Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 02:30
Neymar
4'
(pen.)
45'+1
R. Ortiz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 44% win probability (draw 32%, Deportivo Recoleta 22%). The final result was Santos 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Recoleta.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
1
6
Shots on target
1
2.73
Actual xG
0.79
0
Saves
4
78%
Possession
22%
6
Corners
2
21
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Neymar
4'
22'
M. Pereira
Neymar
33'
Gabriel Bontempo
42'
45'+1
(pen.)
R. Ortiz⚽
60'
J. Noguera
/
T. Vidal
60'
B. Medina
/
C. Figueredo
Gabriel Barbosa
/ Thaciano
64'
Gabriel Bontempo
/ Miguelito
64'
Moises
/ B. Rollheiser
64'
72'
J. Nunez
/
M. Schupp
G. Escobar
/ Rafael Gonzaga
75'
79'
F. Galeano
Igor Vinicius
/ L. Diaz
84'
84'
M. Masi
/
F. Galeano
84'
C. Garay
/
H. Lopez
84'
O. Toledo
89'
R. Ortiz
Pre-match prediction
44.11%
Santos
32.9%
X ←
22.99%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
2.73
+1.59
0.63
0.79
+0.16
Santos dominated by xG (2.73 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
75'
D
G. Escobar
75'
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
98
D
18
Igor Vinicius
84'
D
Igor Vinicius
84'
D
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
21
Moisés
64'
M
Moisés
64'
M
10
Neymar
1 ⚽
M
Neymar
1 ⚽
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
64'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
64'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
64'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
64'
F
Bench
22
Á. Barreal
M
Á. Barreal
M
32
B. Rollheiser
34'
F
B. Rollheiser
34'
F
28
C. Oliva
M
C. Oliva
M
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
19
L. Díaz
14'
F
L. Díaz
14'
F
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
30
M. Terceros
34'
M
M. Terceros
34'
M
38
Rafael Gonzaga
23'
D
Rafael Gonzaga
23'
D
11
Rony
F
Rony
F
16
Thaciano
34'
M
Thaciano
34'
M
13
Oscar Toledo
G
Oscar Toledo
G
28
D
3
Luis Cardozo
D
Luis Cardozo
D
4
Marcos Pereira
D
14
Claudio Figueredo
60'
D
Claudio Figueredo
60'
D
31
Manuel Shupp
72'
M
7
R. Domínguez
M
R. Domínguez
M
8
Fernando Galeano
84'
M
19
Héctor López
84'
M
24
Thiago Vidal
60'
F
9
Richard Ortiz
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
Francisco Pacher
F
39
Giuseppe Guggiari
F
Giuseppe Guggiari
F
37
Juan Falcon
F
Juan Falcon
F
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
38'
M
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
38'
M
20
Marcelo Cañete
M
Best on the pitch
Neymar
M · Santos
8.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 73 pass
Oscar Toledo
G · Deportivo
7.90
· 29 pass
Richard Ortiz
F · Deportivo
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
B. Rollheiser
F · Santos
7.30
1 shots
· 20 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
7.30
2 shots
· 25 pass
Willian Arão
M · Santos
7.20
· 68 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 65% | 2 | — | — | |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 10 | — | — |
| Moisés | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Neymar | M | 98 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 73 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 34 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Terceros | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Toledo | G | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — | |
| Luis Cardozo | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcos Pereira | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Claudio Figueredo | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Shupp | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Domínguez | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Fernando Galeano | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Héctor López | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Vidal | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Richard Ortiz | F | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | M | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The final score was Santos 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Santos win, 32% to a draw, and 22% to an Deportivo Recoleta win.