The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 48% win probability (draw 20%, Santos 30%). The final result was Santos 0–0 Palmeiras. In 3 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
5
1.64
Actual xG
1.87
5
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
3
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Philippe Coutinho
38'
38'
Marlon Freitas
60'
Joaquín Piquerez
66'
Arthur Gabriel
/
Joaquín Piquerez
66'
Maurício Magalhães Prado
/
Andreas Pereira
66'
Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
/
Marlon Freitas
67'
Alexander Barboza
Philippe Coutinho
/ Benjamín Rollheiser
70'
75'
Vitor Roque
/
Jhon Arias
Gustavo Henrique
/ João Schmidt
77'
Gabriel Bontempo
78'
79'
Felipe Anderson
/
José Manuel López
84'
Agustin Giay
Everton
/ Rony
85'
Rodinei
/ Igor Vinicius
85'
Christian Oliva
/ Vinicius Moreira de Lima
85'
João Schmidt
87'
Pre-match prediction
30.7%
Santos
20.7%
X ←
48.6%
Palmeiras
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
1.64
-0.06
2.26
1.87
-0.39
xG dominance was balanced (1.64 – 1.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
22
Á. Barreal
D
Á. Barreal
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
42
João Alencar
D
João Alencar
D
23
Rodinei
85'
D
Rodinei
85'
D
28
C. Oliva
85'
M
C. Oliva
85'
M
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
77'
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
77'
M
7
Everton
85'
M
Everton
85'
M
11
Philippe Coutinho
70'
M
Philippe Coutinho
70'
M
8
Gabriel Bontempo
M
Gabriel Bontempo
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
F
Gabriel Barbosa
F
Bench
32
B. Rollheiser
20'
F
B. Rollheiser
20'
F
25
Gabriel Menino
M
Gabriel Menino
M
17
G. Caballero
F
G. Caballero
F
18
Igor Vinicius
5'
D
Igor Vinicius
5'
D
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
5
João Schmidt
13'
M
João Schmidt
13'
M
45
Lima
5'
M
Lima
5'
M
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
39
Pedro Assis
F
Pedro Assis
F
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
33
Rony
5'
F
Rony
5'
F
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
22
J. Piquerez
66'
M
J. Piquerez
66'
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
M
Lucas Evangelista
M
17
Marlon Freitas
66'
M
Marlon Freitas
66'
M
4
A. Giay
M
A. Giay
M
8
Andreas Pereira
66'
M
Andreas Pereira
66'
M
11
J. Arias
75'
M
J. Arias
75'
M
42
J. López
79'
F
J. López
79'
F
Bench
56
Arthur
24'
D
Arthur
24'
D
43
Benedetti
D
Benedetti
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
7
Felipe Anderson
11'
M
Felipe Anderson
11'
M
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
24'
M
Larson
24'
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
24'
M
Maurício
24'
M
9
Vitor Roque
15'
F
Vitor Roque
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Diógenes
G · Santos
7.94
· 32 pass
Carlos Miguel
G · Palmeiras
7.64
· 24 pass
Rodinei
D · Santos
7.35
1 shots
· 35 pass
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
7.20
3 shots
· 48 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.18
2 shots
· 39 pass
Á. Barreal
D · Santos
7.17
1 shots
· 68 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diógenes | G | 90 | 7.94 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| João Alencar | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodinei | D | 85 | 7.35 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 85 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 77 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Everton | M | 85 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Philippe Coutinho | M | 70 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 7 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 20 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 13 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lima | M | 5 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Rony | F | 5 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.64 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 48% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Piquerez | M | 66 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 66 | 7.18 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Giay | M | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 66 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 75 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 79 | 7.08 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Arthur | D | 24 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 11 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Larson | M | 24 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 24 | 6.88 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 15 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Santos 0–0 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Santos win, 20% to a draw, and 48% to an Palmeiras win.