Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 24
August 23, 2026 23:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Santos, result Draw
A. Barreal
(ast. Neymar)
68'
36'
Eduardo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Mirassol 20%). The final result was Santos 1–1 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
0.23
2
Saves
6
64%
Possession
36%
10
Corners
2
27
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Joao Schmidt
20'
22'
Gabriel Knesowitsch
24'
Neto Moura
28'
Lucas Oliveira
/
Gabriel Knesowitsch
36'
Eduardo⚽
Rony
/ Gabriel Bontempo
46'
Joao Schmidt
/ B. Rollheiser
61'
61'
Wallisson
/
G. Cazonatti
61'
Japa
/
Eduardo
⚽A. Barreal
· ast. Neymar
68'
73'
Wallisson
A. Barreal
/ Thaciano
74'
76'
Igor Formiga
78'
Carlos Eduardo
/
Bruno Santos
78'
Fernandinho
/
Alesson
Igor Vinicius
/ D. Fernandes
82'
Gabriel Barbosa
/ G. Caballero
82'
Neymar
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.87%
Santos
24.63%
X ←
20.51%
Mirassol
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
1.22
-0.33
0.81
0.23
-0.58
Santos dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
15
Willian Arão
D
Willian Arão
D
18
Igor Vinicius
82'
D
Igor Vinicius
82'
D
5
João Schmidt
61'
M
João Schmidt
61'
M
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
22
Á. Barreal
1 ⚽
74'
M
Á. Barreal
1 ⚽
74'
M
10
Neymar
1 👟
M
Neymar
1 👟
M
11
Rony
45'
M
Rony
45'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
82'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
82'
F
Bench
32
B. Rollheiser
29'
F
B. Rollheiser
29'
F
28
C. Oliva
M
C. Oliva
M
27
D. Fernandes
8'
F
D. Fernandes
8'
F
8
Gabriel Bontempo
45'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
45'
M
17
G. Caballero
8'
F
G. Caballero
8'
F
42
João Alencar
D
João Alencar
D
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
81
S. Pierri
M
S. Pierri
M
16
Thaciano
16'
M
Thaciano
16'
M
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
44
Gabriel
28'
D
Gabriel
28'
D
6
Reinaldo
M
Reinaldo
M
25
Neto Moura
M
Neto Moura
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
61'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
61'
M
32
Igor Formiga
M
Igor Formiga
M
33
Eduardo
1 ⚽
61'
F
Eduardo
1 ⚽
61'
F
77
Alesson
78'
F
Alesson
78'
F
30
Bruno Santos
78'
F
Bruno Santos
78'
F
Bench
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
9
André Luís
F
André Luís
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
12'
F
Carlos Eduardo
12'
F
10
Chico
M
Chico
M
20
Daniel Borges
D
Daniel Borges
D
17
Fernandinho
12'
F
Fernandinho
12'
F
19
Gustavo Silva
M
Gustavo Silva
M
5
Japa
29'
M
Japa
29'
M
2
Lucas Oliveira
62'
D
Lucas Oliveira
62'
D
7
Shaylon
M
Shaylon
M
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
80
Wallisson
12'
M
Wallisson
12'
M
Best on the pitch
Eduardo
F · Mirassol
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Á. Barreal
M · Santos
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
7.30
· 32 pass
Neymar
M · Santos
7.30
1 👟
6 shots
· 62 pass
Walter
G · Mirassol
7.30
· 32 pass
Willian Arão
D · Santos
7.20
1 shots
· 84 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 6 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 77% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 6 | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 74 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Neymar | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 6 | 62 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| Rony | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Caballero | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Reinaldo | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | F | 61 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Japa | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Wallisson | M | 12 | 3.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Mirassol?
The final score was Santos 1–1 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Santos win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Mirassol win.