Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 29, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Santos
Miguelito
(ast. Gabriel Menino)
39'
Gabriel Barbosa
56'
Gabriel Menino
65'
Rony
(ast. Gabriel Bontempo)
90'+5
1'
S. Sosa
72'
(ast. E. Mosquera)
G. Mottes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 69% win probability (draw 15%, UCV 15%). The final result was Santos 4–2 UCV. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for UCV.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
13
9
Shots on target
7
3.07
Actual xG
1.95
5
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
4
22
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
S. Sosa⚽
29'
F. Sole
⚽Miguelito
· ast. Gabriel Menino
39'
45'+3
W. Lugo
46'
D. Carrillo
/
Y. Cumana
Joao Ananias
/ Lucas Verissimo
46'
Willian Arao
/ Gabriel Bontempo
46'
Miguelito
/ Neymar
46'
⚽Gabriel Barbosa
56'
57'
64'
A. Gonzalez
/
S. Sosa
64'
D. De Sousa
/
W. Lugo
⚽Gabriel Menino
65'
72'
ast. E. Mosquera ·
G. Mottes⚽
73'
R. Sarli
/
E. Mosquera
A. Barreal
/ Rony
75'
B. Rollheiser
/ Igor Vinicius
75'
82'
W. Velasquez
/
V. Rodriguez
⚽Rony
· ast. Gabriel Bontempo
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
69.3%
Santos ←
15.53%
X
15.17%
UCV
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
69.3%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
3.07
-1.43
1.05
1.95
+0.9
Santos dominated by xG (3.07 vs 1.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
98
A. Frías
45'
D
A. Frías
45'
D
25
Gabriel Menino
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Gabriel Menino
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
28
C. Oliva
M
C. Oliva
M
15
Willian Arão
45'
M
Willian Arão
45'
M
22
Á. Barreal
75'
M
Á. Barreal
75'
M
32
B. Rollheiser
75'
M
B. Rollheiser
75'
M
30
M. Terceros
1 ⚽
45'
M
M. Terceros
1 ⚽
45'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
49
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
50'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
50'
M
18
Igor Vinicius
20'
D
Igor Vinicius
20'
D
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
50'
D
Lucas Veríssimo
50'
D
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
10
Neymar
50'
F
Neymar
50'
F
7
Nikita Solodchenko
F
Nikita Solodchenko
F
11
Rony
1 ⚽
20'
F
Rony
1 ⚽
20'
F
81
S. Pierri
M
S. Pierri
M
16
Thaciano
M
Thaciano
M
1
G. Schiavone
G
24
Y. Cumaná
45'
D
6
G. Mottes
1 ⚽
D
2
K. Silva
D
28
M. Ruiz
D
7
E. Mosquera
1 👟
72'
M
21
V. Rodríguez
82'
M
5
F. Solé
M
11
W. Lugo
64'
M
10
S. Sosa
1 ⚽
64'
F
8
J. Zapata
F
Bench
30
A. González
31'
M
12
C. González
G
27
D. Carrillo
50'
D
16
D. De Sousa
31'
F
13
E. Peraza
D
18
R. Sarli
23'
F
3
S. Pabón
D
4
W. Velásquez
13'
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
8.70
1 👟
· 32 pass
Gabriel Brazão
G · Santos
7.90
· 16 pass
C. Oliva
M · Santos
7.90
· 60 pass
S. Sosa
F · UCV
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Rony
F · Santos
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Á. Barreal
M · Santos
7.50
3 shots
· 45 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 37% | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Frías | D | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Menino | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | 6 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Terceros | M | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 95 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 8 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 50 | 8.70 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Neymar | F | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 20 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
UCV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Schiavone | G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Y. Cumaná | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Mottes | D | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Silva | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruiz | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mosquera | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| V. Rodríguez | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Solé | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Lugo | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Sosa | F | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | F | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Carrillo | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| D. De Sousa | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Sarli | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| W. Velásquez | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs UCV?
The final score was Santos 4–2 UCV.
What did the model predict before Santos vs UCV?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Santos win, 15% to a draw, and 15% to an UCV win.