22'
M. Capasso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos Laguna a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Atlas 23%). The final result was Santos Laguna 0–1 Atlas. In 2 previous meetings, Santos Laguna have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Atlas.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
2
2.10
Actual xG
0.55
1
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
22'
M. Capasso⚽
E. Orona
29'
K. Balanta
45'
A. Lopez
/ L. Gomez
46'
49'
Gustavo Ferrareis
51'
R. Schlegel
55'
J. Rodriguez
55'
M. E. Garcia
/
A. Gonzalez
⚽L. Di Yorio
(missed pen.)
59'
61'
L. Gamboa
/
P. Ramirez
61'
E. Zaldivar
/
D. Gonzalez
77'
A. Rodriguez
/
G. Aguirre
S. Mariscal Murra
/ C. Dajome
77'
F. Villalba
/ R. Sordo
77'
K. Picon
/ D. Medina
88'
J. Guemez
/ T. Jimenez
88'
L. Gomez
89'
90'+1
L. Gamboa
T. Jimenez
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
47.81%
Santos
28.68%
X
23.5%
Atlas ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlas)
23.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
2.10
+0.74
0.74
0.55
-0.19
Santos Laguna dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
17
Emmanuel Echeverría
D
Emmanuel Echeverría
D
14
Efrain Orona
D
Efrain Orona
D
35
Kevin Balanta
D
Kevin Balanta
D
22
Kevin Picon
88'
D
Kevin Picon
88'
D
6
Javier Güemez
88'
M
Javier Güemez
88'
M
5
Aldo Lopez Vargas
45'
M
Aldo Lopez Vargas
45'
M
8
Salvador Mariscal
77'
M
Salvador Mariscal
77'
M
21
Fran Villalba
78'
M
Fran Villalba
78'
M
9
L. Di Yorio
F
L. Di Yorio
F
10
Ezequiel Bullaude
F
Ezequiel Bullaude
F
Bench
7
Cristián Dájome
13'
F
Cristián Dájome
13'
F
193
L. Gomez
45'
M
195
N. Cedillo
M
29
T. Jimenez
10'
F
12
G
25
Jorge Rodríguez
D
Jorge Rodríguez
D
21
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
28
Manuel Capasso
1 ⚽
D
Manuel Capasso
1 ⚽
D
3
Gustavo Ferrareis
D
Gustavo Ferrareis
D
27
Victor Rios
M
Victor Rios
M
11
Diego González
61'
M
Diego González
61'
M
26
A. Rocha
M
A. Rocha
M
15
Paulo Ramírez
61'
M
Paulo Ramírez
61'
M
58
A. González
56'
M
A. González
56'
M
19
Eduardo Aguirre
77'
F
Eduardo Aguirre
77'
F
Bench
6
É. Zaldívar
29'
M
É. Zaldívar
29'
M
13
Gaddi Aguirre
D
Gaddi Aguirre
D
251
Luis Gamboa
29'
F
Luis Gamboa
29'
F
199
Sergio Hernandez
M
Sergio Hernandez
M
Best on the pitch
Fran Villalba
M · Santos
8.50
· 33 pass
Manuel Capasso
D · Atlas
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Rodrigo Schlegel
D · Atlas
7.70
· 21 pass
Kevin Picon
D · Santos
7.30
· 29 pass
Jorge Rodríguez
D · Atlas
7.30
· 25 pass
G · Atlas
7.30
· 30 pass
Santos Laguna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Echeverría | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Efrain Orona | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Balanta | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Picon | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Güemez | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Aldo Lopez Vargas | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Salvador Mariscal | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Fran Villalba | M | 78 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Yorio | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Bullaude | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Cristián Dájome | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Gomez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Jimenez | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Jorge Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Schlegel | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Capasso | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Ferrareis | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Victor Rios | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Diego González | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Rocha | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. González | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Aguirre | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| É. Zaldívar | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Gamboa | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Atlas?
The final score was Santos Laguna 0–1 Atlas.
What did the model predict before Santos Laguna vs Atlas?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Santos Laguna win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Atlas win.