Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - Semi-finals
May 17, 2026 03:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Santa Fe, result Draw
H. Rodallega
84'
(pen.)
(og)
38'
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 68% win probability (draw 17%, Junior 14%). The final result was Santa Fe 1–1 Junior. In 3 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
3
1.96
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
G. Paiva
7'
Y. Suarez
38'
(og)
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado⚽
N. Bustos
/ F. Fagundez
60'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
/ J. Obrian
60'
M. Puerta
/ L. Palacios
60'
D. Torres
69'
V. Moreno
71'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
73'
73'
L. Muriel
/
G. Paiva
73'
Y. Chara
/
J. Sarmiento
74'
J. Canchimbo
/
B. Castrillon
79'
E. Herrera
/
C. Barrios
⚽H. Rodallega
(pen.)
84'
86'
K. Perez
/
F. S. Angel Bernal
O. Fernandez
/ A. Zapata
87'
Pre-match prediction
68.45%
Santa
17.25%
X ←
14.31%
Junior
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.34
1.96
-0.38
0.81
0.49
-0.32
Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
32
C. Mafla
D
C. Mafla
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
15
I. Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
I. Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
4
M. Puerta
61'
D
M. Puerta
61'
D
6
K. Toscano
74'
M
K. Toscano
74'
M
16
D. Torres
M
D. Torres
M
8
O. Fernández
85'
M
O. Fernández
85'
M
19
N. Bustos
61'
M
N. Bustos
61'
M
27
Yeicar Perlaza
61'
M
Yeicar Perlaza
61'
M
11
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
A. Zapata
12'
M
A. Zapata
12'
M
9
F. Fagúndez
29'
F
F. Fagúndez
29'
F
24
Jeison Angulo
D
Jeison Angulo
D
7
Jhojan Torres
16'
F
Jhojan Torres
16'
F
77
J. Obrian
29'
F
J. Obrian
29'
F
14
L. Palacios
29'
F
L. Palacios
29'
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Weibmar Asprilla
G
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
26
Y. Súarez
D
Y. Súarez
D
5
D. Rivera
D
D. Rivera
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
Jermein Peña
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
80
F. Ángel
85'
M
F. Ángel
85'
M
14
J. Ríos
M
J. Ríos
M
88
B. Castrillón
75'
M
B. Castrillón
75'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
74'
M
J. Sarmiento
74'
M
77
C. Barrios
80'
M
C. Barrios
80'
M
9
G. Paiva
75'
F
G. Paiva
75'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
19
Daniel Socarras
D
Daniel Socarras
D
3
E. Herrera
10'
D
E. Herrera
10'
D
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
15'
F
Joel Canchimbo
15'
F
18
K. Pérez
12'
F
K. Pérez
12'
F
10
L. Muriel
15'
F
L. Muriel
15'
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
F
T. Gutiérrez
F
8
Yimmi Chará
16'
M
Yimmi Chará
16'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Torres
M · Santa
7.70
· 61 pass
O. Fernández
M · Santa
7.50
1 shots
· 30 pass
F. Ángel
M · Junior
7.30
· 22 pass
Yeicar Perlaza
M · Santa
7.20
1 shots
· 15 pass
Jermein Peña
D · Junior
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
C. Barrios
M · Junior
7.00
· 31 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Mafla | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Scarpeta | D | 90 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Puerta | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Yeicar Perlaza | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Obrian | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Palacios | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Y. Súarez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Rivera | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ángel | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Castrillón | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| C. Barrios | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Pérez | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Junior?
The final score was Santa Fe 1–1 Junior.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Junior?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Santa Fe win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an Junior win.