Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 18
May 31, 2026 01:00
Miguelito
(ast. C. Oliva)
19'
A. Barreal
54'
Gabriel Barbosa
(ast. Miguelito)
56'
74'
(ast. D. Tarzia)
Rene
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 50% win probability (draw 23%, Vitoria 25%). The final result was Santos 3–1 Vitoria.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
19
4
Shots on target
9
0.95
Actual xG
1.27
8
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
1
Corners
5
18
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Willian Arao
16'
⚽Miguelito
· ast. C. Oliva
19'
21'
Caique Goncalves
27'
Emmanuel Martinez
/
Baralhas
45'+4
Rene
46'
D. Tarzia
/
Caique Goncalves
C. Oliva
/ S. Pierri
46'
53'
Emmanuel Martinez
⚽A. Barreal
54'
⚽Gabriel Barbosa
· ast. Miguelito
56'
Gabriel Barbosa
57'
Luan Peres
/ Joao Ananias
60'
Gabriel Barbosa
60'
Miguelito
/ Rony
69'
71'
Marinho
/
Claudinho
71'
Renato Kayzer
/
Neris
74'
ast. D. Tarzia ·
Rene⚽
Gabriel Bontempo
/ D. Fernandes
75'
A. Barreal
/ B. Rollheiser
76'
Gabriel Brazao
79'
88'
Osvaldo
/
Emmanuel Martinez
90'+2
Luan Candido
Pre-match prediction
50.62%
Santos ←
23.47%
X
25.91%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
50.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
0.95
-0.72
1.15
1.27
+0.12
Vitoria dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.95).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
60'
D
Luan Peres
60'
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
18
Igor Vinícius
D
Igor Vinícius
D
28
Christian Oliva
1 👟
45'
M
Christian Oliva
1 👟
45'
M
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
22
Álvaro Barreal
1 ⚽
76'
M
Álvaro Barreal
1 ⚽
76'
M
30
Miguelito
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
Miguelito
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
75'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
75'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
60'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
98
A. Frías
D
A. Frías
D
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
14'
F
Benjamín Rollheiser
14'
F
27
D. Fernandes
15'
F
D. Fernandes
15'
F
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
30'
D
João Paulo Ananias
30'
D
19
L. Díaz
F
L. Díaz
F
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
7
Nikita Solodchenko
F
Nikita Solodchenko
F
20
Pepê Fermino
M
Pepê Fermino
M
11
Rony
21'
F
Rony
21'
F
81
Samuel Mendes
45'
M
Samuel Mendes
45'
M
8
Tomás Rincón
M
Tomás Rincón
M
22
Gabriel
G
Gabriel
G
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
77
Neris
71'
D
Neris
71'
D
2
Claudinho
71'
D
Claudinho
71'
D
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
95
Caique Gonçalves
45'
M
Caique Gonçalves
45'
M
44
Gabriel Baralhas
27'
M
Gabriel Baralhas
27'
M
10
Matheuzinho
F
Matheuzinho
F
91
Renê Sousa
1 ⚽
F
Renê Sousa
1 ⚽
F
33
Erick
F
Erick
F
Bench
35
Alexandre Fintelman
G
Alexandre Fintelman
G
12
Diego Tarzia
1 👟
45'
D
Diego Tarzia
1 👟
45'
D
26
Edenilson
M
Edenilson
M
6
Emmanuel Martínez
61'
M
Emmanuel Martínez
61'
M
23
Fabrício Santos
F
Fabrício Santos
F
55
José Breno
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
Lucas Silva
F
7
Marinho
19'
F
Marinho
19'
F
11
Osvaldo
11'
F
Osvaldo
11'
F
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
79
Renato Kayzer
19'
F
Renato Kayzer
19'
F
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Brazão
G · Santos
9.00
· 20 pass
Miguelito
M · Santos
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
Renê Sousa
F · Vitoria
8.20
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 10 pass
Erick
F · Vitoria
7.50
1 shots
· 45 pass
Álvaro Barreal
M · Santos
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Zé Vitor
M · Vitoria
7.20
5 shots
· 43 pass
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 76 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguelito | M | 69 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 60 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | 1 |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — | — |
| Rony | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel | G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Neris | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Claudinho | D | 71 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Renê Sousa | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 6 | 10 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Erick | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| Marinho | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Osvaldo | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santos vs Vitoria?
The final score was Santos 3–1 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Santos vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Santos win, 23% to a draw, and 25% to an Vitoria win.