Skip to main content
← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 32 October 25, 2026 02:00 Vila Belmiro, Sao Paulo
Santos
#9 · 47 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Bahia
#6 · 53 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Santos, result Draw
Luan Peres (ast. Benjamín Rollheiser) 90'+3
39' Luciano
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 69% win probability (draw 15%, Bahia 15%). The final result was Santos 1–1 Bahia. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bahia.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
16
11
Shots on target
2
2.10
Actual xG
1.49
0
Saves
10
56%
Possession
44%
14
Corners
8
21
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior
31'
39'
Luciano⚽
44'
Nicolas Acevedo
Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior
45'
↕ Gabriel Bontempo / João Schmidt
45'
↕ Philippe Coutinho / Rony
45'
50'
Kanu
57'
Marco Moreno / Kanu ↕
57'
Michel Araujo / Nicolas Acevedo ↕
67'
Wendel Silva Passos / Rodrigo Nestor ↕
↕ Everton / Benjamín Rollheiser
70'
↕ Álvaro Barreal / Rafael Gonzaga
70'
79'
Ruan Pablo Barbosa Sousa / erick pulga ↕
79'
Zé Guilherme / Marcos Victor ↕
↕ Rodinei / Gustavo Caballero
87'
João Schmidt
89'
⚽Luan Peres · ast. Benjamín Rollheiser
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
69.26%
Santos
15.3%
X ←
15.44%
Bahia
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Santos
3.27
2.10
-1.17
Bahia
1.32
1.49
+0.17
Santos dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 34 57
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 34 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Santos Santos 4-2-3-1
1 Diogenes Diogenes G 6.24
22 Á. Barreal Á. Barreal 70' D 6.96
14 Luan Peres Luan Peres 1 ⚽ D 7.34
42 João Alencar João Alencar D 5.96
23 Rodinei Rodinei 87' D 6.75
8 Gabriel Bontempo Gabriel Bontempo 45' M 6.10
48 Gustavinho Gustavinho M 6.55
10 Neymar Neymar 45' M 5.21
11 Philippe Coutinho Philippe Coutinho 45' M 6.04
7 Everton Everton 70' M 6.41
9 Gabriel Barbosa Gabriel Barbosa F 6.71
Bench
32 Benjamín Rollheiser Benjamín Rollheiser 1 👟 20' F 6.29
28 C. Oliva C. Oliva M 0.00
25 Gabriel Menino Gabriel Menino M 0.00
17 Gustavo Caballero Gustavo Caballero 1' F 6.54
18 Igor Vinícius Igor Vinícius D 0.00
34 João Paulo João Paulo G 0.00
26 João Paulo Ananias João Paulo Ananias D 0.00
5 João Schmidt João Schmidt 45' M 6.21
45 Lima Lima M 0.00
30 Miguelito Miguelito M 0.00
38 Rafael Gonzaga Rafael Gonzaga 20' D 6.33
33 Rony Rony 45' F 7.03
Bahia Bahia 4-3-3
1 Ronaldo Ronaldo G 8.80
46 Luciano Juba Luciano Juba 1 ⚽ D 6.89
4 Kanu Kanu 57' D 6.78
33 David Duarte David Duarte D 6.95
44 Marcos Victor Marcos Victor 79' D 6.39
11 Rodrigo Nestor Rodrigo Nestor 67' M 6.87
5 N. Acevedo N. Acevedo 57' M 6.20
14 Erick Erick M 6.15
16 Erick Pulga Erick Pulga 79' F 6.33
9 Alejo Véliz Alejo Véliz F 6.06
99 Cristian Olivera Cristian Olivera F 6.26
Bench
7 Ademir Ademir F 0.00
8 Caio Alexandre Caio Alexandre M 0.00
27 Everaldo Everaldo F 0.00
10 Everton Ribeiro Everton Ribeiro M 0.00
17 Guido Herrera Guido Herrera G 0.00
66 José Guilherme José Guilherme 11' D 6.70
3 Marco Moreno Marco Moreno 33' D 6.72
23 Mateo Sanabria Mateo Sanabria F 0.00
15 Michel Araújo Michel Araújo 33' M 6.49
77 Ruan Pablo Ruan Pablo 11' F 6.49
67 Wendel Silva Wendel Silva 23' M 6.40
12 Willian José Willian José F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Ronaldo
Ronaldo
G · Bahia
8.80
· 24 pass
Luan Peres
Luan Peres
D · Santos
7.34
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
Rony
Rony
F · Santos
7.03
2 shots · 12 pass
Á. Barreal
Á. Barreal
D · Santos
6.96
1 shots · 30 pass
David Duarte
David Duarte
D · Bahia
6.95
1 shots · 28 pass
Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
6.89
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
Santos Santos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diogenes G 90 6.24 — — 0 25 9% 0 — —
Á. Barreal D 70 6.96 — — 1 30 21% 5 — —
Luan Peres D 90 7.34 1 — 3 30 21% 2 — —
João Alencar D 90 5.96 — — 0 20 12% 2 — —
Rodinei D 87 6.75 — — 2 18 13% 0 — —
Gabriel Bontempo M 45 6.10 — — 0 20 16% 1 — —
Gustavinho M 90 6.55 — — 2 30 17% 3 — —
Neymar M 45 5.21 — — 2 33 21% 0 1 1
Philippe Coutinho M 45 6.04 — — 1 14 9% 1 — —
Everton M 70 6.41 — — 1 17 10% 3 — —
Gabriel Barbosa F 90 6.71 — — 9 9 7% 0 — —
Benjamín Rollheiser F 20 6.29 — 1 0 18 11% 0 — —
Gustavo Caballero F 1 6.54 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
João Schmidt M 45 6.21 — — 0 16 7% 1 1 —
Rafael Gonzaga D 20 6.33 — — 0 7 3% 1 — —
Rony F 45 7.03 — — 2 12 5% 1 — —
Bahia Bahia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ronaldo G 90 8.80 — — 0 24 13% 0 — —
Luciano Juba D 90 6.89 1 — 1 30 15% 1 — —
Kanu D 57 6.78 — — 0 21 17% 1 1 —
David Duarte D 90 6.95 — — 1 28 19% 2 — —
Marcos Victor D 79 6.39 — — 0 17 11% 0 — —
Rodrigo Nestor M 67 6.87 — — 0 14 7% 4 — —
N. Acevedo M 57 6.20 — — 0 24 17% 4 1 —
Erick M 90 6.15 — — 2 21 10% 3 — —
Erick Pulga F 79 6.33 — — 4 11 5% 2 — —
Alejo Véliz F 90 6.06 — — 4 16 8% 2 — —
Cristian Olivera F 90 6.26 — — 3 16 5% 5 — —
José Guilherme D 11 6.70 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Marco Moreno D 33 6.72 — — 0 4 1% 0 — —
Michel Araújo M 33 6.49 — — 1 9 2% 3 — —
Ruan Pablo F 11 6.49 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Wendel Silva M 23 6.40 — — 0 6 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Bahia?
The final score was Santos 1–1 Bahia.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Bahia?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Santos win, 15% to a draw, and 15% to an Bahia win.