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Santos - Macara

Copa Sudamericana August 12, 2026 22:00
Santos
#2 · 7 pts
vs
Macara
#1 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.55%
Win
Santos
19.33%
Draw
26.12%
Win
Macara
2.47
Expected xG
1.6

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.59%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 55%
X 19%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 46%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 75%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Santos a 54% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 26% for Macara. Expected goals are 2.5 for Santos and 1.6 for Macara (total 4.1), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.59% probability.

Season Stats

Santos
3W 4D 1L
Macara
3W 4D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
1.1
Conceded
0.4
4.9
Shots OT
3.0
4.5
Corners
6.3
60%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
43%
50%
O 2.5
14%
75%
BTTS
29%
13%
Clean Sht
71%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Santos
2W 2D 0L · at home
Macara
3W 1D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
75%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
25%
75%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
0%
25%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Santos Macara →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.2% 6.8% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.2% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 6.9% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Santos Santos
W UCV 4–2
W UCV 1–4
W Deportivo Cuenca 3–0
D San Lorenzo 2–2
D Deportivo Recoleta 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Macara Macara
D America de Cali 0–0
D Alianza Atletico 0–0
D Tigre 2–2
W Alianza Atletico 0–2
W Tigre 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 41%

Playing profile

Santos Santos
Attack
67
Defence
62
Form
64
Macara Macara
Attack
47
Defence
79
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Santos vs Macara?
The model gives Santos a 54% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 26% for an Macara win.
How many goals are expected in Santos vs Macara?
Expected goals: Santos 2.5, Macara 1.6 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Santos vs Macara?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.59%.