Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 02, 2026 01:30
48'
(ast. N. Ospina)
Jhon Vasquez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Llaneros 19%). The final result was Santa Fe 0–1 Llaneros.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
4
0.85
Actual xG
0.60
3
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
12
Corners
4
7
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Christian Mafla
3'
5'
Luis Marimón
Christian Mafla
33'
Christian Mafla
33'
33'
Marlon Sierra
46'
K. Caicedo
/
Kelvin Osorio
46'
C. Cortes
/
L. Marimon
48'
ast. N. Ospina ·
Jhon Vasquez⚽
Victor Moreno
54'
56'
J. Ramirez
/
L. Miranda
H. Palacios
/ M. Puerta
63'
O. Fernandez
/ F. Fagundez
63'
M. Lovera
/ E. Mosquera
69'
70'
Dennis Quintero
70'
Kevin Caicedo
72'
H. H. Mena Posada
/
D. Quintero
J. Torres
/ N. Bustos
79'
Y. Velasquez
/ K. D. Toscano Bassa
79'
84'
E. Laszo
/
Jhon Vasquez
90'+2
Alejandro Moralez
Emanuel Olivera
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.34%
Santa
26.76%
X
19.9%
Llaneros ←
we assigned to the actual result (Llaneros)
19.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.82
0.85
-0.97
0.69
0.60
-0.09
xG dominance was balanced (0.85 – 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
32
C. Mafla
33'
D
C. Mafla
33'
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
18
E. Olivera
D
E. Olivera
D
13
H. Palacios
63'
D
H. Palacios
63'
D
7
Jhojan Torres
79'
M
Jhojan Torres
79'
M
20
Yilmar Velázquez
79'
M
Yilmar Velázquez
79'
M
8
O. Fernández
63'
M
O. Fernández
63'
M
17
M. Lovera
69'
M
M. Lovera
69'
M
14
L. Palacios
M
L. Palacios
M
11
H. Rodallega
F
H. Rodallega
F
Bench
9
F. Fagúndez
27'
F
F. Fagúndez
27'
F
6
K. Toscano
11'
F
K. Toscano
11'
F
40
M. Palacios
4
M. Puerta
27'
D
M. Puerta
27'
D
19
N. Bustos
11'
F
N. Bustos
11'
F
1
M. Ortega
G
M. Ortega
G
26
D. Quintero
72'
D
D. Quintero
72'
D
21
F. Meza
D
F. Meza
D
23
Alejandro Moralez
D
Alejandro Moralez
D
4
J. Pertúz
D
J. Pertúz
D
6
Marlon Sierra
M
Marlon Sierra
M
95
J. Vásquez
1 ⚽
84'
M
J. Vásquez
1 ⚽
84'
M
33
K. Osorio
45'
M
K. Osorio
45'
M
7
L. Miranda
56'
M
L. Miranda
56'
M
10
N. Ospina
1 👟
M
N. Ospina
1 👟
M
11
L. Marimon
45'
F
Bench
9
Carlos Cortés
45'
F
Carlos Cortés
45'
F
2
H. Mena
18'
D
H. Mena
18'
D
35
K. Caicedo
45'
M
Best on the pitch
F. Meza
D · Llaneros
7.70
· 45 pass
Jhojan Torres
M · Santa
7.50
· 44 pass
J. Pertúz
D · Llaneros
7.50
· 17 pass
J. Vásquez
M · Llaneros
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
M. Ortega
G · Llaneros
7.20
· 25 pass
N. Ospina
M · Llaneros
7.00
1 👟
· 35 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| C. Mafla | D | 33 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 2 | 1 |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | M | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Yilmar Velázquez | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lovera | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Palacios | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 18% | — | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Toscano | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Puerta | D | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Llaneros — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ortega | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Quintero | D | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Meza | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Alejandro Moralez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Pertúz | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Sierra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Vásquez | M | 84 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Osorio | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Miranda | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ospina | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Marimon | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Cortés | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| H. Mena | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Caicedo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Llaneros?
The final score was Santa Fe 0–1 Llaneros.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Llaneros?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Santa Fe win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Llaneros win.