Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 17
April 19, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Santa Fe
O. Fernandez
(ast. F. Fagundez)
4'
F. Fagundez
(ast. H. Palacios)
22'
H. Rodallega
(ast. O. Fernandez)
33'
A. Zapata
(ast. N. Bustos)
86'
N. Bustos
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 57% win probability (draw 26%, Cucuta 16%). The final result was Santa Fe 5–0 Cucuta.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
1.10
Actual xG
0.43
4
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
6
19
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽O. Fernandez
· ast. F. Fagundez
4'
⚽F. Fagundez
· ast. H. Palacios
22'
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. O. Fernandez
33'
34'
J. Ceballos
/
V. Mejia
K. D. Toscano Bassa
42'
O. Fernandez
/ J. Obrian
46'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ D. Torres
46'
55'
O. Albornoz
/
L. Berdugo
55'
F. Castaneda
/
E. Arizalas
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
/ A. Zapata
62'
62'
J. Ramirez
/
F. Abadia
H. Rodallega
/ N. Bustos
69'
F. Fagundez
/ M. Palacios
76'
79'
E. M. Duarte Barajas
/
L. Rios
79'
B. Rodriguez
/
B. Montano
H. Palacios
82'
⚽A. Zapata
· ast. N. Bustos
86'
⚽N. Bustos
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
57.12%
Santa ←
26.02%
X
16.86%
Cucuta
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
57.12%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.10
-0.73
0.84
0.43
-0.41
Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
24
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
18
E. Olivera
D
E. Olivera
D
13
H. Palacios
1 👟
D
H. Palacios
1 👟
D
7
Jhojan Torres
M
Jhojan Torres
M
6
K. Toscano
45'
M
K. Toscano
45'
M
27
Y. Perlaza
62'
M
Y. Perlaza
62'
M
9
F. Fagúndez
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
F. Fagúndez
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
8
O. Fernández
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
O. Fernández
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
11
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
69'
F
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
10
A. Zapata
1 ⚽
28'
M
A. Zapata
1 ⚽
28'
M
32
C. Mafla
D
C. Mafla
D
16
D. Torres
45'
M
D. Torres
45'
M
19
N. Bustos
1 ⚽
1 👟
21'
F
N. Bustos
1 ⚽
1 👟
21'
F
24
Federico Abadía
62'
G
Federico Abadía
62'
G
30
B. Montaño
79'
D
B. Montaño
79'
D
44
D
3
D. Calcaterra
D
D. Calcaterra
D
26
Y. Abonía
D
Y. Abonía
D
5
V. Mejía
34'
M
V. Mejía
34'
M
16
K. Londoño
M
K. Londoño
M
11
E. Arízalas
55'
M
E. Arízalas
55'
M
10
L. Ríos
79'
M
L. Ríos
79'
M
7
L. Berdugo
55'
M
L. Berdugo
55'
M
90
L. Hernández
F
L. Hernández
F
Bench
23
F. Castañeda
35'
F
F. Castañeda
35'
F
27
M. Duarte
11'
D
M. Duarte
11'
D
80
Omar Albornoz
35'
D
Omar Albornoz
35'
D
Best on the pitch
O. Fernández
M · Santa
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
F. Fagúndez
M · Santa
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
N. Bustos
F · Santa
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
A. Zapata
M · Santa
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Jhojan Torres
M · Santa
7.70
1 shots
· 27 pass
H. Rodallega
F · Santa
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Perlaza | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | M | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 69 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 28 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bustos | F | 21 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Cucuta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Abadía | G | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Montaño | D | 79 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Calcaterra | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Abonía | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Mejía | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Londoño | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Arízalas | M | 55 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Ríos | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Berdugo | M | 55 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Hernández | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Castañeda | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Duarte | D | 11 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Omar Albornoz | D | 35 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Cucuta?
The final score was Santa Fe 5–0 Cucuta.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Cucuta?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Santa Fe win, 26% to a draw, and 16% to an Cucuta win.