Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 20
July 25, 2026 23:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Santos, result Draw
Neymar
(ast. A. Barreal)
36'
Neymar
89'
(pen.)
51'
(ast. Giovanni Augusto)
Marcinho
(og)
62'
Joao Ananias
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Chapecoense-sc 14%). The final result was Santos 2–2 Chapecoense-sc. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chapecoense-sc.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
3
1.74
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
12
Corners
1
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Neymar
· ast. A. Barreal
36'
46'
Bruno Matias
/
David Antunes
46'
Giovanni Augusto
/
Enio
46'
Marcinho
/
K. Ramirez
51'
ast. Giovanni Augusto ·
Marcinho⚽
54'
Camilo Reijers
62'
(og)
Joao Ananias⚽
B. Rollheiser
/ G. Caballero
63'
Willian Arao
/ C. Oliva
63'
Igor Vinicius
/ Gabriel Menino
63'
Lucas Verissimo
68'
73'
Matheus Aurelio
75'
Bruno Tubarao
Neymar
76'
A. Barreal
77'
A. Barreal
/ Thaciano
80'
Gabriel Barbosa
/ Rony
80'
80'
Bruno Pacheco
/
Fernando
83'
Vinicius Balieiro
/
Camilo Reijers
88'
Bruno Matias
⚽Neymar
(pen.)
89'
Pre-match prediction
66.66%
Santos
19.23%
X ←
14.11%
Chapecoense-sc
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
1.74
-0.3
0.77
0.86
+0.09
Santos dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
26
João Paulo Ananias
1 ⚽
D
João Paulo Ananias
1 ⚽
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
18
Igor Vinicius
63'
D
Igor Vinicius
63'
D
15
Willian Arão
63'
M
Willian Arão
63'
M
22
Á. Barreal
1 👟
80'
M
Á. Barreal
1 👟
80'
M
10
Neymar
2 ⚽
M
Neymar
2 ⚽
M
32
B. Rollheiser
63'
M
B. Rollheiser
63'
M
8
Gabriel Bontempo
M
Gabriel Bontempo
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
80'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
80'
F
Bench
98
A. Frías
D
A. Frías
D
28
C. Oliva
27'
M
C. Oliva
27'
M
25
Gabriel Menino
27'
M
Gabriel Menino
27'
M
17
G. Caballero
27'
F
G. Caballero
27'
F
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
7
Robinho Júnior
F
11
Rony
10'
F
Rony
10'
F
81
S. Pierri
M
S. Pierri
M
16
Thaciano
10'
M
Thaciano
10'
M
30
Matheus Aurélio
G
Matheus Aurélio
G
12
Fernando
80'
D
Fernando
80'
D
3
Doma
D
Doma
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
Bruno Leonardo
D
20
Bruno Tubarão
D
Bruno Tubarão
D
94
K. Ramírez
45'
M
K. Ramírez
45'
M
22
Max
M
Max
M
27
Camilo
83'
M
Camilo
83'
M
19
David Antunes
45'
M
David Antunes
45'
M
97
Ênio
45'
M
Ênio
45'
M
11
Y. Bolasie
F
Y. Bolasie
F
Bench
16
Bruno Matias
45'
M
Bruno Matias
45'
M
91
Bruno Pacheco
10'
D
Bruno Pacheco
10'
D
26
Everton
D
Everton
D
10
Giovanni Augusto
1 👟
45'
M
Giovanni Augusto
1 👟
45'
M
50
Kassio
F
Kassio
F
21
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
7
Marcinho
1 ⚽
45'
F
Marcinho
1 ⚽
45'
F
18
Neto Pessoa
F
Neto Pessoa
F
1
Rafael Santos
G
Rafael Santos
G
15
Rafael Thyere
D
Rafael Thyere
D
17
Vinicius Balieiro
15'
M
Vinicius Balieiro
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Neymar
M · Santos
9.30
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 62 pass
G. Caballero
F · Santos
7.30
· 8 pass
Á. Barreal
M · Santos
7.30
1 👟
· 57 pass
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
7.30
1 shots
· 73 pass
Marcinho
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Willian Arão
M · Santos
7.20
· 64 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 53% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Neymar | M | 90 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 6 | 62 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Rollheiser | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Menino | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Caballero | F | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Rony | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Aurélio | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Fernando | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Doma | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Tubarão | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Ramírez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Max | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Antunes | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bolasie | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcinho | F | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Balieiro | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Santos 2–2 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Santos win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Chapecoense-sc win.