São Bernardo - America Mineiro

Brasileirão Série B May 16, 2026 21:00

São Bernardo

#1 · 16 pts

21:00

vs

America Mineiro

#20 · 2 pts

⚡ Pre-match analysis

47.42%

Win

São Bernardo

31.25%

Draw

21.34%

Win

America Mineiro

1.57

Expected xG

0.54

The ForzaPitch prediction gives São Bernardo a 47% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 21% for America Mineiro. Expected goals are 1.6 for São Bernardo and 0.5 for America Mineiro (total 2.1), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.1% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ São Bernardo America Mineiro →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.2%	6.6%	1.8%	0.3%	—	—
1	19.1%	10.3%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	—
2	15.0%	8.0%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%	—
3	7.8%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%	—	—
4	3.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—
5	1.0%	0.5%	0.1%	—	—	—

Recent form

São Bernardo

W Londrina 1–3

W Ponte Preta 3–0

W Goias 1–0

W Nautico Recife 0–3

L Fortaleza EC 0–1

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 47%

America Mineiro

L Nautico Recife 4–0

L CRB 1–2

L Ponte Preta 1–0

D Sport Recife 0–0

L Novorizontino 0–3

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%

Playing profile

São Bernardo

Attack

36

Defence

76

Form

66

America Mineiro

Attack

24

Defence

54

Form

22

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	São Bernardo	8	16
2	Sport Recife	8	16
3	Fortaleza EC	8	15
4	Nautico Recife	8	13
5	Vila Nova	8	13
6	Novorizontino	8	12
7	Criciuma	8	12
8	Operario-PR	8	12
9	Juventude	8	12
10	Atletico Goianiense	8	11
11	Goias	8	10
12	Avai	8	10
13	Athletic Club	8	10
14	Ceara	8	10
15	Botafogo SP	8	9
16	Cuiaba	8	9
17	CRB	8	8
18	Ponte Preta	8	7
19	Londrina	8	5
20	America Mineiro	8	2