Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 16
August 14, 2026 00:00
Gabriel Barbosa
(ast. Neymar)
44'
Willian Arao
(ast. Neymar)
76'
5'
(ast. M. Viera)
F. Posse
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 47% win probability (draw 23%, Macara 28%). The final result was Santos 2–1 Macara. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Macara.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
1
1.62
Actual xG
1.19
0
Saves
5
71%
Possession
29%
5
Corners
1
9
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
5'
ast. M. Viera ·
F. Posse⚽
Gabriel Menino
/ D. Fernandes
25'
Gabriel Bontempo
/ B. Rollheiser
42'
⚽Gabriel Barbosa
· ast. Neymar
44'
45'+5
M. Ayala
46'
J. Mohor
/
M. Ayala
56'
G. Escobar
62'
70'
M. Tello
/
M. Miranda
73'
J. Cazares
⚽Willian Arao
· ast. Neymar
76'
Gabriel Barbosa
77'
77'
R. Rodriguez
80'
J. Estacio
A. Barreal
82'
A. Barreal
/ Rony
83'
84'
J. Klinger
/
J. Estacio
85'
C. Caicedo
/
A. I. Campana
90'+2
D. Bolanos
90'+4
L. Ferro
/
F. Posse
Rony
90'+5
90'
J. Mohor
Pre-match prediction
47.91%
Santos ←
23.41%
X
28.68%
Macara
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
47.91%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.62
-0.06
1.41
1.19
-0.22
Santos dominated by xG (1.62 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
15
Willian Arão
1 ⚽
D
Willian Arão
1 ⚽
D
25
Gabriel Menino
25'
D
Gabriel Menino
25'
D
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
28
C. Oliva
M
C. Oliva
M
22
Á. Barreal
83'
M
Á. Barreal
83'
M
10
Neymar
2 👟
M
Neymar
2 👟
M
8
Gabriel Bontempo
42'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
42'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
98
A. Frías
D
A. Frías
D
32
B. Rollheiser
53'
F
B. Rollheiser
53'
F
27
D. Fernandes
70'
F
D. Fernandes
70'
F
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
17
G. Caballero
F
G. Caballero
F
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
7
Robinho Júnior
F
11
Rony
12'
F
Rony
12'
F
81
S. Pierri
M
S. Pierri
M
16
Thaciano
M
Thaciano
M
1
R. Rodriguez
G
R. Rodriguez
G
13
L. Ayala
45'
D
L. Ayala
45'
D
14
J. Marrufo
D
J. Marrufo
D
21
S. Etchebarne
D
S. Etchebarne
D
25
J. Bolaños
D
J. Bolaños
D
10
M. Miranda
70'
M
M. Miranda
70'
M
16
J. Cazares
M
J. Cazares
M
5
J. Estacio
84'
M
J. Estacio
84'
M
20
M. Viera
1 👟
F
M. Viera
1 👟
F
9
F. Posse
1 ⚽
F
F. Posse
1 ⚽
F
28
A. Campana
85'
F
A. Campana
85'
F
Bench
50
C. Caicedo
10'
M
C. Caicedo
10'
M
12
D. Cuero
G
D. Cuero
G
77
Jeison Chalá
F
Jeison Chalá
F
4
J. Jiménez
D
J. Jiménez
D
87
J. Klinger
11'
F
J. Klinger
11'
F
27
J. Mohor
50'
M
J. Mohor
50'
M
3
Juan Espinoza
D
Juan Espinoza
D
22
L. Ferro
1'
F
L. Ferro
1'
F
26
M. Medranda
D
M. Medranda
D
15
M. Tello
25'
M
M. Tello
25'
M
30
T. Chamba
M
T. Chamba
M
Best on the pitch
Willian Arão
D · Santos
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 84 pass
João Schmidt
M · Santos
7.90
1 shots
· 73 pass
Neymar
M · Santos
7.60
2 👟
2 shots
· 56 pass
D. Fernandes
F · Santos
7.50
· 26 pass
F. Posse
F · Macara
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | D | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 84 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Menino | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Neymar | M | 95 | 7.60 | — | 2 | 2 | 56 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 53 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | F | 70 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Rony | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rodriguez | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Ayala | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Marrufo | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Etchebarne | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bolaños | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Miranda | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Estacio | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Viera | F | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Posse | F | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Campana | F | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Caicedo | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Klinger | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Mohor | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Ferro | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tello | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Macara?
The final score was Santos 2–1 Macara.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Macara?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Santos win, 23% to a draw, and 28% to an Macara win.