Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 2
August 03, 2026 03:00
J. Obrian
(ast. N. Bustos)
4'
A. Correa
63'
(og)
54'
(ast. M. Barrios)
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
82'
(ast. A. Correa)
A. Colorado
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 43% win probability (draw 22%, Once Caldas 33%). The final result was Santa Fe 2–2 Once Caldas. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Once Caldas.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
9
0.37
Actual xG
1.42
7
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
4
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Obrian
· ast. N. Bustos
4'
J. Obrian
41'
46'
P. Gomez
/
E. Torres
N. Bustos
/ A. Zapata
46'
J. Obrian
/ L. Palacios
46'
54'
ast. M. Barrios ·
J. A. Zapata Ramirez⚽
O. Fernandez
/ F. Fagundez
57'
⚽A. Correa
(og)
63'
66'
D. Moreno
/
A. Roa
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
79'
82'
ast. A. Correa ·
A. Colorado⚽
84'
A. Colorado
85'
J. Quinones
/
M. Barrios
85'
M. Zuleta
/
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
85'
T. Rojas
/
A. Colorado
J. Angulo
90'+2
D. Torres
/ M. Lovera
90'
Pre-match prediction
43.33%
Santa
22.7%
X ←
33.97%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
0.37
-1.33
1.57
1.42
-0.15
Once Caldas dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
24
Jeison Angulo
D
Jeison Angulo
D
3
Victor Moreno
D
Victor Moreno
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
D
Emanuel Olivera
D
13
Helibelton Palacios
D
Helibelton Palacios
D
6
Kilian Toscano
79'
M
Kilian Toscano
79'
M
16
Daniel Torres
89'
M
Daniel Torres
89'
M
8
Omar Fernández
57'
M
Omar Fernández
57'
M
19
N. Bustos
1 👟
45'
M
N. Bustos
1 👟
45'
M
77
Jader Obrian
1 ⚽
45'
M
Jader Obrian
1 ⚽
45'
M
11
Hugo Rodallega
F
Hugo Rodallega
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
45'
M
Alexis Zapata
45'
M
9
F. Fagúndez
33'
F
F. Fagúndez
33'
F
15
Ivan Scarpeta
D
Ivan Scarpeta
D
43
Jean Caicedo
D
Jean Caicedo
D
7
Jhojan Torres
11'
F
Jhojan Torres
11'
F
14
Luis Angel Palacios
45'
F
Luis Angel Palacios
45'
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
17
Maximiliano Lovera
1'
F
Maximiliano Lovera
1'
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Weibmar Asprilla
G
99
Felipe Parra
G
Felipe Parra
G
3
A. Correa
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
A. Correa
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
30
Daniel Londoño
D
Daniel Londoño
D
2
Jorge Cardona
D
Jorge Cardona
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
23
Andres Colorado
1 ⚽
85'
M
Andres Colorado
1 ⚽
85'
M
7
Michael Barrios
1 👟
85'
M
Michael Barrios
1 👟
85'
M
15
Jaime Alvarado
M
Jaime Alvarado
M
20
A. Roa
66'
M
A. Roa
66'
M
29
E. Torres
45'
M
E. Torres
45'
M
14
J. Zapata
1 ⚽
85'
F
J. Zapata
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
17
D. Moreno
24'
F
D. Moreno
24'
F
4
Efraín Navarro
D
Efraín Navarro
D
21
Helieyker Guzman
F
Helieyker Guzman
F
42
Jader Quinones
10'
M
Jader Quinones
10'
M
16
Juan Castaño
D
Juan Castaño
D
25
Juan Gallego
G
Juan Gallego
G
28
M. Zuleta
10'
M
M. Zuleta
10'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
45'
F
Pipe Gómez
45'
F
19
Tomas García
10'
M
Tomas García
10'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Mosquera
G · Santa
8.20
· 30 pass
Andres Colorado
M · Once
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
Jader Obrian
M · Santa
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
J. Zapata
F · Once
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Daniel Torres
M · Santa
7.20
· 51 pass
Jaime Alvarado
M · Once
7.00
· 76 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jeison Angulo | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Moreno | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Fernández | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | M | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luis Angel Palacios | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Lovera | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Parra | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| A. Correa | D | 90 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Londoño | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Cardona | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Andres Colorado | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Michael Barrios | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Jaime Alvarado | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 76 | 66% | — | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| E. Torres | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | F | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jader Quinones | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Zuleta | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomas García | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Santa Fe 2–2 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Santa Fe win, 22% to a draw, and 33% to an Once Caldas win.