Santos 2–2 Chapecoense-sc — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série A — July 25, 2026

← Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 20 July 25, 2026 23:30

Santos

#17 · 22 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Chapecoense-sc

#20 · 10 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Santos, result Draw

Neymar (ast. A. Barreal) 36'

Neymar 89' (pen.)

51' (ast. Giovanni Augusto) Marcinho

(og) 62' Joao Ananias

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Chapecoense-sc 14%). The final result was Santos 2–2 Chapecoense-sc. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chapecoense-sc.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.74

Actual xG

0.86

Saves

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Neymar · ast. A. Barreal

36'

46'

Bruno Matias / David Antunes ↕

46'

Giovanni Augusto / Enio ↕

46'

Marcinho / K. Ramirez ↕

51'

ast. Giovanni Augusto · Marcinho⚽

54'

Camilo Reijers

62'

(og) Joao Ananias⚽

↕ B. Rollheiser / G. Caballero

63'

↕ Willian Arao / C. Oliva

63'

↕ Igor Vinicius / Gabriel Menino

63'

Lucas Verissimo

68'

73'

Matheus Aurelio

75'

Bruno Tubarao

Neymar

76'

A. Barreal

77'

↕ A. Barreal / Thaciano

80'

↕ Gabriel Barbosa / Rony

80'

Bruno Pacheco / Fernando ↕

83'

Vinicius Balieiro / Camilo Reijers ↕

88'

Bruno Matias

⚽Neymar (pen.)

89'

Pre-match prediction

66.66%

Santos

19.23%

X ←

14.11%

Chapecoense-sc

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.23% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Santos

2.04

1.74

-0.3

Chapecoense-sc

0.77

0.86

+0.09

Santos dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palmeiras	22	48
2	Flamengo	21	42
3	Atletico Paranaense	22	40
4	Fluminense	22	35
5	Cruzeiro	22	33
6	Bahia	22	33
7	Corinthians	22	32
8	RB Bragantino	21	31
9	Botafogo	21	30
10	Coritiba	22	30
11	Atletico-MG	21	29
12	Sao Paulo	21	26
13	Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio	21	25
15	Mirassol	21	23
16	Internacional	22	23
17	Santos	21	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	21	22
19	Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense-sc	21	10

Lineups

Santos 4-1-4-1

Gabriel Brazão G 6.20

Gonzalo Escobar D 6.30

João Paulo Ananias 1 ⚽ D 6.30

Lucas Veríssimo D 6.30

Igor Vinícius 63' D 6.30

Willian Arão 63' M 7.20

Álvaro Barreal 1 👟 80' M 7.30

Neymar 2 ⚽ M 9.30

Benjamín Rollheiser 63' M 6.30

Gabriel Bontempo M 7.30

Gabriel Barbosa 80' F 6.00

Bench

Adonis Frías D

Christian Oliva 27' M 6.90

Gabriel Menino 27' M 7.20

Gustavo Caballero 27' F 7.30

João Paulo G

João Schmidt M

Luan Peres D

M. Terceros M

Robinho Júnior F

Rony 10' F 6.20

Samuel Mendes M

Thaciano 10' M 6.70

Chapecoense-sc 4-5-1

Matheus G 6.60

Fernando 80' D 6.60

Eduardo Doma D 6.50

Bruno Leonardo D 7.20

Bruno Tubarão D 6.20

Kevin Ramírez 45' M 6.30

Max M 6.90

Camilo 83' M 6.90

David Antunes 45' M 6.70

Ênio 45' M 6.30

Yannick Bolasie F 6.50

Bench

Bruno Matias 45' M 6.00

Bruno Pacheco 10' D 6.20

Everton D

Giovanni Augusto 1 👟 45' M 6.90

Kassio F

Kauan D

Marcinho 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20

Neto Pessoa F

Rafael Santos G

Rafael Thyere D

Vinicius Balieiro 15' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

Neymar

M · Santos

9.30

2 ⚽

6 shots · 62 pass

Gustavo Caballero

F · Santos

7.30

· 8 pass

Álvaro Barreal

M · Santos

7.30

1 👟

· 57 pass

Gabriel Bontempo

M · Santos

7.30

1 shots · 73 pass

Marcinho

F · Chapecoense-sc

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

Willian Arão

M · Santos

7.20

· 64 pass

Santos — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gabriel Brazão	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Gonzalo Escobar	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	51	46%	1	—	—
João Paulo Ananias	D	90	6.30	1	—	1	42	40%	3	—	—
Lucas Veríssimo	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	48	45%	—	1	—
Igor Vinícius	D	63	6.30	—	—	—	48	39%	2	—	—
Willian Arão	M	63	7.20	—	—	—	64	62%	1	—	—
Álvaro Barreal	M	80	7.30	—	1	—	57	53%	3	1	—
Neymar	M	90	9.30	2	—	6	62	48%	1	1	—
Benjamín Rollheiser	M	63	6.30	—	—	1	72	60%	1	—	—
Gabriel Bontempo	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	73	67%	1	—	—
Gabriel Barbosa	F	80	6.00	—	—	1	26	25%	1	—	—
Christian Oliva	M	27	6.90	—	—	—	15	15%	—	—	—
Gabriel Menino	M	27	7.20	—	—	2	15	14%	—	—	—
Gustavo Caballero	F	27	7.30	—	—	—	8	8%	1	—	—
Rony	F	10	6.20	—	—	2	4	2%	—	—	—
Thaciano	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Matheus	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	26	12%	—	1	—
Fernando	D	80	6.60	—	—	1	30	27%	1	—	—
Eduardo Doma	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	32	27%	—	—	—
Bruno Leonardo	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	31	26%	1	—	—
Bruno Tubarão	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	37	28%	2	1	—
Kevin Ramírez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	5	1%	—	—	—
Max	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	26	24%	2	—	—
Camilo	M	83	6.90	—	—	—	36	32%	1	1	—
David Antunes	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	16	14%	3	—	—
Ênio	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	17	10%	—	—	—
Yannick Bolasie	F	90	6.50	—	—	1	20	17%	1	—	—
Bruno Matias	M	45	6.00	—	—	—	17	17%	2	1	—
Bruno Pacheco	D	10	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Giovanni Augusto	M	45	6.90	—	1	—	25	22%	2	—	—
Marcinho	F	45	7.20	1	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
Vinicius Balieiro	M	15	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Santos vs Chapecoense-sc?

The final score was Santos 2–2 Chapecoense-sc.

What did the model predict before Santos vs Chapecoense-sc?

The model assigned 66% probability to a Santos win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Chapecoense-sc win.