Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - Semi-finals
May 17, 2026 03:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Santa Fe, result Draw
H. Rodallega
84'
(pen.)
(og)
38'
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 68% win probability (draw 17%, Junior 14%). The final result was Santa Fe 1–1 Junior. In 2 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
3
1.96
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
G. Paiva
7'
Y. Suarez
38'
(og)
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado⚽
N. Bustos
/ F. Fagundez
60'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
/ J. Obrian
60'
M. Puerta
/ L. Palacios
60'
D. Torres
69'
V. Moreno
71'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
73'
73'
L. Muriel
/
G. Paiva
73'
Y. Chara
/
J. Sarmiento
74'
J. Canchimbo
/
B. Castrillon
79'
E. Herrera
/
C. Barrios
⚽H. Rodallega
(pen.)
84'
86'
K. Perez
/
F. S. Angel Bernal
O. Fernandez
/ A. Zapata
87'
Pre-match prediction
68.45%
Santa
17.25%
X ←
14.31%
Junior
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.34
1.96
-0.38
0.81
0.49
-0.32
Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Andrés Mosquera
G
Andrés Mosquera
G
32
Christian Mafla
D
Christian Mafla
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
15
Ivan Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
Ivan Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
4
Mateo Puerta
61'
D
Mateo Puerta
61'
D
6
Kilian Toscano
74'
M
Kilian Toscano
74'
M
16
Daniel Torres
M
Daniel Torres
M
8
O. Fernández
85'
M
O. Fernández
85'
M
19
N. Bustos
61'
M
N. Bustos
61'
M
27
Yeicar Perlaza
61'
M
Yeicar Perlaza
61'
M
11
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
12'
M
Alexis Zapata
12'
M
9
Franco Fagúndez
29'
F
Franco Fagúndez
29'
F
77
Jader Obrian
29'
F
Jader Obrian
29'
F
24
Jeison Angulo
D
Jeison Angulo
D
7
Jhojan Torres
16'
F
Jhojan Torres
16'
F
14
Luis Angel Palacios
29'
F
Luis Angel Palacios
29'
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Weibmar Asprilla
G
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
5
Daniel Rivera
D
Daniel Rivera
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
Jermein Peña
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
80
Fabián Ángel
85'
M
Fabián Ángel
85'
M
14
Juan David Ríos
M
Juan David Ríos
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
75'
M
Bryan Castrillón
75'
M
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
74'
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
74'
M
77
Cristian Barrios
80'
M
Cristian Barrios
80'
M
9
G. Paiva
75'
F
G. Paiva
75'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
19
Daniel Soccaras
D
Daniel Soccaras
D
3
Edwin Herrera
10'
D
Edwin Herrera
10'
D
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
15'
F
Joel Canchimbo
15'
F
18
Kevin Pérez
12'
F
Kevin Pérez
12'
F
10
L. Muriel
15'
F
L. Muriel
15'
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
F
T. Gutiérrez
F
8
Yimmi Chará
16'
M
Yimmi Chará
16'
M
Best on the pitch
Daniel Torres
M · Santa
7.70
· 61 pass
O. Fernández
M · Santa
7.50
1 shots
· 30 pass
Fabián Ángel
M · Junior
7.30
· 22 pass
Yeicar Perlaza
M · Santa
7.20
1 shots
· 15 pass
Jermein Peña
D · Junior
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
Cristian Barrios
M · Junior
7.00
· 31 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ivan Scarpeta | D | 90 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Mateo Puerta | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Yeicar Perlaza | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Angel Palacios | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Rivera | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabián Ángel | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jannenson Sarmiento | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Edwin Herrera | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pérez | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Junior?
The final score was Santa Fe 1–1 Junior.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Junior?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Santa Fe win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an Junior win.