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Santa Fe - Jaguares

Liga BetPlay October 15, 2026 03:05
Santa Fe
#7 · 29 pts
vs
Jaguares
#16 · 18 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.28%
Win
Santa Fe
28.81%
Draw
16.91%
Win
Jaguares
1.21
Expected xG
0.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (21.23%)
1X2 Result
1 54%
X 29%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 46%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 35%
✓ 57.1% hit rate (28 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Santa Fe a 54% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Jaguares. Expected goals are 1.2 for Santa Fe and 0.6 for Jaguares (total 1.8), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 21.23% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Jaguares.

Season Stats

Santa Fe
6W 7D 2L
Jaguares
3W 5D 7L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.7
4.6
Shots OT
3.9
4.5
Corners
3.6
46%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Santa Fe
5W 4D 1L · at home
Jaguares
0W 2D 8L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.9
0.9
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
90%
Win or Draw
20%
70%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Santa Fe Jaguares →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.1% 9.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 20.7% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 12.5% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% — —
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% — — —
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Santa Fe Santa Fe
L Deportivo Cali 0–1
W Alianza Valledupar 1–4
W Deportes Tolima 1–0
D Fortaleza FC 2–2
W Millonarios 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 48%
Jaguares Jaguares
L Independiente Medellin 2–1
D Fortaleza FC 2–2
D Junior 3–3
D America de Cali 2–2
W Chico 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Santa Fe Santa Fe
Attack
43
Defence
71
Form
60
Jaguares Jaguares
Attack
33
Defence
50
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Santa Fe
0
Draw
1
Jaguares
18 Feb 2026 Liga BetPlay 1–3

Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10

What's at stake · Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Santa Fe Jaguares
Current #7 #16
→ Santa Fe #6 #16
→ Draw #7 #16
→ Jaguares #7 #16

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Santa Fe vs Jaguares?
The model gives Santa Fe a 54% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 16% for an Jaguares win.
How many goals are expected in Santa Fe vs Jaguares?
Expected goals: Santa Fe 1.2, Jaguares 0.6 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Santa Fe vs Jaguares?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.23%.