Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 02:30
H. Rodallega
(ast. J. Obrian)
59'
90'+3
(ast. Matheuzinho)
Gustavo Henrique
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Corinthians 27%). The final result was Santa Fe 1–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.69
2
Saves
6
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
6
13
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
E. Olivera
39'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
44'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
/ J. Obrian
55'
E. Olivera
/ I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
56'
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. J. Obrian
59'
H. Rodallega
64'
75'
Dieguinho
/
Andre
O. Fernandez
/ A. Zapata
79'
H. Palacios
/ L. Palacios
79'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
79'
81'
A. Carrillo
/
Raniele
87'
Pedro Raul
/
Breno Bidon
87'
Kaio Cesar
/
Yuri Alberto
90'+3
ast. Matheuzinho ·
Gustavo Henrique⚽
A. Zapata
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
45.06%
Santa
27.69%
X ←
27.25%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
1.26
-0.01
0.86
0.69
-0.17
Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.69).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Andrés Mosquera
G
Andrés Mosquera
G
32
Christian Mafla
D
Christian Mafla
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
56'
D
Emanuel Olivera
56'
D
13
Helibelton Palacios
79'
D
Helibelton Palacios
79'
D
6
Kilian Toscano
79'
M
Kilian Toscano
79'
M
16
D. Torres
M
D. Torres
M
8
O. Fernández
79'
M
O. Fernández
79'
M
19
N. Bustos
M
N. Bustos
M
27
Yeicar Perlaza
55'
M
Yeicar Perlaza
55'
M
11
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
11'
M
Alexis Zapata
11'
M
15
Ivan Scarpeta
34'
D
Ivan Scarpeta
34'
D
7
Jhojan Torres
11'
F
Jhojan Torres
11'
F
14
Luis Angel Palacios
11'
F
Luis Angel Palacios
11'
F
20
Yilmar Velázquez
D
Yilmar Velázquez
D
1
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
D
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
1 👟
D
Matheuzinho
1 👟
D
14
Raniele
81'
M
Raniele
81'
M
49
André Luiz
75'
M
André Luiz
75'
M
77
J. Lingard
M
J. Lingard
M
8
R. Garro
M
R. Garro
M
7
Breno Bidon
87'
M
Breno Bidon
87'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
87'
F
Yuri Alberto
87'
F
Bench
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
15'
M
Dieguinho
15'
M
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
20
Pedro Milans
D
Pedro Milans
D
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
7.50
1 shots
· 53 pass
Helibelton Palacios
D · Santa
7.30
· 29 pass
H. Rodallega
F · Santa
7.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 22 pass
G · Corinthians
7.30
· 30 pass
Emanuel Olivera
D · Santa
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Yeicar Perlaza | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Ivan Scarpeta | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Angel Palacios | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
The final score was Santa Fe 1–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Santa Fe win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Corinthians win.