Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 29, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Santos
Miguelito
(ast. Gabriel Menino)
39'
Gabriel Barbosa
56'
Gabriel Menino
65'
Rony
(ast. Gabriel Bontempo)
90'+5
1'
S. Sosa
72'
(ast. E. Mosquera)
G. Mottes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 69% win probability (draw 15%, UCV 15%). The final result was Santos 4–2 UCV. In 1 previous meetings, Santos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for UCV.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
13
9
Shots on target
7
3.07
Actual xG
1.95
5
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
4
22
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
S. Sosa⚽
29'
F. Sole
⚽Miguelito
· ast. Gabriel Menino
39'
45'+3
W. Lugo
46'
D. Carrillo
/
Y. Cumana
Joao Ananias
/ Lucas Verissimo
46'
Willian Arao
/ Gabriel Bontempo
46'
Miguelito
/ Neymar
46'
⚽Gabriel Barbosa
56'
57'
64'
A. Gonzalez
/
S. Sosa
64'
D. De Sousa
/
W. Lugo
⚽Gabriel Menino
65'
72'
ast. E. Mosquera ·
G. Mottes⚽
73'
R. Sarli
/
E. Mosquera
A. Barreal
/ Rony
75'
B. Rollheiser
/ Igor Vinicius
75'
82'
W. Velasquez
/
V. Rodriguez
⚽Rony
· ast. Gabriel Bontempo
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
69.3%
Santos ←
15.53%
X
15.17%
UCV
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
69.3%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
3.07
-1.43
1.05
1.95
+0.9
Santos dominated by xG (3.07 vs 1.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
Gonzalo Escobar
D
Gonzalo Escobar
D
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
98
Adonis Frías
45'
D
Adonis Frías
45'
D
25
Gabriel Menino
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Gabriel Menino
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
28
Christian Oliva
M
Christian Oliva
M
15
Willian Arão
45'
M
Willian Arão
45'
M
22
Álvaro Barreal
75'
M
Álvaro Barreal
75'
M
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
75'
M
Benjamín Rollheiser
75'
M
30
Miguelito
1 ⚽
45'
M
Miguelito
1 ⚽
45'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
49
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
50'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
50'
M
18
Igor Vinícius
20'
D
Igor Vinícius
20'
D
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
50'
D
Lucas Veríssimo
50'
D
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
10
Neymar
50'
F
Neymar
50'
F
7
Robinho Júnior
F
Robinho Júnior
F
11
Rony
1 ⚽
20'
F
Rony
1 ⚽
20'
F
81
Samuel Mendes
M
Samuel Mendes
M
16
Thaciano
M
Thaciano
M
1
Giancarlo Schiavone
G
Giancarlo Schiavone
G
24
Yohan Cumana
45'
D
Yohan Cumana
45'
D
6
Gonzalo Mottes
1 ⚽
D
Gonzalo Mottes
1 ⚽
D
2
Kendrys Silva
D
Kendrys Silva
D
28
Maicol Ruiz
D
Maicol Ruiz
D
7
Edwin Mosquera
1 👟
72'
M
Edwin Mosquera
1 👟
72'
M
21
Vicente Rodríguez
82'
M
Vicente Rodríguez
82'
M
5
Francisco Solé
M
Francisco Solé
M
11
Williams Lugo
64'
M
Williams Lugo
64'
M
10
Samuel Sosa
1 ⚽
64'
F
Samuel Sosa
1 ⚽
64'
F
8
Juan Camilo Zapata
F
Juan Camilo Zapata
F
Bench
30
Alexander Gonzalez
31'
M
Alexander Gonzalez
31'
M
12
Carlos González
G
Carlos González
G
27
Daniel Carrillo
50'
D
Daniel Carrillo
50'
D
16
Daniel De Sousa
31'
F
Daniel De Sousa
31'
F
13
Edwin Peraza
D
Edwin Peraza
D
18
Roberto Sarli
23'
F
Roberto Sarli
23'
F
3
Steven Pabon
D
Steven Pabon
D
4
Williams Velásquez
13'
D
Williams Velásquez
13'
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
8.70
1 👟
· 32 pass
Gabriel Brazão
G · Santos
7.90
· 16 pass
Christian Oliva
M · Santos
7.90
· 60 pass
Samuel Sosa
F · UCV
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Rony
F · Santos
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Álvaro Barreal
M · Santos
7.50
3 shots
· 45 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 37% | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Adonis Frías | D | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Menino | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | 6 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguelito | M | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 95 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 8 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 50 | 8.70 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Neymar | F | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 20 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
UCV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Schiavone | G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Yohan Cumana | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Mottes | D | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kendrys Silva | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Maicol Ruiz | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwin Mosquera | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Vicente Rodríguez | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Solé | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Williams Lugo | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Sosa | F | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Camilo Zapata | F | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexander Gonzalez | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Carrillo | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Daniel De Sousa | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Sarli | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Williams Velásquez | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs UCV?
The final score was Santos 4–2 UCV.
What did the model predict before Santos vs UCV?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Santos win, 15% to a draw, and 15% to an UCV win.