Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 12
April 19, 2026 21:00
Gabriel Barbosa
9'
A. Barreal
(ast. Gabriel Barbosa)
57'
24'
(ast. R. Castillo)
J. Savarino
60'
(ast. Guga)
R. Castillo
86'
(ast. Guga)
John Kennedy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Santos 34%). The final result was Santos 2–3 Fluminense.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
1.30
Actual xG
0.64
0
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
4
19
Tackles
22
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Gabriel Barbosa
9'
Igor Vinicius
20'
24'
ast. R. Castillo ·
J. Savarino⚽
Gustavo Henrique
25'
Gabriel Barbosa
33'
33'
F. Bernal
45'+4
Alisson
Moises
/ Rafael Gonzaga
46'
⚽A. Barreal
· ast. Gabriel Barbosa
57'
58'
John Kennedy
/
Alisson
60'
ast. Guga ·
R. Castillo⚽
A. Barreal
/ L. Diaz
61'
Lucas Verissimo
65'
80'
Otavio
/
F. Bernal
80'
Riquelme Felipe
/
J. Savarino
Gustavo Henrique
/ B. Rollheiser
81'
86'
ast. Guga ·
John Kennedy⚽
87'
PH Ganso
/
R. Castillo
87'
Rene
/
K. Serna
Luan Peres
88'
Gabriel Bontempo
/ Thaciano
89'
90'+3
Otavio
Pre-match prediction
34.44%
Santos
29.03%
X
36.53%
Fluminense ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense)
36.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.30
+0.06
1.35
0.64
-0.71
Santos dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.64).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
22
Á. Barreal
1 ⚽
61'
D
Á. Barreal
1 ⚽
61'
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
18
Igor Vinicius
D
Igor Vinicius
D
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
81'
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
81'
M
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
21
Moisés
45'
M
Moisés
45'
M
10
Neymar
M
Neymar
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
32
B. Rollheiser
9'
F
B. Rollheiser
9'
F
28
C. Oliva
M
C. Oliva
M
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
19
Lautaro Díaz
29'
F
Lautaro Díaz
29'
F
12
Mayke
D
Mayke
D
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
38
Rafael Gonzaga
45'
D
Rafael Gonzaga
45'
D
16
Thaciano
8'
M
Thaciano
8'
M
1
G
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
22
D
3
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
23
Guga
2 👟
D
Guga
2 👟
D
25
Alisson
58'
M
Alisson
58'
M
5
Facundo Bernal
80'
M
Facundo Bernal
80'
M
35
Hércules
M
Hércules
M
90
K. Serna
87'
F
K. Serna
87'
F
19
R. Castillo
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
R. Castillo
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
11
J. Savarino
1 ⚽
80'
F
J. Savarino
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
4
Ignacio
D
Ignacio
D
9
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
32'
F
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
32'
F
94
Otávio
10'
M
Otávio
10'
M
10
PH Ganso
10'
M
PH Ganso
10'
M
6
Renê
10'
D
Renê
10'
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
Best on the pitch
Guga
D · Fluminense
8.20
2 👟
· 45 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
J. Savarino
F · Fluminense
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
R. Castillo
F · Fluminense
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Neymar
M · Santos
7.50
1 shots
· 47 pass
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | D | 61 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Moisés | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Neymar | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jemmes | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Guga | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 45 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Alisson | M | 58 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Bernal | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Hércules | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Serna | F | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Castillo | F | 87 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Savarino | F | 80 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 32 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Otávio | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Renê | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Fluminense?
The final score was Santos 2–3 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Santos win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Fluminense win.