Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 17
April 19, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Santa Fe
O. Fernandez
(ast. F. Fagundez)
4'
F. Fagundez
(ast. H. Palacios)
22'
H. Rodallega
(ast. O. Fernandez)
33'
A. Zapata
(ast. N. Bustos)
86'
N. Bustos
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 57% win probability (draw 26%, Cucuta 16%). The final result was Santa Fe 5–0 Cucuta.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
1.10
Actual xG
0.43
4
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
6
19
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽O. Fernandez
· ast. F. Fagundez
4'
⚽F. Fagundez
· ast. H. Palacios
22'
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. O. Fernandez
33'
34'
J. Ceballos
/
V. Mejia
K. D. Toscano Bassa
42'
O. Fernandez
/ J. Obrian
46'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ D. Torres
46'
55'
O. Albornoz
/
L. Berdugo
55'
F. Castaneda
/
E. Arizalas
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
/ A. Zapata
62'
62'
J. Ramirez
/
F. Abadia
H. Rodallega
/ N. Bustos
69'
F. Fagundez
/ M. Palacios
76'
79'
E. M. Duarte Barajas
/
L. Rios
79'
B. Rodriguez
/
B. Montano
H. Palacios
82'
⚽A. Zapata
· ast. N. Bustos
86'
⚽N. Bustos
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
57.12%
Santa ←
26.02%
X
16.86%
Cucuta
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
57.12%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.10
-0.73
0.84
0.43
-0.41
Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andrés Mosquera
G
Andrés Mosquera
G
24
D
3
Victor Moreno
D
Victor Moreno
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
D
13
H. Palacios
1 👟
D
7
Jhojan Torres
M
Jhojan Torres
M
6
Kilian Toscano
45'
M
Kilian Toscano
45'
M
27
Yeicar Perlaza
62'
M
Yeicar Perlaza
62'
M
9
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
8
Omar Fernández
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
Omar Fernández
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
11
Hugo Rodallega
1 ⚽
69'
F
Hugo Rodallega
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
1 ⚽
28'
M
Alexis Zapata
1 ⚽
28'
M
32
Christian Mafla
D
Christian Mafla
D
16
Daniel Torres
45'
M
Daniel Torres
45'
M
19
Nahuel Bustos
1 ⚽
1 👟
21'
F
Nahuel Bustos
1 ⚽
1 👟
21'
F
24
F. Abadia
62'
G
30
B. Montano
79'
D
44
D
3
D. Calcaterra
D
26
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez
D
5
Victor Mejia
34'
M
16
Kevin Londoño
M
11
E. Arízalas
55'
M
E. Arízalas
55'
M
10
L. Rios
79'
M
7
L. Berdugo
55'
M
L. Berdugo
55'
M
90
L. Hernandez
F
Bench
23
F. Castaneda
35'
F
27
Mauricio Duarte
11'
D
80
Omar Albornoz
35'
D
Best on the pitch
Omar Fernández
M · Santa
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
Franco Fagúndez
M · Santa
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
Nahuel Bustos
F · Santa
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
Alexis Zapata
M · Santa
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Jhojan Torres
M · Santa
7.70
1 shots
· 27 pass
Hugo Rodallega
F · Santa
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Victor Moreno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yeicar Perlaza | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | M | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Omar Fernández | M | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 69 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 28 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Bustos | F | 21 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Cucuta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abadia | G | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Montano | D | 79 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Calcaterra | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Mejia | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Arízalas | M | 55 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Rios | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Berdugo | M | 55 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Hernandez | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Castaneda | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Duarte | D | 11 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Omar Albornoz | D | 35 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Cucuta?
The final score was Santa Fe 5–0 Cucuta.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Cucuta?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Santa Fe win, 26% to a draw, and 16% to an Cucuta win.