Copa Sudamericana
· Quarter-finals
September 10, 2026 00:00
Willian Arão
(ast. Gabriel Barbosa)
31'
Christian Oliva
(ast. Gabriel Barbosa)
68'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Atletico-MG 25%). The final result was Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG. In 3 previous meetings, Santos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
6
Corners
2
22
Tackles
21
Match Events
⚽Willian Arão
· ast. Gabriel Barbosa
31'
31'
59'
Alan Minda
/
Angelo Preciado
59'
Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
/
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
Thaciano
/ Arthur Melo
63'
⚽Christian Oliva
· ast. Gabriel Barbosa
68'
79'
Reinier Jesus Carvalho
/
Mateo Cassierra
79'
Gustavo Scarpa
/
Kevin Castaño
Benjamín Rollheiser
/ Gustavo Caballero
82'
Christian Oliva
/ João Schmidt
83'
Rodinei
/ Igor Vinicius
87'
Gabriel Barbosa
/ Vinicius Moreira de Lima
87'
Pre-match prediction
45.56%
Santos ←
29.44%
X
25.0%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
45.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
—
—
0.82
—
—
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
15
Willian Arão
1 ⚽
D
Willian Arão
1 ⚽
D
23
Rodinei
87'
D
Rodinei
87'
D
28
C. Oliva
1 ⚽
83'
M
C. Oliva
1 ⚽
83'
M
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
16
Thaciano
63'
M
Thaciano
63'
M
32
B. Rollheiser
82'
M
B. Rollheiser
82'
M
8
Gabriel Bontempo
M
Gabriel Bontempo
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
2 👟
87'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
2 👟
87'
F
Bench
6
Arthur
27'
M
Arthur
27'
M
27
D. Fernandes
F
D. Fernandes
F
17
G. Caballero
8'
F
G. Caballero
8'
F
18
Igor Vinicius
3'
D
Igor Vinicius
3'
D
42
João Alencar
D
João Alencar
D
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
5
João Schmidt
7'
M
João Schmidt
7'
M
45
Lima
3'
M
Lima
3'
M
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
57
Nadson
F
Nadson
F
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
6
Renan Lodi
D
Renan Lodi
D
14
Vitor Hugo
D
Vitor Hugo
D
13
Lyanco
D
Lyanco
D
23
Ángelo Preciado
59'
D
Ángelo Preciado
59'
D
15
Kevin Castaño
79'
M
Kevin Castaño
79'
M
8
Maycon
M
Maycon
M
21
Alan Franco
M
Alan Franco
M
11
Bernard
59'
F
Bernard
59'
F
9
M. Cassierra
79'
F
M. Cassierra
79'
F
7
Fred
F
Fred
F
Bench
27
Alan Minda
31'
F
Alan Minda
31'
F
5
Alexsander
M
Alexsander
M
92
Dudu
F
Dudu
F
10
Gustavo Scarpa
11'
M
Gustavo Scarpa
11'
M
17
Igor Gomes
M
Igor Gomes
M
36
Kauã Pascini
D
Kauã Pascini
D
39
Mamady Cissé
M
Mamady Cissé
M
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
19
Reinier
11'
M
Reinier
11'
M
31
Robert Alves
G
Robert Alves
G
30
Victor Hugo
31'
M
Victor Hugo
31'
M
40
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
Best on the pitch
C. Oliva
M · Santos
8.08
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
7.95
2 👟
2 shots
· 19 pass
Willian Arão
D · Santos
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
Arthur
M · Santos
7.20
· 29 pass
Gabriel Delfim
G · Atletico-MG
7.04
· 34 pass
Rodinei
D · Santos
6.96
1 shots
· 39 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodinei | D | 87 | 6.96 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 83 | 8.08 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 63 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | M | 82 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 87 | 7.95 | — | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Caballero | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 7 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lima | M | 3 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Delfim | G | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Renan Lodi | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Lyanco | D | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| Ángelo Preciado | D | 59 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| Kevin Castaño | M | 79 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Maycon | M | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 65% | 0 | — | — |
| Alan Franco | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Bernard | F | 59 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Cassierra | F | 79 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Fred | F | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 3 | 60 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Minda | F | 31 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Gustavo Scarpa | M | 11 | 6.07 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Reinier | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 31 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Santos win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Atletico-MG win.