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Santos - Palmeiras

Copa do Brasil September 02, 2026 22:00
Santos
vs
Palmeiras
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.16%
Win
Santos
24.72%
Draw
29.12%
Win
Palmeiras
2.08
Expected xG
1.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.24%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 25%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 54%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 76%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Santos a 46% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Palmeiras. Expected goals are 2.1 for Santos and 1.5 for Palmeiras (total 3.6), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.24% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palmeiras.

Season Stats

Santos
2W 4D 0L
Palmeiras
5W 0D 3L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
2.0
0.2
Conceded
0.9
5.3
Shots OT
5.8
10.3
Corners
5.4
57%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
63%
17%
BTTS
25%
83%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Santos
0W 3D 0L · at home
Palmeiras
2W 0D 2L · away
0.3
gls/g
1.8
0.3
Conceded
1.2
0%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
33%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
67%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Santos Palmeiras →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 4.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.8% 8.7% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Santos Santos
W Remo 0–1
D Remo 0–0
W Coritiba 0–2
D Coritiba 0–0
D CRB 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Palmeiras Palmeiras
L Fortaleza EC 3–2
W Fortaleza EC 3–0
W Jacuipense 1–4
W Jacuipense 3–0
L Corinthians 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Santos Santos
Attack
54
Defence
68
Form
59
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
48
Defence
76
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Santos
1
Draw
0
Palmeiras
2 May 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?
The model gives Santos a 46% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 29% for an Palmeiras win.
How many goals are expected in Santos vs Palmeiras?
Expected goals: Santos 2.1, Palmeiras 1.5 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Santos vs Palmeiras?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.24%.