Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 4
April 12, 2026 23:00
87'
J. B. Miritello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave São Bernardo a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Fortaleza EC 29%). The final result was São Bernardo 0–1 Fortaleza EC. In 1 previous meetings, São Bernardo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fortaleza EC.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
6
1.07
Actual xG
1.46
5
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
6
13
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Pará
19'
Matheus Salustiano
/ Helder Maciel
46'
52'
Gabriel Fuentes
59'
J. B. Miritello
/
Lucas Emanoel
69'
Mauricio Junior
/
G. Fuentes
73'
Pierre
Dudu Miraima
/ Hyoran
76'
Foguinho
/ Luizao
76'
Pedrinho
/ Echapora
76'
83'
Ronald
/
Ryan
83'
Lucca Prior
/
T. Pochettino
83'
Paulo Baya
/
Luiz Fernando
84'
Emanuel Brítez
87'
J. B. Miritello⚽
Daniel Amorim
/ Fabricio Daniel
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.45%
São
31.89%
X
29.66%
Fortaleza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC)
29.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
1.07
-0.55
0.59
1.46
+0.87
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (1.46 vs 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alex Alves
G
Alex Alves
G
6
Pará
D
Pará
D
97
D
5
Matheus Salustiano
45'
D
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
17
Romisson
M
Romisson
M
8
Foguinho
76'
M
Foguinho
76'
M
26
Eduardo
76'
M
Eduardo
76'
M
29
Pedrinho
76'
F
Pedrinho
76'
F
89
Daniel Amorim
89'
F
Daniel Amorim
89'
F
11
Pedro Vitor
F
Pedro Vitor
F
Bench
27
Echaporã
19'
F
Echaporã
19'
F
10
Fabrício Daniel
6'
F
Fabrício Daniel
6'
F
3
Hélder
50'
D
Hélder
50'
D
22
Pablo Dyego
F
Pablo Dyego
F
25
G
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
33
Kauã Rocha
D
Kauã Rocha
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
18
G. Fuentes
69'
M
G. Fuentes
69'
M
5
Pierre
M
Pierre
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
83'
M
Ryan Gustavo
83'
M
22
Maílton
M
Maílton
M
32
Luiz Fernando
83'
F
Luiz Fernando
83'
F
7
T. Pochettino
83'
F
T. Pochettino
83'
F
19
Lucas Emanoel
59'
F
Lucas Emanoel
59'
F
Bench
9
J. Miritello
1 ⚽
36'
F
J. Miritello
1 ⚽
36'
F
13
Mauricio Junior
26'
D
Mauricio Junior
26'
D
77
Paulo Baya
12'
F
Paulo Baya
12'
F
29
Rodrigo
M
Rodrigo
M
75
Rodriguinho
M
Rodriguinho
M
11
Vitinho
F
Vitinho
F
Best on the pitch
G · Fortaleza
8.50
· 22 pass
J. Miritello
F · Fortaleza
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Romisson
M · São
7.70
· 42 pass
Kauã Rocha
D · Fortaleza
7.70
· 79 pass
Pedro Vitor
F · São
7.60
3 shots
· 20 pass
D · São
7.50
· 64 pass
São Bernardo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Alves | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Pará | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 1 | — | — | |
| Matheus Salustiano | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ferreira | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Romisson | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Foguinho | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Amorim | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Vitor | F | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Echaporã | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabrício Daniel | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Hélder | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Rocha | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 79 | 77% | — | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Fuentes | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pierre | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ryan Gustavo | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Maílton | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | F | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Emanoel | F | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 36 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Junior | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Baya | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of São Bernardo vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was São Bernardo 0–1 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before São Bernardo vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 38% probability to a São Bernardo win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Fortaleza EC win.