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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 16 May 17, 2026 16:00
Santos
#15 · 21 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Coritiba
#7 · 26 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Santos, result Coritiba wins
5' (ast. Josue) Breno Lopes
20' (ast. Pedro Rocha) Breno Lopes
(pen.) 39' Josue
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Coritiba 16%). The final result was Santos 0–3 Coritiba.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
1.73
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
3
19
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
5'
ast. Josue · Breno Lopes⚽
16'
Lucas Taverna
20'
ast. Pedro Rocha · Breno Lopes⚽
G. Escobar
37'
39'
(pen.) Josue⚽
↕ Mayke / C. Oliva
40'
↕ Gustavo Henrique / Luan Peres
46'
↕ Moises / Gabriel Barbosa
46'
↕ Willian Arao / A. Barreal
46'
↕ Luan Peres / Joao Ananias
56'
60'
Wallisson / Lucas Taverna ↕
60'
Willian Oliveira / J. Lavega ↕
↕ Neymar / J. Robinho
65'
Neymar
67'
A. Barreal
73'
83'
Renato Marques / Pedro Rocha ↕
84'
Vini Paulista / Thiago Santos ↕
84'
Josue
90'+2
Gustavo / Josue ↕
Gabriel Barbosa
90'+3
90'+5
D. Alves / Breno Lopes ↕
Joao Ananias
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
60.65%
Santos
22.9%
X
16.45%
Coritiba ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba) 16.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Santos
1.73
1.73
+0.0
Coritiba
0.69
2.13
+1.44
Coritiba dominated by xG (2.13 vs 1.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 18 41
2 Flamengo Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense Fluminense 18 31
4 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 18 29
6 Bahia Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba Coritiba 18 26
8 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 18 25
9 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 18 24
10 Corinthians Corinthians 18 24
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 18 24
12 Botafogo Botafogo 17 22
13 Vitoria Vitoria 17 22
14 Internacional Internacional 18 21
15 Santos Santos 18 21
16 Gremio Gremio 18 21
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 18 20
18 Remo Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol Mirassol 17 16
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 17 9
Lineups
Santos Santos 4-2-3-1
77 Gabriel Brazão Gabriel Brazão G 5.60
31 Gonzalo Escobar Gonzalo Escobar D 5.50
4 Lucas Veríssimo Lucas Veríssimo D 5.60
98 Adonis Frías Adonis Frías D 6.20
12 Mayke Mayke 40' D 5.90
15 Willian Arão Willian Arão 45' M 6.30
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira Gustavo Henrique Pereira 45' M 6.70
21 Moisés Moisés 45' M 6.50
32 Benjamín Rollheiser Benjamín Rollheiser M 6.50
49 Gabriel Bontempo Gabriel Bontempo M 6.60
10 Neymar Neymar 65' F 7.30
Bench
22 Á. Barreal Á. Barreal 28' M 5.60
28 Christian Oliva Christian Oliva 50' M 6.60
1 Diogenes Diogenes G
9 Gabriel Barbosa Gabriel Barbosa 45' F 6.70
26 João Paulo Ananias João Paulo Ananias 34' D 7.70
19 Lautaro Díaz Lautaro Díaz F
14 Luan Peres Luan Peres 11' D 6.30
30 M. Terceros M. Terceros M
7 Robinho Júnior Robinho Júnior 25' F 6.70
67 Rodrigo Falcão Rodrigo Falcão G
11 Rony Rony F
81 Samuel Mendes Samuel Mendes M
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
12 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 6.30
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo D 6.90
4 Rodrigo Moledo Rodrigo Moledo D 7.20
23 Tiago Cóser Tiago Cóser D 6.90
86 Lucas Taverna Lucas Taverna 60' D 6.60
19 Sebastian Gomez Sebastian Gomez M 7.00
21 Thiago Santos Thiago Santos 84' M 7.20
77 Breno Lopes Breno Lopes 2 ⚽ 89' M 9.20
10 Josué Josué 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 7.70
7 J. Lavega J. Lavega 60' M 6.30
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha 1 👟 83' F 6.60
Bench
67 Benassi Benassi G
33 David Alves França David Alves França 1' F
28 Fabinho Fabinho F
88 Fernando Sobral Fernando Sobral M
39 Gustavo Gustavo 1' M
13 Keiller Keiller G
78 Renato Marques Renato Marques 13' F 6.30
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 12' F 6.50
8 Wallisson Luiz Wallisson Luiz 30' M 6.60
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira 30' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
João Paulo Ananias
João Paulo Ananias
D · Santos
7.70
· 15 pass
Josué
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Neymar
Neymar
F · Santos
7.30
2 shots · 35 pass
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos
M · Coritiba
7.20
· 24 pass
Rodrigo Moledo
Rodrigo Moledo
D · Coritiba
7.20
· 20 pass
Santos Santos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Brazão G 90 5.60 — — — 13 12% — — —
Gonzalo Escobar D 90 5.50 — — 1 43 34% 4 1 —
Lucas Veríssimo D 90 5.60 — — 1 50 46% — — —
Adonis Frías D 90 6.20 — — 1 52 45% 2 — —
Mayke D 40 5.90 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
Willian Arão M 45 6.30 — — — 21 19% 2 — —
Gustavo Henrique Pereira M 45 6.70 — — — 22 20% 1 — —
Moisés M 45 6.50 — — — 14 11% — — —
Benjamín Rollheiser M 90 6.50 — — 1 48 40% 1 — —
Gabriel Bontempo M 90 6.60 — — — 32 28% 3 — —
Neymar F 65 7.30 — — 2 35 26% — 1 —
Á. Barreal M 28 5.60 — — — 8 7% — — 1
Christian Oliva M 50 6.60 — — — 42 37% 1 — —
Gabriel Barbosa F 45 6.70 — — 2 14 13% — 1 —
João Paulo Ananias D 34 7.70 — — — 15 11% 3 1 —
Luan Peres D 11 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Robinho Júnior F 25 6.70 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 90 6.30 — — — 28 13% — — —
Bruno Melo D 90 6.90 — — — 22 16% — — —
Rodrigo Moledo D 90 7.20 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
Tiago Cóser D 90 6.90 — — 1 22 19% — — —
Lucas Taverna D 60 6.60 — — — 18 13% — 1 —
Sebastian Gomez M 90 7.00 — — 2 31 27% 1 — —
Thiago Santos M 84 7.20 — — — 24 18% 4 — —
Breno Lopes M 89 9.20 2 — 2 17 14% — — —
Josué M 89 7.70 1 1 1 41 34% — 1 —
J. Lavega M 60 6.30 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Pedro Rocha F 83 6.60 — 1 — 7 4% — — —
David Alves França F 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
Gustavo M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Renato Marques F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Vini Paulista F 12 6.50 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Wallisson Luiz M 30 6.60 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Willian Oliveira M 30 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Coritiba?
The final score was Santos 0–3 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Santos win, 22% to a draw, and 16% to an Coritiba win.