Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 16
August 20, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 40% win probability (draw 33%, River Plate 26%). The final result was Santa Fe 0–0 River Plate. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for River Plate.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
2
1.33
Actual xG
0.08
2
Saves
3
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
2
15
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
L. Rivero
45'+2
T. Andrada
61'
T. Almada
/
R. Borre
62'
J. Freitas
/
T. Galvan
A. Zapata
/ M. Lovera
66'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
66'
N. Bustos
/ F. Fagundez
75'
D. Torres
76'
78'
V. Lucero
/
T. Andrada
D. Torres
/ Y. Velasquez
84'
J. Obrian
/ O. Fernandez
84'
87'
F. Gonzalez
90'+1
J. Meza
/
A. Correa
Pre-match prediction
40.01%
Santa
33.37%
X ←
26.61%
River
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.33
+0.31
0.51
0.08
-0.43
Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Weibmar Asprilla
88'
G
Weibmar Asprilla
88'
G
32
C. Mafla
88'
D
C. Mafla
88'
D
35
Kevin Balanta
88'
D
Kevin Balanta
88'
D
18
E. Olivera
88'
D
E. Olivera
88'
D
13
H. Palacios
88'
D
H. Palacios
88'
D
6
K. Toscano
66'
M
K. Toscano
66'
M
16
D. Torres
84'
M
D. Torres
84'
M
10
A. Zapata
66'
M
A. Zapata
66'
M
19
N. Bustos
75'
M
N. Bustos
75'
M
77
J. Obrian
84'
M
J. Obrian
84'
M
11
H. Rodallega
88'
F
H. Rodallega
88'
F
Bench
9
F. Fagúndez
13'
F
F. Fagúndez
13'
F
15
I. Scarpeta
D
I. Scarpeta
D
24
Jeison Angulo
D
Jeison Angulo
D
7
Jhojan Torres
22'
F
Jhojan Torres
22'
F
14
L. Palacios
F
L. Palacios
F
17
M. Lovera
22'
F
M. Lovera
22'
F
4
M. Puerta
D
M. Puerta
D
8
O. Fernández
4'
F
O. Fernández
4'
F
20
Yilmar Velázquez
4'
D
Yilmar Velázquez
4'
D
41
S. Beltrán
88'
G
S. Beltrán
88'
G
31
Facundo González
88'
D
Facundo González
88'
D
13
Lautaro Rivero
88'
D
Lautaro Rivero
88'
D
30
N. Otamendi
88'
D
N. Otamendi
88'
D
28
L. Martínez
88'
D
L. Martínez
88'
D
15
F. Vera
88'
M
F. Vera
88'
M
6
Aníbal Moreno
88'
M
Aníbal Moreno
88'
M
26
T. Galván
62'
M
T. Galván
62'
M
10
Á. Correa
88'
M
Á. Correa
88'
M
50
Tobías Andrada
78'
M
Tobías Andrada
78'
M
19
Rafael Borré
61'
F
Rafael Borré
61'
F
Bench
33
Ezequiel Centurión
G
Ezequiel Centurión
G
42
Franco Jaroszewicz
G
Franco Jaroszewicz
G
35
J. Freitas
26'
F
J. Freitas
26'
F
52
Jonathan Spiff
M
Jonathan Spiff
M
24
Juan Cruz Meza
M
Juan Cruz Meza
M
25
Lautaro Pereyra
F
Lautaro Pereyra
F
44
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
23
T. Almada
27'
M
T. Almada
27'
M
43
Valentín Lucero
10'
M
Valentín Lucero
10'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Torres
M · Santa
7.70
1 shots
· 41 pass
N. Otamendi
D · River
7.20
· 44 pass
E. Olivera
D · Santa
7.20
· 54 pass
H. Palacios
D · Santa
7.20
· 44 pass
S. Beltrán
G · River
7.20
· 22 pass
H. Rodallega
F · Santa
7.20
3 shots
· 14 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weibmar Asprilla | G | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Mafla | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Balanta | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 84 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Obrian | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lovera | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Fernández | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yilmar Velázquez | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Facundo González | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lautaro Rivero | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Vera | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Aníbal Moreno | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Galván | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Tobías Andrada | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Borré | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Freitas | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Lucero | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs River Plate?
The final score was Santa Fe 0–0 River Plate.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs River Plate?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Santa Fe win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an River Plate win.