Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 00:00
Gabriel Bontempo
(ast. Gabriel Barbosa)
1'
Gabriel Barbosa
45'+2
72'
M. De Ritis
85'
(ast. F. Gulli)
R. Auzmendi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 53% win probability (draw 23%, San Lorenzo 22%). The final result was Santos 2–2 San Lorenzo. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Lorenzo.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
1.23
Actual xG
1.15
4
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
5
25
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Gabriel Bontempo
· ast. Gabriel Barbosa
1'
Lucas Verissimo
15'
44'
M. Insaurralde
⚽Gabriel Barbosa
45'+2
B. Rollheiser
/ Gustavo Henrique
46'
55'
N. Tripichio
Willian Arao
57'
Miguelito
/ Rony
59'
72'
M. De Ritis⚽
74'
L. Montenegro
Gabriel Bontempo
/ S. Pierri
78'
A. Barreal
/ Rafael Gonzaga
78'
84'
T. Rodriguez Pagano
/
M. De Ritis
85'
ast. F. Gulli ·
R. Auzmendi⚽
C. Oliva
/ L. Diaz
85'
Igor Vinicius
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
53.63%
Santos
23.58%
X ←
22.8%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
1.23
-0.49
0.99
1.15
+0.16
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
22
Álvaro Barreal
78'
D
Álvaro Barreal
78'
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
98
A. Frías
D
A. Frías
D
18
Igor Vinícius
D
Igor Vinícius
D
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
28
Christian Oliva
85'
M
Christian Oliva
85'
M
30
Miguelito
59'
M
Miguelito
59'
M
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
45'
M
Benjamín Rollheiser
45'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
1 ⚽
78'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
1 ⚽
78'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
48
Gustavinho
50'
M
Gustavinho
50'
M
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
19
L. Díaz
10'
F
L. Díaz
10'
F
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
7
Nikita Solodchenko
F
Nikita Solodchenko
F
38
Rafael Gonzaga
17'
D
Rafael Gonzaga
17'
D
67
Rodrigo Falcão
G
Rodrigo Falcão
G
11
Rony
36'
F
Rony
36'
F
81
Samuel Mendes
17'
M
Samuel Mendes
17'
M
8
Tomás Rincón
M
Tomás Rincón
M
2
Ze Ivaldo
D
Ze Ivaldo
D
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
32
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
8
M. Insaurralde
M
M. Insaurralde
M
6
M. de Ritis
1 ⚽
84'
M
M. de Ritis
1 ⚽
84'
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
M
Nahuel Barrios
M
10
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
M
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
M
24
N. Tripichio
M
N. Tripichio
M
29
R. Auzmendi
1 ⚽
F
R. Auzmendi
1 ⚽
F
9
A. Cuello
F
A. Cuello
F
Bench
35
A. Cordoba
D
A. Cordoba
D
14
A. Ladstatter
D
A. Ladstatter
D
18
D. Herazo
F
D. Herazo
F
34
F. López
D
F. López
D
16
G. Corujo
D
G. Corujo
D
26
Gonzalo Abrego
M
Gonzalo Abrego
M
17
G. Rodríguez
F
G. Rodríguez
F
5
I. Perruzzi
M
I. Perruzzi
M
25
J. Devecchi
G
J. Devecchi
G
13
Juan Rattalino
M
Juan Rattalino
M
11
M. Reali
F
M. Reali
F
3
T. Rodríguez
11'
D
T. Rodríguez
11'
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
M. de Ritis
M · San
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Álvaro Barreal
D · Santos
7.50
1 shots
· 39 pass
R. Auzmendi
F · San
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Willian Arão
M · Santos
7.30
· 34 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | D | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 7 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Frías | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguelito | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 78 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 95 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 50 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Díaz | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rony | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Insaurralde | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 70% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. de Ritis | M | 84 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 50% | — | — | — |
| N. Tripichio | M | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Auzmendi | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Cuello | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Rodríguez | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs San Lorenzo?
The final score was Santos 2–2 San Lorenzo.
What did the model predict before Santos vs San Lorenzo?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Santos win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an San Lorenzo win.