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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 16 May 17, 2026 16:00
Santos
#10 · 35 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Coritiba
#8 · 38 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Santos, result Coritiba wins
5' (ast. Josue) Breno Lopes
20' (ast. Pedro Rocha) Breno Lopes
(pen.) 39' Josue
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Coritiba 16%). The final result was Santos 0–3 Coritiba. In 2 previous meetings, Santos have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Coritiba.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
1.73
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
3
19
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
5'
ast. Josue · Breno Lopes⚽
16'
Lucas Taverna
20'
ast. Pedro Rocha · Breno Lopes⚽
G. Escobar
37'
39'
(pen.) Josue⚽
↕ Mayke / C. Oliva
40'
↕ Gustavo Henrique / Luan Peres
46'
↕ Moises / Gabriel Barbosa
46'
↕ Willian Arao / A. Barreal
46'
↕ Luan Peres / Joao Ananias
56'
60'
Wallisson / Lucas Taverna ↕
60'
Willian Oliveira / J. Lavega ↕
↕ Neymar / J. Robinho
65'
Neymar
67'
A. Barreal
73'
83'
Renato Marques / Pedro Rocha ↕
84'
Vini Paulista / Thiago Santos ↕
84'
Josue
90'+2
Gustavo / Josue ↕
Gabriel Barbosa
90'+3
90'+5
D. Alves / Breno Lopes ↕
Joao Ananias
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
60.65%
Santos
22.9%
X
16.45%
Coritiba ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba) 16.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Santos
1.73
1.73
+0.0
Coritiba
0.69
2.13
+1.44
Coritiba dominated by xG (2.13 vs 1.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 26 32
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Gremio Gremio 26 28
16 Mirassol Mirassol 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Santos Santos 4-2-3-1
77 Gabriel Brazão Gabriel Brazão G 5.60
31 G. Escobar G. Escobar D 5.50
4 Lucas Veríssimo Lucas Veríssimo D 5.60
98 A. Frías A. Frías D 6.20
12 Mayke Mayke 40' D 5.90
15 Willian Arão Willian Arão 45' M 6.30
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira Gustavo Henrique Pereira 45' M 6.70
21 Moisés Moisés 45' M 6.50
32 B. Rollheiser B. Rollheiser M 6.50
49 Gabriel Bontempo Gabriel Bontempo M 6.60
10 Neymar Neymar 65' F 7.30
Bench
22 Á. Barreal Á. Barreal 28' M 5.60
28 C. Oliva C. Oliva 50' M 6.60
1 Diógenes Diógenes G
9 Gabriel Barbosa Gabriel Barbosa 45' F 6.70
26 João Paulo Ananias João Paulo Ananias 34' D 7.70
19 L. Díaz L. Díaz F
14 Luan Peres Luan Peres 11' D 6.30
30 M. Terceros M. Terceros M
7
Robinho Júnior 25' F 6.70
67 Rodrigo Falcão Rodrigo Falcão G
11 Rony Rony F
81 S. Pierri S. Pierri M
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
12 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 6.30
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo D 6.90
4 Rodrigo Moledo Rodrigo Moledo D 7.20
23 Tiago Cóser Tiago Cóser D 6.90
86 Lucas Taverna Lucas Taverna 60' D 6.60
19 S. Gómez S. Gómez M 7.00
21 Thiago Santos Thiago Santos 84' M 7.20
77 Breno Lopes Breno Lopes 2 ⚽ 89' M 9.20
10 Josué Josué 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 7.70
7 J. Lavega J. Lavega 60' M 6.30
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha 1 👟 83' F 6.60
Bench
67 Benassi Benassi G
33 David Alves França David Alves França 1' F
28 Fabinho Fabinho F
88 Fernando Sobral Fernando Sobral M
39 Gustavo Gustavo 1' M
13 Keiller Keiller G
78 Renato Marques Renato Marques 13' F 6.30
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 12' F 6.50
8 Wallisson Wallisson 30' M 6.60
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira 30' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
João Paulo Ananias
João Paulo Ananias
D · Santos
7.70
· 15 pass
Josué
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Neymar
Neymar
F · Santos
7.30
2 shots · 35 pass
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos
M · Coritiba
7.20
· 24 pass
Rodrigo Moledo
Rodrigo Moledo
D · Coritiba
7.20
· 20 pass
Santos Santos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Brazão G 90 5.60 — — — 13 12% — — —
G. Escobar D 90 5.50 — — 1 43 34% 4 1 —
Lucas Veríssimo D 90 5.60 — — 1 50 46% — — —
A. Frías D 90 6.20 — — 1 52 45% 2 — —
Mayke D 40 5.90 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
Willian Arão M 45 6.30 — — — 21 19% 2 — —
Gustavo Henrique Pereira M 45 6.70 — — — 22 20% 1 — —
Moisés M 45 6.50 — — — 14 11% — — —
B. Rollheiser M 90 6.50 — — 1 48 40% 1 — —
Gabriel Bontempo M 90 6.60 — — — 32 28% 3 — —
Neymar F 65 7.30 — — 2 35 26% — 1 —
Á. Barreal M 28 5.60 — — — 8 7% — — 1
C. Oliva M 50 6.60 — — — 42 37% 1 — —
Gabriel Barbosa F 45 6.70 — — 2 14 13% — 1 —
João Paulo Ananias D 34 7.70 — — — 15 11% 3 1 —
Luan Peres D 11 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Robinho Júnior F 25 6.70 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 90 6.30 — — — 28 13% — — —
Bruno Melo D 90 6.90 — — — 22 16% — — —
Rodrigo Moledo D 90 7.20 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
Tiago Cóser D 90 6.90 — — 1 22 19% — — —
Lucas Taverna D 60 6.60 — — — 18 13% — 1 —
S. Gómez M 90 7.00 — — 2 31 27% 1 — —
Thiago Santos M 84 7.20 — — — 24 18% 4 — —
Breno Lopes M 89 9.20 2 — 2 17 14% — — —
Josué M 89 7.70 1 1 1 41 34% — 1 —
J. Lavega M 60 6.30 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Pedro Rocha F 83 6.60 — 1 — 7 4% — — —
David Alves França F 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
Gustavo M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Renato Marques F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Vini Paulista F 12 6.50 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Wallisson M 30 6.60 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Willian Oliveira M 30 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Coritiba?
The final score was Santos 0–3 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Santos win, 22% to a draw, and 16% to an Coritiba win.