. Mafla
63'
A. Mosquera
/ W. Asprilla
70'
72'
F. Cifuentes
/
I. Camargo
⚽J. Palma
(og)
76'
78'
E. Sarria
/
Y. Cabrera
87'
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
90'+1
S. Viveros
/
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
Pre-match prediction
68.79%
Santa ←
18.95%
X
12.27%
Chico
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
68.79%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
0.93
-1.17
0.69
0.79
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (0.93 – 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Mosquera
69'
G
A. Mosquera
69'
G
24
Jeison Angulo
63'
D
Jeison Angulo
63'
D
35
Kevin Balanta
D
Kevin Balanta
D
18
E. Olivera
D
E. Olivera
D
13
H. Palacios
D
H. Palacios
D
6
K. Toscano
45'
M
K. Toscano
45'
M
16
D. Torres
M
D. Torres
M
8
O. Fernández
45'
M
O. Fernández
45'
M
19
N. Bustos
45'
M
N. Bustos
45'
M
77
J. Obrian
M
J. Obrian
M
11
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
A. Zapata
45'
M
A. Zapata
45'
M
32
C. Mafla
27'
D
C. Mafla
27'
D
9
F. Fagúndez
1 👟
45'
F
F. Fagúndez
1 👟
45'
F
7
Jhojan Torres
F
Jhojan Torres
F
14
L. Palacios
F
L. Palacios
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
17
M. Lovera
45'
F
M. Lovera
45'
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
21'
G
Weibmar Asprilla
21'
G
12
B. Zapata
G
B. Zapata
G
14
Cristian Blanco
D
Cristian Blanco
D
25
Sebastián Palma
1 ⚽
D
Sebastián Palma
1 ⚽
D
4
J. Mena
D
J. Mena
D
24
C. Mosquera
D
C. Mosquera
D
16
S. Mera
M
S. Mera
M
6
J. Díaz
M
J. Díaz
M
10
Y. Cabrera
78'
M
Y. Cabrera
78'
M
8
S. Salazar
M
S. Salazar
M
11
Delio Ramírez
89'
M
Delio Ramírez
89'
M
9
I. Camargo
72'
F
I. Camargo
72'
F
Bench
1
D. Agudelo
G
D. Agudelo
G
2
D. Polanco
D
D. Polanco
D
17
E. Sarria
12'
F
E. Sarria
12'
F
7
F. Cifuentes
18'
F
F. Cifuentes
18'
F
5
J. Alomía
D
J. Alomía
D
21
J. Pimentel
F
J. Pimentel
F
20
Sebastián Viveros
1'
M
Sebastián Viveros
1'
M
Best on the pitch
E. Olivera
D · Santa
8.70
· 100 pass
J. Díaz
M · Chico
7.70
1 shots
· 70 pass
D. Torres
M · Santa
7.50
· 71 pass
Kevin Balanta
D · Santa
7.30
· 88 pass
H. Rodallega
F · Santa
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
H. Palacios
D · Santa
7.20
· 32 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jeison Angulo | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Balanta | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 88 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 100 | 85% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Obrian | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Mafla | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lovera | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Weibmar Asprilla | G | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Chico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Zapata | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Blanco | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Palma | D | 90 | 5.60 | 1 | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Mena | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mera | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Cabrera | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Salazar | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Delio Ramírez | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Camargo | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Sarria | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Cifuentes | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Viveros | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Chico?
The final score was Santa Fe 2–0 Chico.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Chico?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Santa Fe win, 18% to a draw, and 12% to an Chico win.