Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction Santa Fe
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
(ast. O. Fernandez)
48'
H. Rodallega
(ast. J. Obrian)
71'
73'
A. Lotti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 63% win probability (draw 23%, Platense 13%). The final result was Santa Fe 2–1 Platense. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Platense.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.87
Actual xG
1.06
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
3
13
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
45'+4
M. Borgogno
K. D. Toscano Bassa
45'+5
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
46'
⚽I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
· ast. O. Fernandez
48'
M. Puerta
53'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
60'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
/ J. Obrian
61'
N. Bustos
/ F. Fagundez
61'
O. Fernandez
/ M. Lovera
61'
64'
A. Lotti
/
G. Lencina
64'
L. Heredia
/
M. Amarfil
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. J. Obrian
71'
73'
A. Lotti⚽
79'
G. Mainero
81'
E. Raggio
/
A. Lagos
81'
H. Bobadilla
/
I. Gomez
81'
B. Merlini
/
T. Silva
87'
E. Raggio
H. Rodallega
/ J. Angulo
90'+3
J. Torres
90'+4
A. Mosquera
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
63.11%
Santa ←
23.19%
X
13.7%
Platense
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
63.11%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
0.87
-0.77
0.49
1.06
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (0.87 – 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andrés Mosquera
G
Andrés Mosquera
G
32
Christian Mafla
D
Christian Mafla
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
15
Ivan Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
Ivan Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
4
Mateo Puerta
D
Mateo Puerta
D
16
D. Torres
M
D. Torres
M
6
Kilian Toscano
45'
M
Kilian Toscano
45'
M
8
O. Fernández
1 👟
61'
M
O. Fernández
1 👟
61'
M
19
N. Bustos
61'
M
N. Bustos
61'
M
27
Yeicar Perlaza
61'
M
Yeicar Perlaza
61'
M
11
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
H. Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
M
Alexis Zapata
M
22
Edwin Mosquera
M
Edwin Mosquera
M
21
Ewil Murillo Renteria
M
Ewil Murillo Renteria
M
9
Franco Fagúndez
36'
F
Franco Fagúndez
36'
F
77
Jader Obrian
1 👟
36'
F
Jader Obrian
1 👟
36'
F
24
Jeison Angulo
4'
D
Jeison Angulo
4'
D
7
Jhojan Torres
52'
F
Jhojan Torres
52'
F
5
Jhon Meléndez
D
Jhon Meléndez
D
14
Luis Angel Palacios
F
Luis Angel Palacios
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
17
Maximiliano Lovera
36'
F
Maximiliano Lovera
36'
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Weibmar Asprilla
G
20
Matías Borgogno
G
Matías Borgogno
G
3
Tomás Ariel Silva
81'
D
Tomás Ariel Silva
81'
D
34
Mateo Mendia
D
Mateo Mendia
D
13
Ignacio Vazquez
D
Ignacio Vazquez
D
4
Agustín Lagos
81'
D
Agustín Lagos
81'
D
15
Maximiliano Amarfil
64'
M
Maximiliano Amarfil
64'
M
26
Pablo Ferreira
M
Pablo Ferreira
M
5
Ivan Gómez
81'
M
Ivan Gómez
81'
M
10
F. Zapiola
F
F. Zapiola
F
99
Gonzalo Lencina
64'
F
Gonzalo Lencina
64'
F
7
G. Mainero
F
G. Mainero
F
Bench
21
Augusto Lotti
1 ⚽
33'
F
Augusto Lotti
1 ⚽
33'
F
18
Bautista Merlini
16'
F
Bautista Merlini
16'
F
6
Eugenio Raggio
16'
D
Eugenio Raggio
16'
D
19
Héctor Bobadilla
16'
F
Héctor Bobadilla
16'
F
25
J. Saborido
D
J. Saborido
D
33
Juan Gauto
F
Juan Gauto
F
23
Leonardo Heredia
33'
M
Leonardo Heredia
33'
M
24
Martín Barrios
M
Martín Barrios
M
22
Nicolás Sumavil
G
Nicolás Sumavil
G
27
Santiago Dalmasso
M
Santiago Dalmasso
M
32
Santiago Quiros
D
Santiago Quiros
D
41
Thiago Currado
D
Thiago Currado
D
Best on the pitch
Ivan Scarpeta
D · Santa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 52 pass
F. Zapiola
F · Platense
7.70
2 shots
· 26 pass
D. Torres
M · Santa
7.30
1 shots
· 52 pass
G. Mainero
F · Platense
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
Pablo Ferreira
M · Platense
7.20
· 38 pass
H. Rodallega
F · Santa
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Scarpeta | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 52 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Puerta | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Torres | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeicar Perlaza | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | F | 36 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeison Angulo | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Maximiliano Lovera | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Platense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Borgogno | G | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Ariel Silva | D | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Mendia | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Ignacio Vazquez | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustín Lagos | D | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Amarfil | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Ferreira | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Ivan Gómez | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Zapiola | F | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Lencina | F | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Mainero | F | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Augusto Lotti | F | 33 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Bautista Merlini | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Raggio | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Héctor Bobadilla | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Heredia | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Platense?
The final score was Santa Fe 2–1 Platense.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Platense?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Santa Fe win, 23% to a draw, and 13% to an Platense win.