Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 20
July 26, 2026 21:00
Helder Maciel
(ast. Mario Sergio)
23'
Hugo Sanches
59'
Pedrinho
(ast. Mario Sergio)
81'
47'
(ast. Giulio)
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
62'
(ast. M. N. Ferreira Berrondo)
Vina
74'
(ast. Giulio)
Joao Gabriel
90'+1
Enzo Lodovico
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave São Bernardo a 49% win probability (draw 32%, Ceara 18%). The final result was São Bernardo 3–4 Ceara. In 2 previous meetings, São Bernardo have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Ceara.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
8
1.45
Actual xG
0.96
4
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
10
Corners
3
11
Tackles
28
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Helder Maciel
· ast. Mario Sergio
23'
31'
Julio Cesar
46'
Giulio
/
Thalisson
46'
Lucca
/
R. Lopez
Lucas Rian
/ Hugo Sanches
46'
D. Davi
/ Echapora
46'
47'
ast. Giulio ·
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo⚽
55'
Eder
Rodrigo Ferreira
/ Pedrinho
56'
Foguinho
/ Hyoran
56'
⚽Hugo Sanches
59'
62'
ast. M. N. Ferreira Berrondo ·
Vina⚽
66'
Richardson
/
Giovanni Pavani
Felipe Garcia
68'
74'
ast. Giulio ·
Joao Gabriel⚽
⚽Pedrinho
· ast. Mario Sergio
81'
Lucas Lima
/ Marcao Silva
84'
85'
Melk
/
Vina
89'
Enzo Lodovico
/
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
90'+1
Enzo Lodovico⚽
Lucas Rian
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
49.74%
São
32.06%
X
18.2%
Ceara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ceara)
18.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
1.45
+0.35
0.49
0.96
+0.47
São Bernardo dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Alex Alves
G
Alex Alves
G
33
Mário Sérgio
2 👟
D
Mário Sérgio
2 👟
D
35
Jemerson
D
Jemerson
D
3
Hélder
1 ⚽
D
Hélder
1 ⚽
D
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
56'
D
Rodrigo Ferreira
56'
D
26
Eduardo
M
Eduardo
M
8
Foguinho
56'
M
Foguinho
56'
M
14
Lucas Lima
84'
M
Lucas Lima
84'
M
37
D. Davi
45'
F
D. Davi
45'
F
9
Felipe Garcia
F
Felipe Garcia
F
7
Lucas
45'
F
Lucas
45'
F
Bench
97
Augusto
D
Augusto
D
89
Daniel Amorim
F
Daniel Amorim
F
27
Echaporã
59'
F
Echaporã
59'
F
10
Fabrício Daniel
F
Fabrício Daniel
F
21
Hugo Sanches
1 ⚽
59'
D
Hugo Sanches
1 ⚽
59'
D
42
Hyoran
48'
M
Hyoran
48'
M
12
Júnior Oliveira
G
Júnior Oliveira
G
70
Lucas Reis
F
Lucas Reis
F
90
Luizão
D
Luizão
D
77
Marcão
20'
M
Marcão
20'
M
6
Pará
D
Pará
D
29
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
48'
F
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
48'
F
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
6
Sávio
D
Sávio
D
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
3
Thalisson Gabriel
45'
D
Thalisson Gabriel
45'
D
18
Júlio
D
Júlio
D
20
N. Ferreira
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
N. Ferreira
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
81
Joao Gabriel
1 ⚽
M
Joao Gabriel
1 ⚽
M
21
Giovanni Pavani
66'
M
Giovanni Pavani
66'
M
31
Bryan
M
Bryan
M
29
Vina
1 ⚽
85'
F
Vina
1 ⚽
85'
F
7
R. López
45'
F
R. López
45'
F
Bench
60
Enzo
1 ⚽
15'
F
Enzo
1 ⚽
15'
F
71
Gabriel Rocha
M
Gabriel Rocha
M
35
Giulio
2 👟
59'
F
Giulio
2 👟
59'
F
88
José Wilson Neto
M
José Wilson Neto
M
10
Juan Alano
F
Juan Alano
F
11
L. Mugni
M
L. Mugni
M
99
Lucca
59'
F
Lucca
59'
F
8
Matheus Araújo
M
Matheus Araújo
M
22
Matheus Nogueira
G
Matheus Nogueira
G
40
Melk
19'
M
Melk
19'
M
26
Richardson
38'
M
Richardson
38'
M
12
Sanchez
D
Sanchez
D
Best on the pitch
Joao Gabriel
M · Ceara
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Pedrinho
F · São
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Enzo
F · Ceara
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
Vina
F · Ceara
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
N. Ferreira
M · Ceara
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 17 pass
Bryan
M · Ceara
7.50
· 33 pass
São Bernardo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Alves | G | 104 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Mário Sérgio | D | 104 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Jemerson | D | 104 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Hélder | D | 104 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 65 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ferreira | D | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 104 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Foguinho | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Lima | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Davi | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Garcia | F | 104 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | 1 |
| Echaporã | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Hugo Sanches | D | 59 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Hyoran | M | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marcão | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pedrinho | F | 48 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 104 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sávio | D | 104 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Éder | D | 104 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Thalisson Gabriel | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Júlio | D | 104 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 4 | 1 | — |
| N. Ferreira | M | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 104 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Giovanni Pavani | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan | M | 104 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 7 | — | — |
| Vina | F | 85 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| R. López | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Enzo | F | 15 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giulio | F | 59 | 7.20 | — | 2 | 3 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Melk | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Richardson | M | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of São Bernardo vs Ceara?
The final score was São Bernardo 3–4 Ceara.
What did the model predict before São Bernardo vs Ceara?
The model assigned 49% probability to a São Bernardo win, 32% to a draw, and 18% to an Ceara win.