Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Internacional 26%). The final result was Santos 1–2 Internacional.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
6
1.19
Actual xG
1.17
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
42.91%
Santos
30.76%
X
26.33%
Internacional ←
we assigned to the actual result (Internacional)
26.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
1.19
-0.22
0.35
1.17
+0.82
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Internacional?
The final score was Santos 1–2 Internacional.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Internacional?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Santos win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an Internacional win.