Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 02:30
H. Rodallega
(ast. J. Obrian)
59'
90'+3
(ast. Matheuzinho)
Gustavo Henrique
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Corinthians 27%). The final result was Santa Fe 1–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.69
2
Saves
6
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
6
13
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
E. Olivera
39'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
44'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
/ J. Obrian
55'
E. Olivera
/ I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
56'
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. J. Obrian
59'
H. Rodallega
64'
75'
Dieguinho
/
Andre
O. Fernandez
/ A. Zapata
79'
H. Palacios
/ L. Palacios
79'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
79'
81'
A. Carrillo
/
Raniele
87'
Pedro Raul
/
Breno Bidon
87'
Kaio Cesar
/
Yuri Alberto
90'+3
ast. Matheuzinho ·
Gustavo Henrique⚽
A. Zapata
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
45.06%
Santa
27.69%
X ←
27.25%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
1.26
-0.01
0.86
0.69
-0.17
Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.69).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
32
C. Mafla
D
C. Mafla
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
18
E. Olivera
56'
D
E. Olivera
56'
D
13
H. Palacios
79'
D
H. Palacios
79'
D
6
K. Toscano
79'
M
K. Toscano
79'
M
16
D. Torres
M
D. Torres
M
8
O. Fernández
79'
M
O. Fernández
79'
M
19
N. Bustos
M
N. Bustos
M
27
Y. Perlaza
55'
M
Y. Perlaza
55'
M
11
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
A. Zapata
11'
M
A. Zapata
11'
M
15
I. Scarpeta
34'
D
I. Scarpeta
34'
D
7
Jhojan Torres
11'
F
Jhojan Torres
11'
F
14
L. Palacios
11'
F
L. Palacios
11'
F
20
Yilmar Velázquez
D
Yilmar Velázquez
D
1
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
D
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
1 👟
D
Matheuzinho
1 👟
D
14
Raniele
81'
M
Raniele
81'
M
49
Andre
75'
M
Andre
75'
M
77
J. Lingard
M
J. Lingard
M
8
R. Garro
M
R. Garro
M
7
Breno Bidon
87'
M
Breno Bidon
87'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
87'
F
Yuri Alberto
87'
F
Bench
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
15'
M
Dieguinho
15'
M
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
20
P. Milans
D
P. Milans
D
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
7.50
1 shots
· 53 pass
H. Palacios
D · Santa
7.30
· 29 pass
H. Rodallega
F · Santa
7.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 22 pass
G · Corinthians
7.30
· 30 pass
E. Olivera
D · Santa
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Mafla | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Y. Perlaza | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Scarpeta | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| L. Palacios | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Andre | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
The final score was Santa Fe 1–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Santa Fe win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Corinthians win.