Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 11
April 12, 2026 03:00
Moises
(ast. Gabriel Barbosa)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico-MG 31%). The final result was Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
1.32
Actual xG
0.73
3
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
7
26
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
G. Escobar
10'
19'
Gabriel Barbosa
21'
Cuca
23'
Cuca
23'
Luan Peres
31'
32'
Lyanco
Gustavo Henrique
/ C. Oliva
56'
Rony
/ Moises
56'
⚽Moises
· ast. Gabriel Barbosa
63'
71'
Bernard
/
Natanael
71'
Caua
/
Reinier
80'
Dudu
/
Hulk
Gabriel Barbosa
/ L. Diaz
85'
86'
M. Cassierra
/
Victor Hugo
86'
Alexsander
/
T. Perez
Gabriel Bontempo
/ Thaciano
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
36.83%
Santos ←
31.46%
X
31.71%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
36.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.32
+0.23
0.93
0.73
-0.2
Santos dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazao
G
31
Gonzalo Escobar
D
Gonzalo Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
18
Igor Vinícius
D
Igor Vinícius
D
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
48
Gustavo Henrique
56'
M
11
Rony
56'
M
Rony
56'
M
10
Neymar
M
Neymar
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 👟
85'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 👟
85'
F
Bench
32
B. Rollheiser
F
B. Rollheiser
F
28
Christian Oliva
34'
M
Christian Oliva
34'
M
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
19
Lautaro Díaz
13'
F
21
Moisés
1 ⚽
34'
F
Moisés
1 ⚽
34'
F
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
16
Thaciano
1'
M
22
G
16
Renan Lodi
D
Renan Lodi
D
13
Lyanco
D
4
Ruan
D
Ruan
D
2
Natanael
71'
D
Natanael
71'
D
21
A. Franco
M
25
Tomás Pérez
86'
M
Tomás Pérez
86'
M
30
Victor Hugo
86'
M
28
T. Cuello
M
T. Cuello
M
7
Hulk
80'
M
19
Reinier
71'
F
Reinier
71'
F
Bench
5
Alexsander
12'
M
Alexsander
12'
M
11
Bernard
19'
M
Bernard
19'
M
29
Cauã Campos Soares
19'
F
Cauã Campos Soares
19'
F
92
Dudu
10'
F
Dudu
10'
F
10
Gustavo Scarpa
M
17
Igor Gomes
M
Igor Gomes
M
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
39
Mamady Cissé
M
Mamady Cissé
M
9
Mateo Cassierra
12'
F
Mateo Cassierra
12'
F
8
Maycon
M
Maycon
M
14
Vitor Hugo
D
Vitor Hugo
D
Best on the pitch
Moisés
F · Santos
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Igor Vinícius
D · Santos
7.90
· 33 pass
Ruan
D · Atletico-MG
7.70
· 48 pass
Willian Arão
M · Santos
7.60
· 45 pass
Gabriel Brazao
G · Santos
7.50
· 14 pass
Luan Peres
D · Santos
7.20
· 45 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazao | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 6 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | M | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Rony | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Neymar | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 44 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 85 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Moisés | F | 34 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Renan Lodi | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Lyanco | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ruan | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Natanael | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Franco | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cuello | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Hulk | M | 80 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Reinier | F | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexsander | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauã Campos Soares | F | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Cassierra | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Santos win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico-MG win.