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← Brasileirão Série A
#8 · 47 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#16 · 37 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Santos, result Draw
A. Barreal (ast. Neymar) 68'
36' Eduardo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Mirassol 20%). The final result was Santos 1–1 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mirassol.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
0.23
2
Saves
6
64%
Possession
36%
10
Corners
2
27
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Joao Schmidt
20'
22'
Gabriel Knesowitsch
24'
Neto Moura
28'
Lucas Oliveira / Gabriel Knesowitsch ↕
36'
Eduardo⚽
↕ Rony / Gabriel Bontempo
46'
↕ Joao Schmidt / B. Rollheiser
61'
61'
Wallisson / G. Cazonatti ↕
61'
Japa / Eduardo ↕
⚽A. Barreal · ast. Neymar
68'
73'
Wallisson
↕ A. Barreal / Thaciano
74'
76'
Igor Formiga
78'
Carlos Eduardo / Bruno Santos ↕
78'
Fernandinho / Alesson ↕
↕ Igor Vinicius / D. Fernandes
82'
↕ Gabriel Barbosa / G. Caballero
82'
Neymar
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.87%
Santos
24.63%
X ←
20.51%
Mirassol
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Santos
1.55
1.22
-0.33
Mirassol
0.81
0.23
-0.58
Santos dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Santos Santos 4-2-3-1
77 Gabriel Brazão Gabriel Brazão G 6.50
31 G. Escobar G. Escobar D 6.90
14 Luan Peres Luan Peres D 7.00
15 Willian Arão Willian Arão D 7.20
18 Igor Vinicius Igor Vinicius 82' D 6.60
5 João Schmidt João Schmidt 61' M 6.30
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira Gustavo Henrique Pereira M 6.90
22 Á. Barreal Á. Barreal 1 ⚽ 74' M 7.50
10 Neymar Neymar 1 👟 M 7.30
11 Rony Rony 45' M 6.30
9 Gabriel Barbosa Gabriel Barbosa 82' F 6.70
Bench
32 B. Rollheiser B. Rollheiser 29' F 6.90
28 C. Oliva C. Oliva M
27 D. Fernandes D. Fernandes 8' F 6.70
8 Gabriel Bontempo Gabriel Bontempo 45' M 7.30
17 G. Caballero G. Caballero 8' F 6.30
42 João Alencar João Alencar D
34 João Paulo João Paulo G
26 João Paulo Ananias João Paulo Ananias D
21 Moisés Moisés F
30 M. Terceros M. Terceros M
81 S. Pierri S. Pierri M
16 Thaciano Thaciano 16' M 6.60
Mirassol Mirassol 3-4-1-2
22 Walter Walter G 7.30
3 Willian Machado Willian Machado D 6.90
34 João Victor João Victor D 7.00
44 Gabriel Gabriel 28' D 6.70
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo M 6.20
25 Neto Moura Neto Moura M 7.00
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti 61' M 6.90
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga M 6.30
33 Eduardo Eduardo 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.50
77 Alesson Alesson 78' F 6.90
30 Bruno Santos Bruno Santos 78' F 6.30
Bench
23 Alex Muralha Alex Muralha G
9 André Luís André Luís F
96 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 12' F 6.60
10 Chico Chico M
20 Daniel Borges Daniel Borges D
17 Fernandinho Fernandinho 12' F 7.00
19 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva M
5 Japa Japa 29' M 6.30
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira 62' D 6.70
7 Shaylon Shaylon M
12 Victor Luís Victor Luís D
80 Wallisson Wallisson 12' M 3.90
Best on the pitch
Eduardo
Eduardo
F · Mirassol
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Á. Barreal
Á. Barreal
M · Santos
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
Gabriel Bontempo
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
7.30
· 32 pass
Neymar
Neymar
M · Santos
7.30
1 👟
6 shots · 62 pass
Walter
Walter
G · Mirassol
7.30
· 32 pass
Willian Arão
Willian Arão
D · Santos
7.20
1 shots · 84 pass
Santos Santos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Brazão G 90 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
G. Escobar D 90 6.90 — — — 75 68% 4 — —
Luan Peres D 90 7.00 — — 1 66 57% 6 — —
Willian Arão D 90 7.20 — — 1 84 77% 1 — —
Igor Vinicius D 82 6.60 — — — 49 43% 3 — —
João Schmidt M 61 6.30 — — 1 34 30% — 1 —
Gustavo Henrique Pereira M 90 6.90 — — 1 39 36% 6 — —
Á. Barreal M 74 7.50 1 — 2 36 29% 4 — —
Neymar M 90 7.30 — 1 6 62 49% — 1 —
Rony M 45 6.30 — — — 16 13% — — —
Gabriel Barbosa F 82 6.70 — — — 24 19% — — —
B. Rollheiser F 29 6.90 — — 2 31 26% 1 — —
D. Fernandes F 8 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
Gabriel Bontempo M 45 7.30 — — — 32 29% 2 — —
G. Caballero F 8 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Thaciano M 16 6.60 — — — 5 5% — — —
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Walter G 90 7.30 — — — 32 20% — — —
Willian Machado D 90 6.90 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
João Victor D 90 7.00 — — 1 28 20% — — —
Gabriel D 28 6.70 — — — 13 9% — 1 —
Reinaldo M 90 6.20 — — — 18 11% — — —
Neto Moura M 90 7.00 — — 1 48 44% 2 1 —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 61 6.90 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
Igor Formiga M 90 6.30 — — — 44 25% 4 1 —
Eduardo F 61 7.50 1 — 1 20 15% 1 — —
Alesson F 78 6.90 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
Bruno Santos F 78 6.30 — — — 16 11% 2 — —
Carlos Eduardo F 12 6.60 — — 1 6 6% 1 — —
Fernandinho F 12 7.00 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Japa M 29 6.30 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Lucas Oliveira D 62 6.70 — — 1 20 17% 2 — —
Wallisson M 12 3.90 — — — 1 1% — — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Mirassol?
The final score was Santos 1–1 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Santos win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Mirassol win.