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Santa Fe - River Plate

Copa Sudamericana August 13, 2026 02:30
Santa Fe
vs
River Plate
#1 · 14 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.81%
Win
Santa Fe
29.89%
Draw
26.29%
Win
River Plate
1.26
Expected xG
0.75

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (16.45%)
1X2 Result ✓ 80.0% hit rate (20 picks)
1 44%
X 30%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 56%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 39%
✓ 64.7% hit rate (17 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Santa Fe a 43% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 26% for River Plate. Expected goals are 1.3 for Santa Fe and 0.7 for River Plate (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.45% probability.

Season Stats

Santa Fe
2W 0D 0L
River Plate
4W 2D 0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.5
0.0
Conceded
0.5
2.5
Shots OT
4.8
2.5
Corners
4.3
51%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Santa Fe
1W 0D 0L · at home
River Plate
2W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.3
0.0
Conceded
0.7
100%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
67%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Santa Fe River Plate →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5% 10.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 16.9% 12.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 10.6% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Santa Fe Santa Fe
W Caracas FC 0–3
W Caracas FC 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
River Plate River Plate
W Blooming 3–0
D RB Bragantino 1–1
W Carabobo FC 1–2
W RB Bragantino 0–1
W Carabobo FC 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Santa Fe Santa Fe
Attack
31
Defence
67
Form
65
River Plate River Plate
Attack
33
Defence
64
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Santa Fe vs River Plate?
The model gives Santa Fe a 43% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 26% for an River Plate win.
How many goals are expected in Santa Fe vs River Plate?
Expected goals: Santa Fe 1.3, River Plate 0.7 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Santa Fe vs River Plate?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.45%.