Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 00:00
Gabriel Bontempo
(ast. Gabriel Barbosa)
1'
Gabriel Barbosa
45'+2
72'
M. De Ritis
85'
(ast. F. Gulli)
R. Auzmendi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 53% win probability (draw 23%, San Lorenzo 22%). The final result was Santos 2–2 San Lorenzo. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Lorenzo.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
1.23
Actual xG
1.15
4
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
5
25
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Gabriel Bontempo
· ast. Gabriel Barbosa
1'
Lucas Verissimo
15'
44'
M. Insaurralde
⚽Gabriel Barbosa
45'+2
B. Rollheiser
/ Gustavo Henrique
46'
55'
N. Tripichio
Willian Arao
57'
Miguelito
/ Rony
59'
72'
M. De Ritis⚽
74'
L. Montenegro
Gabriel Bontempo
/ S. Pierri
78'
A. Barreal
/ Rafael Gonzaga
78'
84'
T. Rodriguez Pagano
/
M. De Ritis
85'
ast. F. Gulli ·
R. Auzmendi⚽
C. Oliva
/ L. Diaz
85'
Igor Vinicius
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
53.63%
Santos
23.58%
X ←
22.8%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
1.23
-0.49
0.99
1.15
+0.16
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
22
Á. Barreal
78'
D
Á. Barreal
78'
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
98
Adonis Frías
D
Adonis Frías
D
18
Igor Vinícius
D
Igor Vinícius
D
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
28
Christian Oliva
85'
M
Christian Oliva
85'
M
30
M. Terceros
59'
M
M. Terceros
59'
M
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
45'
M
Benjamín Rollheiser
45'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
1 ⚽
78'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
1 ⚽
78'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
50'
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
50'
M
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
19
Lautaro Díaz
10'
F
Lautaro Díaz
10'
F
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
38
Rafael Gonzaga
17'
D
Rafael Gonzaga
17'
D
7
Robinho Júnior
F
Robinho Júnior
F
67
Rodrigo Falcão
G
Rodrigo Falcão
G
11
Rony
36'
F
Rony
36'
F
81
Samuel Mendes
17'
M
Samuel Mendes
17'
M
8
Tomás Rincón
M
Tomás Rincón
M
2
Zé Ivaldo
D
Zé Ivaldo
D
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
Jhohan Romaña
D
Jhohan Romaña
D
32
Ezequiel Herrera
D
Ezequiel Herrera
D
8
Manuel Insaurralde
M
Manuel Insaurralde
M
6
Mathias de Ritis
1 ⚽
84'
M
Mathias de Ritis
1 ⚽
84'
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
M
Nahuel Barrios
M
10
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
M
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
M
24
Nicolás Tripichio
M
Nicolás Tripichio
M
29
Rodrigo Auzmendi
1 ⚽
F
Rodrigo Auzmendi
1 ⚽
F
9
Alexis Cuello
F
Alexis Cuello
F
Bench
14
Agustin Ladstatter
D
Agustin Ladstatter
D
35
Alejo Cordoba
D
Alejo Cordoba
D
18
Diego Herazo
F
Diego Herazo
F
34
Fabricio López
D
Fabricio López
D
26
Gonzalo Abrego
M
Gonzalo Abrego
M
17
Gregorio Rodriguez
F
Gregorio Rodriguez
F
16
Guzmán Corujo
D
Guzmán Corujo
D
5
Ignacio Perruzzi
M
Ignacio Perruzzi
M
25
José Devecchi
G
José Devecchi
G
13
Juan Rattalino
M
Juan Rattalino
M
11
Matias Reali
F
Matias Reali
F
3
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
11'
D
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
11'
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
Mathias de Ritis
M · San
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Á. Barreal
D · Santos
7.50
1 shots
· 39 pass
Rodrigo Auzmendi
F · San
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Willian Arão
M · Santos
7.30
· 34 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | D | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 7 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adonis Frías | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Terceros | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 78 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 95 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 50 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rony | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jhohan Romaña | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Herrera | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Insaurralde | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 70% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Mathias de Ritis | M | 84 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Tripichio | M | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Auzmendi | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Cuello | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Teo Rodríguez Pagano | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs San Lorenzo?
The final score was Santos 2–2 San Lorenzo.
What did the model predict before Santos vs San Lorenzo?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Santos win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an San Lorenzo win.