Skip to main content
← Copa Sudamericana

Santos - Atletico-MG

Copa Sudamericana September 10, 2026 00:00
Santos
#2 · 7 pts
vs
Atletico-MG
#1 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.76%
Win
Santos
28.92%
Draw
28.32%
Win
Atletico-MG
1.21
Expected xG
0.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.57%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 29%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 57%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 38%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Santos a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Atletico-MG. Expected goals are 1.2 for Santos and 0.9 for Atletico-MG (total 2.1), with a 64% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.57% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico-MG.

Season Stats

Santos
4W 5D 1L
Atletico-MG
8W 5D 2L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.4
1.0
Conceded
0.9
4.6
Shots OT
3.9
4.2
Corners
3.4
59%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
47%
70%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Santos
3W 2D 0L · at home
Atletico-MG
3W 4D 3L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.1
1.2
Conceded
1.1
60%
Win %
30%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
50%
80%
O 2.5
40%
40%
O 3.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Santos Atletico-MG →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.2% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% —
3 3.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Santos Santos
D Macara 0–0
W Macara 2–1
W UCV 4–2
W UCV 1–4
W Deportivo Cuenca 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
D RB Bragantino 2–2
W RB Bragantino 0–1
W Puerto Cabello 1–0
W Cienciano 2–0
D Juventud 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 35%

Playing profile

Santos Santos
Attack
34
Defence
70
Form
61
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
35
Defence
69
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Santos
0
Draw
0
Atletico-MG
12 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Santos vs Atletico-MG?
The model gives Santos a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Atletico-MG win.
How many goals are expected in Santos vs Atletico-MG?
Expected goals: Santos 1.2, Atletico-MG 0.9 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 64%.
What is the most likely score in Santos vs Atletico-MG?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.57%.